Jump to content
Thunder?
Local
Radar
Pollen
IGNORED

Not The Winter Forecast: A preview of the potential influencers of Winter 2021/2022


Recommended Posts

Posted
  • Location: Caterham-on-the-hill, Surrey, 190m asl (home), Heathrow (work)
  • Location: Caterham-on-the-hill, Surrey, 190m asl (home), Heathrow (work)
    A look at the global drivers that may determine whether winter 2021-22 will be mild, average or cold. The Netweather Winter forecast will be issued later this month.
    nw image

    View the full blog here

    • Like 2
    • Thanks 2
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: London (temporarily)
  • Weather Preferences: Proper winter/Proper summer
  • Location: London (temporarily)

    Thanks for that.

    I may have missed it in reading, but how anomalously warm is the Atlantic basin this year?

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Caterham-on-the-hill, Surrey, 190m asl (home), Heathrow (work)
  • Location: Caterham-on-the-hill, Surrey, 190m asl (home), Heathrow (work)
    52 minutes ago, Northwest NI said:

    Thanks for that.

    I may have missed it in reading, but how anomalously warm is the Atlantic basin this year?

    To the west of British Isles 1- 1.5C above average, to SW higher with 1.5-2.5C above

    ps2png-gorax-blue-006-6fe5cac1a363ec1525f54343b6cc9fd8-9mxkla.thumb.png.b98ac77c7ef9b366c9aecddab311cc8a.png

    ps2png-gorax-blue-004-6fe5cac1a363ec1525f54343b6cc9fd8-6o3c34.thumb.png.e6b055b01961da8fc3e990f6a63b2a43.png

    • Thanks 1
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: London (temporarily)
  • Weather Preferences: Proper winter/Proper summer
  • Location: London (temporarily)

    Would it be correct to say then that we would require cold uppers to be a similar amount colder to generate the same affect, as a year with no anomaly. Ie if we usually need -8 uppers for lowland snow then we might require between -9 to -10 with the current SST anomaly?

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Tyrone
  • Location: Tyrone
    28 minutes ago, Northwest NI said:

    Would it be correct to say then that we would require cold uppers to be a similar amount colder to generate the same affect, as a year with no anomaly. Ie if we usually need -8 uppers for lowland snow then we might require between -9 to -10 with the current SST anomaly?

    Very condutive ingredient for heavy snow showers i like.

    -8 uppers will deliver

     

    • Like 1
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Douglas Isle of Man
  • Weather Preferences: Warm summer days with calm seas to swim in, cold frosty snowy winters
  • Location: Douglas Isle of Man

    Thanks @Nick F for this excellent blog. I learnt lots! And note that you’ve amended the slight descriptive error about warmer vs colder ENSO. 

    • Like 1
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Create an account or sign in to comment

    You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

    Create an account

    Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

    Register a new account

    Sign in

    Already have an account? Sign in here.

    Sign In Now
     Share

    ×
    ×
    • Create New...