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South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion Jan 2021 onwards


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Posted
  • Location: Bodle street e.sussex 60m asl/ Stalham, Norfolk
  • Weather Preferences: Extremes!
  • Location: Bodle street e.sussex 60m asl/ Stalham, Norfolk

Bigger flakes now, cars have a light covering. Was not expecting that!!

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Posted
  • Location: Shorne West, Kent
  • Weather Preferences: Sun in summer, Snow in Winter
  • Location: Shorne West, Kent

Light snow warning flashing up for Shorne west imminently .

Temp 0.7c

DP -1.5c

Edited by Shunter
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Posted
  • Location: Worthing
  • Location: Worthing

Showers seem to be developing on the radar, also been watching that band in the channel getting closer to the coast, wondering if we may get a dusting of snow overnight

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Posted
  • Location: St rads Dover
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, T Storms.
  • Location: St rads Dover
10 minutes ago, clark3r said:

Showers seem to be developing on the radar, also been watching that band in the channel getting closer to the coast, wondering if we may get a dusting of snow overnight

Not unless DP drops it's still positive in Dover, may be in land though, or up high.

Edited by alexisj9
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Posted
  • Location: Peterborough
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and frost in the winter. Hot and sunny, thunderstorms in the summer.
  • Location: Peterborough

Still very uncertain for the next few days. I am hopeful that some will see snow falling from the sky.

image.thumb.png.d74bde6c40e6ea7c37fdb2d12fed6989.png

Cherry picked, but you can see 850s dropping to around -9C in that finger of cold air moving from Scandinavia. It looks like more persistent precipitation will threaten Kent and perhaps areas further north and west of here (Possibly up the coast of Essex and Suffolk perhaps). 

Further north, I would expect to see precipitation moving in from the north sea, given my location there is the chance of a streamer setting up from the Wash across northern parts of Cambridgeshire into Northamptonshire. Not confident on this at the moment at all.

Best chance of snow seems to be from late afternoon on Monday until Wednesday where it is likely that we will lose the wind of the north sea.

Edited by Captain Shortwave
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Posted
  • Location: Nutley, East Sussex 120m ASL
  • Location: Nutley, East Sussex 120m ASL
9 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

Lowest ENS now for NW kent is T57 -9.6 !

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Steve is this the sort of risk area for streamers next week? With red area being more at risk of heavier precipitation?  

0F35FE20-0792-416E-8A26-444CF5C7CED0.jpeg

Edited by Tom Jarvis
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3 minutes ago, Tom Jarvis said:

Steve is this the sort of risk area for streamers next week? With red area being more at risk of heavier precipitation?  

0F35FE20-0792-416E-8A26-444CF5C7CED0.jpeg

A smidge To far south... Thats a mid kent clipper for NE winds.

1D3A5507-9AF3-4BA5-8029-CDD97E92A75C.thumb.png.97c5d93fb74270987d3df23d486b4788.png

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Posted
  • Location: Chessington, Surrey
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Hot and Sunny but not opressive
  • Location: Chessington, Surrey
4 minutes ago, Tom Jarvis said:

Steve is this the sort of risk area for streamers next week? With red area being more at risk of heavier precipitation?  

0F35FE20-0792-416E-8A26-444CF5C7CED0.jpeg

Last frame of last Harmonie run is not far off that perhaps slightly further north . 

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C4960174-54C2-4312-81D0-3C5335C198BA.png

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Posted
  • Location: Nutley, East Sussex 120m ASL
  • Location: Nutley, East Sussex 120m ASL
3 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

A smidge To far south... Thats a mid kent clipper for NE winds.

1D3A5507-9AF3-4BA5-8029-CDD97E92A75C.thumb.png.97c5d93fb74270987d3df23d486b4788.png

Thanks looks like I’m still in a good location with that chart. 

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Posted
  • Location: Southend-On-Sea, South East Essex.
  • Location: Southend-On-Sea, South East Essex.
28 minutes ago, Tom Jarvis said:

Steve is this the sort of risk area for streamers next week? With red area being more at risk of heavier precipitation?  

0F35FE20-0792-416E-8A26-444CF5C7CED0.jpeg

Ahem. Adjust that North about 5 miles and I’d say it’s bang on

Edited by Southender
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Posted
  • Location: Live in NW Kent by the Thames & work in SE London
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy November to March and Sunny and warm April to October
  • Location: Live in NW Kent by the Thames & work in SE London

Love that a light Thames streamer then❄?

20210103_013057.jpg

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Posted
  • Location: Live in NW Kent by the Thames & work in SE London
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy November to March and Sunny and warm April to October
  • Location: Live in NW Kent by the Thames & work in SE London

Another very good GFS with lots of potential showers of sleet and snow for the SE these snapshots mainly for the West of Kent I've taken but other timeframes good for even East coastal areas and further North and West in the region particularly from the post Thursday/Friday event

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Posted
  • Location: Live in NW Kent by the Thames & work in SE London
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy November to March and Sunny and warm April to October
  • Location: Live in NW Kent by the Thames & work in SE London

GEM not that I believe it after its recent huge fails also shows West/NW Kent/E Surrey/ SE London the streamer sweetspot again this week

Screenshot_20210103-044536_Samsung Internet.jpg

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Outrageous GFS 00z.. 

East - Cold

North - Cold

East again - Cold

 

To think people are still moaning about it.  So what if it don't snow in the next week or so. Just look at the setup and POTENTIAL for something quite special. Its only the start of January and another 2 months of proper winter yet!!

 

Issue with people these days is they always want one better. Always want one better than 2010 or 2018. Most of us would be praying that anything close to what we have now would come off. 

 

Edited by Surrey
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Posted
  • Location: Woburn
  • Location: Woburn

The UKMO gives us that all to familiar dose of reality this morning.

Currently laying in bed and I can here heavy rain showers pounding the window. 
Surely UKMO can’t be wrong at T120. 

 

BD146839-66DD-4641-846C-CA422B5EC13F.gif

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Posted
  • Location: Mill Corner East Sussex, 55m asl
  • Weather Preferences: snow,thunder,tornados
  • Location: Mill Corner East Sussex, 55m asl
13 minutes ago, Polaris said:

The UKMO gives us that all to familiar dose of reality this morning.

Currently laying in bed and I can here heavy rain showers pounding the window. 
Surely UKMO can’t be wrong at T120. 

 

BD146839-66DD-4641-846C-CA422B5EC13F.gif

It's the uk, and it's the weather lol, it will do what it wants, we could have every model, bar one, churning out snow charts galore, and you can bet your house, that that one model will be right, ha ha

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Posted
  • Location: Bury St Edmunds, Suffolk
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, frost and snow
  • Location: Bury St Edmunds, Suffolk

The METO outlook is very uninspiring to say the least for this easterly, not even the mention of wintry showers let alone snow showers!

KENT

Screenshot_20210103-065816.png

SUFFOLK

 

Screenshot_20210103-070117.png

Edited by NewEra21
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Posted
  • Location: Bury St Edmunds, Suffolk
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, frost and snow
  • Location: Bury St Edmunds, Suffolk
1 hour ago, Polaris said:

The UKMO gives us that all to familiar dose of reality this morning.

Currently laying in bed and I can here heavy rain showers pounding the window. 
Surely UKMO can’t be wrong at T120. 

 

BD146839-66DD-4641-846C-CA422B5EC13F.gif

ECM pretty much sides with the UKMO this morning, GFS starting to look on it's own now.

Looks like we've gotta keep our fingers crossed that this SSW works in our favour, otherwise things are going downhill in terms of cold and snow. (Although when you've not even seen any snow yet, I'm not sure things can even go anymore downhill)

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Posted
  • Location: Tonbridge, Kent
  • Weather Preferences: Wintry and stormy weather
  • Location: Tonbridge, Kent

I still don’t know why we keep getting caught up in it all. To have boom charts being churned out day after day for it then to just disappear is just laughable.  Sure this maybe the SSW playing havoc. Equally it’s just as likely it isn’t and we’ll get cold, dank nothingness til end of February. The UK really is the worst place to be if you like snow, for our latitude anyway. Dire

Edited by winterfreak
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Posted
  • Location: Purley, Surrey - 246 Ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: January 1987 / July 2006
  • Location: Purley, Surrey - 246 Ft ASL
2 minutes ago, winterfreak said:

I still don’t know where we keep getting caught up in it all. To have boom charts being churned out day after day for it then to just disappear is just laughable.  Sire this maybe the SSW playing havoc. Equally it’s just as likely it isn’t and we’ll get cold, dank nothingness til end of February. The UK really is the worst place to be if you like snow, for our latitude anyway. Dire

Yep, SE is rubbish for snow. 

Only positive are the improving summers. 

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Posted
  • Location: Woburn
  • Location: Woburn
4 minutes ago, Radiating Dendrite said:

Yep, SE is rubbish for snow. 

Only positive are the improving summers. 

Exactly, thank goodness we seem to have good summers now. 

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Posted
  • Location: Chelmsford, Essex
  • Weather Preferences: Anything interesting!
  • Location: Chelmsford, Essex

Some rain been about here in Chelmsford. I can confirm it was cold rain. 

Looks like we'll get a small window early next week then a waiting game again. I expect this afternoon's output to firm up on the mid range tbh, even if the GFS is still chasing rainbows on its own. 

Not too much cause for disappointment though, since we can't say this has been wholly unexpected? 

Positives are 1. We might see the models suddenly sniff out a new trend soon as the SSW works it's way down, and 2. At least we haven't had a 'proper' easterly cancelled at a few days notice! That's far, far worse than a crap easterly actually arriving in my book!

Edited by Number 23
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