Met Office and BBC Weekly/Monthly Outlooks

[ANYWEATHER]

They cover their backs by the wording they use, whatever the weather they have covered it, total waste of typing time...

[Methuselah]

8 minutes ago, ANYWEATHER said:

They cover their backs by the wording they use, whatever the weather they have covered it, total waste of typing time...

So why do you bother? 

[Vortex3929]

2 hours ago, Summer Sun said:

Wednesday 1 Mar - Friday 10 Mar

and a low chance of more organised rain or snow spreading south across the country. 

 

North Sea slider low perhaps that sounds like to me? They are nice snowmakers 

[Don]

4 hours ago, Summer Sun said:

Wednesday 1 Mar - Friday 10 Mar

High pressure will dominate through early March despite edging northwestwards, bringing dry and rather cloudy conditions for most, with some (most likely rain) showers likely for some eastern and southern areas. There is also potential for a spell of more unsettled weather in the far north. Towards the end of the period, a trend towards more unsettled weather is likely. With more direct northerly winds increasing in likelihood, there is an increasing chance of colder conditions and snow showers for northern and eastern areas, and a low chance of more organised rain or snow spreading south across the country. West, and northwestern areas likely to stay more settled for longest. Temperatures generally on the colder side of average overall, with some overnight frost likely.

Saturday 11 Mar - Saturday 25 Mar

Spells of rain and snow are much more likely at first compared with the start of the month, with a low chance that some of these could be locally rather disruptive, with snow and/or strong northerly winds. However, conditions overall are likely to be more mixed, not everywhere will see snow. Northwestern areas are likely to stay driest throughout. Temperatures are likely to be below average at first, and may remain so for much of the period although will slowly increase overall by virtue of the changing seasons reducing the chance of snow accordingly. Shorter, much colder snaps remain possible, and more likely than average.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/uk

 

Hmm, going by this winter, I suspect my area will be one of those that will not see snow!

[Summer Sun]

BBC monthly outlook

Colder but drier into March

Saturday 25 February to – Sunday 5 March

Dry and chilly under high pressure

Monday 6 March to – Sunday 12 March

Turning a bit colder

Monday 13 March to – Sunday 26 March

Likely to remain cold

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

 

[Don]

1 hour ago, Summer Sun said:

BBC monthly outlook

Colder but drier into March

Saturday 25 February to – Sunday 5 March

Dry and chilly under high pressure

Monday 6 March to – Sunday 12 March

Turning a bit colder

Monday 13 March to – Sunday 26 March

Likely to remain cold

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

 

March could well be the first colder than average month of 2023 then.  However, how it fairs compared to the cold and 61-90 average remains to be seen.

[damianslaw]

5 minutes ago, Don said:

March could well be the first colder than average month of 2023 then.  However, how it fairs compared to the cold and 61-90 average remains to be seen.

Yes might see a divergence similiar to December.

[Summer Sun]

Thursday 2 Mar - Saturday 11 Mar

Much of the UK is likely to see dry, settled conditions through early March, although cloudier conditions and showers, possibly wintry, are expected for the north and east at times, especially for coastal areas. Some sunny spells remain possible, especially in the south, where clear skies could result in some frost patches. Temperatures generally rather cold to cold. Towards the end of the period, high pressure is expected to migrate northwestwards, resulting in an increased likelihood of wintry showers in the north and east. There is a small possibility of more organised rain or snow spreading southwards, with the west and northwest most likely to remain under a settled regime. Winds generally light to moderate, possibly stronger in the north. Temperatures generally colder than average, with some overnight frost likely.

Sunday 12 Mar - Sunday 26 Mar

Through this period, spells of rain and snow are likely at times, with a small possibility of these combining with stronger winds to become locally disruptive. Overall though, conditions are more likely to be mixed, with some areas remaining largely snow free. Northwestern areas are likely to stay driest throughout. Temperatures are likely to remain below average to start, although a trend towards average temperatures is most likely later on. Despite this trend, short colder spells remain possible, and are more likely than average.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/uk

 

[Summer Sun]

Thursday 2 Mar - Saturday 11 Mar

Much of the UK is likely to see dry, settled conditions through early March, although cloudier conditions and showers, possibly wintry, are expected for the north and east at times, especially for coastal areas. Some sunny spells remain possible, especially in the south, where clear skies could result in some frost patches. Temperatures generally rather cold to cold. Towards the end of the period, high pressure is expected to migrate northwestwards, resulting in an increased likelihood of wintry showers in the north and east. There is a small possibility of more organised rain or snow spreading southwards, with the west and northwest most likely to remain under a settled regime. Winds generally light to moderate, possibly stronger in the north. Temperatures generally colder than average, with some overnight frost likely.

Sunday 12 Mar - Sunday 26 Mar

Through this period, spells of rain and snow are likely at times, with a small possibility of these combining with stronger winds to become locally disruptive. Overall though, conditions are more likely to be mixed, with some areas remaining largely snow free. Northwestern areas are likely to stay driest throughout. Temperatures are likely to remain below average to start, although a trend towards average temperatures is most likely later on. Despite this trend, short colder spells remain possible, and are more likely than average.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/uk

[Summer Sun]

BBC weather for the Week Ahead

• Mainly dry
• Some sunshine
• Night frosts

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/av/64777970

 

[Summer Sun]

Saturday 4 Mar - Monday 13 Mar

The most likely scenario for Saturday is of a band of fragmented slight showers making some progress into the far northeast of the UK. Ahead of this a continuation of cloudy and cold conditions is most likely, with a few coastal showers. There is reduced confidence heading into the rest of the period, although the preferred scenario is that the UK will see a continuation of dominant high pressure, bringing large amounts of settled weather. Colder air may ingress into northern and eastern areas at times, perhaps bringing wintry showers, with a low probability that these snow showers may become more widespread. Later in the period there is an increasing chance of it turning more unsettled, possibly bringing snow at times. Temperatures likely to be generally below average.

Tuesday 14 Mar - Tuesday 28 Mar

Confidence becomes very low for this period. However, the preferred scenario is that blocking high pressure will remain mostly dominant, increasing the probability of colder conditions compared to average. Spells of rain are more likely than of late, especially at first, with a chance of snow in some areas. Some wintry episodes may be disruptive due to the potential combination of snow and strong winds.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/uk

 

[Ali1977]

Big upgrade from METO longer term 

[bluearmy]

57 minutes ago, seabreeze86 said:

ICON improved but more room for improvement

Met office now starting to mention disruptive snow next week. They are favouring a battleground scenario 

In the two week period post march 14th

Some wintry episodes may be disruptive due to the potential combination of snow and strong winds.

is that next week? 

[ICE COLD]

1 minute ago, bluearmy said:

In the two week period post march 14th

Some wintry episodes may be disruptive due to the potential combination of snow and strong winds.

is that next week? 

The video on YouTube mate .

[seabreeze86]

2 minutes ago, bluearmy said:

In the two week period post march 14th

Some wintry episodes may be disruptive due to the potential combination of snow and strong winds.

is that next week? 

I’m guessing you haven’t watched the video posted by the met office this afternoon 

Loving the condensing post though reminds me of my daughters when I ask them to tidy there room

Edited February 27, 2023 by seabreeze86

[Bricriu]

1 minute ago, Ali1977 said:

Big upgrade from METO longer term 

I suppose imbyness comes into it, i take from that there will be frontal systems that likely bring rain to most of Ireland, parts of England And Wales , with snow likely over Northern areas of England and into Scotland. 

[bluearmy]

2 minutes ago, ICE COLD said:

The video on YouTube mate .

 

1 minute ago, seabreeze86 said:

I’m guessing you haven’t watched the video posted by the met office this afternoon 

Clearly not - sorry 

It’s a shame that their website forecast doesn’t match it ……

shouldn’t be difficult really ! 

[MJB]

10 minutes ago, bluearmy said:

In the two week period post march 14th

Some wintry episodes may be disruptive due to the potential combination of snow and strong winds.

is that next week? 

This is 

 Later in the period there is an increasing chance of it turning more unsettled, possibly bringing snow at times, any snow in this country is disruptive :):)

 

EDIT

All to do with the LP in the Atlantic and how  far it gets in and mixes with the cold air the video says disruptive snow a possibility next week but no details on location - what we want is a stalling front before it gets pushed back westwards ( my words not the METs )

Edited February 27, 2023 by MJB

[Ali1977]

5 minutes ago, Bricriu said:

I suppose imbyness comes into it, i take from that there will be frontal systems that likely bring rain to most of Ireland, parts of England And Wales , with snow likely over Northern areas of England and into Scotland. 

Doesn’t mean that at all, it will depend on many factors - ideally sliders as they can keep the cold in place 

[Summer Sun]

Sunday 5 Mar - Tuesday 14 Mar

On Sunday, a mixture of sunny spells with scattered showers likely in the north and east, turning particularly wintry over northern hills and in the far northeast at times, and perhaps becoming more frequent in the north later. Drier conditions with sunny spells are expected in the rest of the country, with isolated showers possible at times. Light winds are expected for most, but moderate or fresh in the east. For the rest of the period, settled conditions are most likely across the country, with some wintry showers and snow the north and east at times. There is an increasing chance of it turning more unsettled later with spells of rain or snow becoming more likely. Temperatures overall will be below average, but gradually trend up through the period.

Wednesday 15 Mar - Wednesday 29 Mar

Confidence is very low during this period in general, but late seasonal wintry showers are expected across the country as milder air becomes less likely to affect the UK. This may also bring some dry weather at times, especially in western regions. Rain and strong winds are likely in the south, rain turning heavy at times. Colder and drier conditions are expected in the north, with wintry showers and a risk of heavy snow at times. Temperatures overall will likely be below normal, but milder in the south through the middle of March and perhaps beyond.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/uk

[Rain All Night]

18 minutes ago, Summer Sun said:

Sunday 5 Mar - Tuesday 14 Mar

On Sunday, a mixture of sunny spells with scattered showers likely in the north and east, turning particularly wintry over northern hills and in the far northeast at times, and perhaps becoming more frequent in the north later. Drier conditions with sunny spells are expected in the rest of the country, with isolated showers possible at times. Light winds are expected for most, but moderate or fresh in the east. For the rest of the period, settled conditions are most likely across the country, with some wintry showers and snow the north and east at times. There is an increasing chance of it turning more unsettled later with spells of rain or snow becoming more likely. Temperatures overall will be below average, but gradually trend up through the period.

Wednesday 15 Mar - Wednesday 29 Mar

Confidence is very low during this period in general, but late seasonal wintry showers are expected across the country as milder air becomes less likely to affect the UK. This may also bring some dry weather at times, especially in western regions. Rain and strong winds are likely in the south, rain turning heavy at times. Colder and drier conditions are expected in the north, with wintry showers and a risk of heavy snow at times. Temperatures overall will likely be below normal, but milder in the south through the middle of March and perhaps beyond.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/uk

Noooo downgrade for the south!

[Don]

18 minutes ago, RainAllNight said:

Noooo downgrade for the south!

Yep unfortunately but still hanging in the balance!

[Summer Sun]

BBC monthly outlook

Rather cold until a milder turn later next week

Wednesday 1 March to – Sunday 5 March

Chilly with a few showers but a lot of dry weather

Monday 6 March to – Sunday 12 March

Cold for a few days, then milder by the weekend

Monday 13 March to – Wednesday 26 April

Mild for a while, potentially chillier later

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

 

[Rain All Night]

43 minutes ago, Summer Sun said:

Monday 6 March to – Sunday 12 March

Cold for a few days, then milder by the weekend

 

They do sound pretty confident about the "for a few days" part...

[Summer Sun]

Met Office 10 Day Trend

Next week

• Cold
• Increasing chance of snow