Met Office and BBC Weekly/Monthly Outlooks

[Summer Sun]

BBC Monthly Outlook

Summary

At the weekend, there will be a strong but brief rise in temperatures from the south-west, accompanied by disruptive weather in parts. Temperatures should initially drop back next week to near seasonal or slightly below average, with milder prospects later on. However, conditions could be variable at times with an ongoing and rather active Atlantic pattern.

Friday 22 November to Sunday 1 December

Briefly fairly mild

Monday 2 December to Sunday 8 December

Wet and windy

Monday 9 December to Sunday 22 December

Fairly unsettled and mild

Further ahead

The outlook for next Tuesday could confirm some trends in the medium and extended term. However, there should be a little more variability later in December.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/articles/c1ee0klzvneo

 

Edited November 23, 2024 by Summer Sun

[Summer Sun]

BBC Monthly Outlook

Summary

Behind a deepening low pressure system, temperatures should initially drop below average. Atlantic weather systems will then bring milder air for much of this forecast period, but colder and drier interludes are still possible.

Wednesday 27 November to Sunday 1 December

Trending milder

Monday 2 December to Sunday 8 December

Ups and downs in temperature

Monday 9 December to Sunday 22 December

Unsettled and perhaps milder

Further ahead

The next outlook on Friday should provide a clearer picture for the next week and a slightly more confident trend for later. Since there will probably be greater fluctuations in temperature, further wintry spells are to be expected later in December.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/articles/c1ee0klzvneo

 

[Don]

2 hours ago, Summer Sun said:

further wintry spells are to be expected later in December.

I like this part of the forecast! 

[Weatherman_93]

 Don  4-5 Weeks away. Not impossible but not likely.

[Don]

 Weatherman_93 something to keep an eye on!

[Summer Sun]

BBC Monthly Outlook

Summary

Fairly mild conditions should prevail over the weekend, along with changeable and windy conditions. Temperatures are likely to continue to fluctuate widely later on, including colder phases with some wintriness. A quite active Atlantic pattern may predominate, with a few high pressure interludes.

Saturday 30 November to Sunday 8 December

Ups and downs

Monday 9 December to Sunday 15 December

A wintry spell?

Monday 16 December to Sunday 29 December

Changeable and quite windy

Further ahead

Our next outlook in the middle of next week will address the question of how long the expected wintry spells could last, and will take another look at how conditions may shape up around Christmas.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/articles/c1ee0klzvneo

[Dorsetbred]

When is the Met Office contingency planners forecast updated? The site suggests at the start of the month, so is this current or as it says Mock-Up?

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/binaries/content/assets/metofficegovuk/pdf/business/public-sector/civil-contingency/3moutlook_djf_v2.pdf

[Summer Sun]

BBC Monthly Outlook

Summary

Temperatures are fluctuating sharply at first in line with a quite active Atlantic pattern and colder prospects from the weekend. Next week there should be calmer and drier conditions, with temperatures slightly below or nearly average. Milder conditions could return later.

Saturday 3 December to Sunday 8 December

Fairly wet and windy

Monday 9 December to Sunday 15 December

Moderately cold

Monday 16 December to Sunday 29 December

Still a milder outlook

Further ahead

The next forecast on Friday should provide more information about conditions later next week and the longer-term trend. At the moment it looks like a mild, wet and windy Christmas.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/articles/c1ee0klzvneo

 

[Don]

On 04/12/2024 at 10:03, Summer Sun said:

The next forecast on Friday should provide more information about conditions later next week and the longer-term trend. At the moment it looks like a mild, wet and windy Christmas.

Looking like the same old yet again for Christmas!

[Summer Sun]

BBC Monthly Outlook

Summary

Temperatures are starting to drop, which will become more pronounced early next week. More settled and mostly drier conditions are still predicted over the next week, with temperatures below average. Milder conditions could return the week after next.

Saturday 7 December to Sunday 15 December

Wet and stormy at first, then colder

Monday 16 December to Sunday 22 December

Turning milder again

Monday 23 December to Sunday 5 January

Still wet and windy

Further ahead

The update next Tuesday will bring us closer to Christmas. Is there a chance of a cold snap around Christmas or New Year? Given the possible temperature fluctuations, the latter cannot be ruled out.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/articles/c1ee0klzvneo

 

Edited December 8, 2024 by Summer Sun

[Summer Sun]

BBC Monthly Outlook

Summary

Settled and mostly dry conditions at first, with temperatures slightly below average. Changeable conditions should return later this week, followed by rising temperatures more noticeably from Sunday. Further temperature fluctuations are likely, including some colder snaps. It should remain wetter and above all windier, especially further north.

Tuesday 10 December to Sunday 15 December

Drier and calmer at first

Monday 16 December to Sunday 22 December

Milder and at times stormy

Monday 23 December to Sunday 5 January

Rather unsettled

Further ahead

The update on Friday should provide more clarity about the conditions in the week before Christmas. It's still a long way off to make a more accurate weather forecast for the week after next.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/articles/c1ee0klzvneo

[Summer Sun]

BBC Monthly Outlook

Summary

Changeable or unsettled and windy conditions are likely to continue, with temperatures well above average at first. Some intermittent cold spells should follow soon after. However, it gets significantly milder next week but a little drier and calmer to the south.

Tuesday 17 December to Sunday 22 December

Trending colder and windy

Monday 23 December to Sunday 29 December

More settled and mild

Monday 30 December to Sunday 12 January

Calmer in parts

Further ahead

We'll discuss the forecast for the Christmas period in more detail and take a look at how conditions may shape up further into January.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/articles/c1ee0klzvneo

 

[Summer Sun]

BBC Monthly Outlook

Summary

Unsettled and above all windy conditions continue at first, with temperatures falling to around the seasonal average. However, it gets mild during the Christmas holidays, and mostly drier and calmer. Later on, changeable conditions may return, with temperatures more likely to remain above average.

Friday 20 December to Sunday 29 December

Windy and cooler at first

Monday 30 December to Sunday 5 January

A little wetter again for some

Monday 6 January to Sunday 19 January

Unsettled, but rather mild

Further ahead

Next Tuesday's outlook could provide an indication of how the weather conditions will shape up around New Year and into 2025.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/articles/c1ee0klzvneo

[Don]

 Summer Sun No interest in a New Year cold spell from the BBC!

[Ackkers]

That appears to have changed with John Hammond mentioning the possibility of snow next week on the BBC South East Regional lunchtime news today and Louise Lear also talking about colder and wintry weather from New Year on the One O'Clock National forecast.

Edited December 24, 2024 by Ackkers