Ireland Regional Weather Discussion

[Rocheydub]

I said it a couple of days ago I think, this has read warning written all over it. I love extreme weather, as a weather enthusiast, but not something like this. Lives will be lost and people in extreme hardship (by our current standards) if it does come through as the models currently show.

 

[mountain shadow]

Latest forecast on BBC News had 80-90 mph across most of the top half of Ireland,  possibly more in exposed areas.

Gulp.

[gary1365]

I might need to move any valuable stuff out of my very rickety shed Darragh wasn’t kind to it either. 

[Weegaz]

No aigns of any downgrades overnight, my location MetO app showing 85mph gusts 

[ForeverPomeroysnow]

Warnings raised to amber today and then red tomorrow if all is still being projected the same?

[mountain shadow]

 ForeverPomeroysnow Quite possible Pom.

86mph showing for me. Not sure ive ever seen that.

[ForeverPomeroysnow]

 mountain shadow Aye showing the same for me at around 9am, they will need to think about closing schools given the risks of driving in the morning rush hour.

[mountain shadow]

The Met Office weather warnings are based a lot around probability, so with cross model agreement on 80 to 90 mph gusts at rush hour on Friday, I would expect Orange today and perhaps Red at lunchtime tomorrow. 

They update around midday I believe. 

In terms of schools closing, that's a Stormont decision so who knows!

[mountain shadow]

National Amber for the Republic just issued, I suspect similar for Norn Iron soon.

[Rocheydub]

It will be 100% a red warning and all schools closed. Never in doubt

[mountain shadow]

I see red warnings are out for Western Irish counties already.  Not surprised, latest GFS has 100mph+ slamming into Galway Bay. High tide early morning too.

This is a very dangerous storm.

As it moves East, still gusts of 90mph widespread inland.

 

 Rocheydub Reds out already!

Edited January 22 by mountain shadow

[gman144]

Like I said earlier, if any Friday outdoor activities can be put off then put them off. I’d imagine there will all manners of debris flying about and plenty of travel disruption.

[Ever Hopeful]

Contemplating having to close the shop (we’re in a garden) but will decide nearer the time 

[Rocheydub]

Very unusual to have red warning more than 36 hours in advance if the event. Will deffo be nationwide red 

[DavyDee]

Met Office now Amber for NI. 

[mountain shadow]

 DavyDee Probably being pedantic, but surely that tick should be up one space as it's very likely to occur now.

[ForeverPomeroysnow]

 mountain shadow indeed, the liklihood hood should be one level up 

[DavyDee]

 ForeverPomeroysnow Was thinking that too  Definitely looking likely/Very likely.  Wonder if they will put our RED for any locations.

[mountain shadow]

Doing a quick look around various locations and the highest gust forecast I could find was Downpatrick at 9am at 90mph. Downpatrick is virtually sea level, so bound to coastal areas getting 100mph.

Edit. New record. Ardglass 93mph.

 

Edited January 22 by mountain shadow

[ForeverPomeroysnow]

 DavyDee suppose they want to be sure of track, could see more localised red warnings, 

[Jo Farrow]

 mountain shadow one difficultly with the Matrix display (which we have seen with the yellows this week) perhaps is can mean High likelihood of Medium impacts in this region and possibility of High impacts. 

Met Eireann just go with the values (and part impacts) 

[ForeverPomeroysnow]

Looks like Met Eireann are going to upgrade all counties in the west from Cork to Donegal to red, I suspect we will see the same from meto

[DavyDee]

RED for the West now.

 

[ForeverPomeroysnow]

Yeah can see meto following the same tomorrow 

[DavyDee]

Scratch that. Now upgraded for most of the Country