January 2022 C.E.T. and EWP forecast contests

[Summer Sun]

6.2c to the 10th

2.7c above the 61 to 90 average
1.9c above the 81 to 10 average

___________________________

Current high this month 12.7c on the 1st
Current low this month 6.2c on the 9th & 10th

[damianslaw]

15 hours ago, Weather-history said:

Since and including January 2011, there has been an odd checkerboard pattern with Januarys and their CETs

The odd year Januarys have been cooler than the even year Januarys

2011: 3.7

2012: 5.4

2013: 3.5

2014: 5.7

2015: 4.4

2016: 5.4

2017: 4.0

2018: 5.3

2019: 4.0

2020: 6.4

2021: 3.1

Average for odd year Januarys: 3.8

Average for even year Januarys: 5.6

 

 

Interesting observation... quite unique espeically given the degree of difference nearly 2 degrees! 

Back to the CET static again, but should be a downward turn in the days ahead.

15 hours ago, Weather-history said:

Since and including January 2011, there has been an odd checkerboard pattern with Januarys and their CETs

The odd year Januarys have been cooler than the even year Januarys

2011: 3.7

2012: 5.4

2013: 3.5

2014: 5.7

2015: 4.4

2016: 5.4

2017: 4.0

2018: 5.3

2019: 4.0

2020: 6.4

2021: 3.1

Average for odd year Januarys: 3.8

Average for even year Januarys: 5.6

 

 

Interesting observation... quite unique espeically given the degree of difference nearly 2 degrees! 

Back to the CET static again, but should be a downward turn in the days ahead.

[Roger J Smith]

Almanac for 12th January 

 

The highest daily mean (1772-2021) was 9.9 in 1976 and 2007. Before that, the record was 9.6 in 1818. Other mild days included 9.4 in 1790, 9.1 in 2012, 9.0 in 1975, 8.9 in 1851, 8.7 in 1875 and 1996, 8.6 in 1821, 8.5 in 1783, and 8.4 in 1796 and 1983. 

The lowest daily mean (1772-2021) was -7.7 in 1987. Other low daily means were -6.9 in 1838, -6.7 in 1789, -6.3 in 1963, -5.7 in 1814, -5.4 in 1792, -4.8 in 1820, -4.7 in 1780, -3.7 in 1826 and 1982, -3.6 in 1802, -3.5 in 1871, -3.4 in 1795, -3.3 in 1879, -3.2 in 1867 and 1895, and -3.0 in 1881.

The highest maximum (1878-2021) was 13.1 in 2007. This replaced 12.2 from 1984, which had replaced 11.6 from 1948. Other mild days include 11.4 in 1994, 11.3 in 1890 and 1976, 11.2 in 1920 and 1938, and 10.9 in 1932, 1937, 2011 and 2012. 

The highest minimum (1878-2021) was 8.4 in 1976. Other mild minimum readings were 7.9 in 1975, 7.3 in 2012 and 7.1 in 2020.

The lowest maximum (1878-2021) was -5.7 in 1987. This was the lowest value in January and the entire year, in the data interval 1878-2021, but it is quite possible that 20 Jan 1838 had a lower maximum and there would be a few other possible occasions. Other cold values were -2.4 (1963), -0.7 (1982), -0.2 (1977), -0.1 (1895), 0.2 (1881), 1.1 (1880), 1.3 (1968), 1.4 (1914) and 1.5 (2010).

The lowest minimum (1878-2021) was -10.1 in 1963. Other cold minima include -9.7 in 1987, -9.5 in 1879, -7.2 in 1892, -6.8 in 1982, -6.3 in 1895, -6.2 in 1881 and 1908, -6.1 in 1940, -5.5 in 1968, -5.4 in 1942, -5.2 in 2003, -4.5 in 1955 and -4.0 in 1891. 

The wettest 12th of January (1931-2021) in the EWP data was 13.22 mm (2017), followed by 13.05 mm (1984), 12.29 mm (1948), 11.04 mm (1969), 10.33 mm (2015) and 10.05 mm (2000). (note: A total precip of 12 mm 11th-14th 1987 can be assumed to be 12-20 cm snowfalls depending on ratios).

The wettest week ending 12th January (6th - 12th Jan) was 76.00 mm in 1948, followed by 52.17 mm (2011), and 48.51 mm (2016). The 76 mm is the highest weekly total where all days are within January. 

The least amount falling in a week ending 12th January was 0.70 mm in 1973, then 2.01 mm in 2019, 2.23 mm in 1963, 2.94 mm in 1980 and 2.95 mm in 2012.

-----------------------------

(Today's map link is for 1948, the culmination of the wettest weekly interval in January, recorded since 1931.) 

https://www.wetterzentrale.de/reanalysis.php?jaar=1948&maand=1&dag=12&uur=1200&var=1&map=1&model=noaa

Edited January 12, 2022 by Roger J Smith

[The PIT]

Sunny Old Sheffield up to 5.4C +0.7C above normal. Rainfall 19.1mm 25.7% of the monthly average

[Roger J Smith]

At the rate things are going the month may never reach 55 mm EWP which is the lowest forecast. If that's the case (even 57 mm) then the order of finish is basically the same as the list of forecasts in order, but read from the dry end to the wet end. Godber1 has the lowest forecast of 55 mm followed by the PIT at 65 mm. 

The top ten annual scores if this comes to pass would be:

freeze, Godber1, RJS, seaside60, Feb91Blizzard, Sleety, daniel*, noname_weather, Mr Maunder, February1978. 

11-20 would be

virtualsphere, Midlands Ice Age, dancerwithwings, Stewfox, Mulzy, Ed Stone, stevew, davehsug, the PIT and Weather26. 

A caveat would be that two recent months were looking dry then model changes showed up around the 20th and they ended up closer to normal or even wet. But that's how things would stand if the month remains below 58 mm. Even 59-70 mm would not change this very much as most of the forecasts are well above 70 mm. 

[Summer Sun]

6.3c to the 11th

2.7c above the 61 to 90 average
2.0c above the 81 to 10 average

___________________________

Current high this month 12.7c on the 1st
Current low this month 6.2c on the 9th & 10th

[Roger J Smith]

Almanac for 13th January 

 

The highest daily mean (1772-2021) was 10.0 in 1796 and 1873, 2007 almost created a three-way tie at 9.9. Besides those three, other mild days included 9.7 in 2011, 9.6 in 1996, 9.4 in 1976, 9.3 in 1849 and 2019, 9.1 in 1804, 9.0 in 1773, 1944 and 1998, 8.8 in 1834 and 1948, 8.7 in 1904, and 8.6 in 1790, 1875 and 1920.

The lowest daily mean (1772-2021) was -6.6 in 1987 which barely edged out previous record -6.5 from 1820. Other low daily means were  -6.1 in 1780 and 1982, -5.1 in 1792, -5.0 in 1867, -4.9 in 1826, -4.4 in 1963, -4.3 in 1838, -4.1 in 1802 and 1814, -3.9 in 1979, -3.6 in 1789, -3.1 in 1803, and -2.9 in 1823 and 1881.

The highest maximum (1878-2021) was 12.3 in 2011. This replaced 12.1 from 1948 tied by 1989. Other mild days include 11.9 in 1944, 11.6 in 1904, 11.5 in 1915, 11.4 in 1986, 11.1 in 2007, and 10.9 in 1996. 

The highest minimum (1878-2021) was 8.8 in 2007. Other mild minimum readings were 8.4 in 1996, 8.1 in 1976, 8.0 in 2019, 7.3 in 1998 and 7.1 in 2011. 

The lowest maximum (1878-2021) was -3.5 in 1987. Other cold values were -2.8 (1982), -0.4 (1880), -0.3 (1955 and 1963), -0.2 (1985), 0.1 (1881), 0.2 (1960), 0.3 (1903), 0.8 (1979), 0.9 (2010) and 1.2 (1887 and 1926).

The lowest minimum (1878-2021) was -9.6 in 1987, which broke a record of -9.4 from 1982, which in turn had beaten -8.6 from 1979. It is rare to see any minimum record broken three times in relatively recent decades. Before 1979 the lowest value had been -8.4 from 1963. (1820 was likely in the range of any of these four). Other cold minima include -6.4 in 1908, -5.9 in 1881, -5.6 in 1940, -5.1 in 1922, -4.7 in 1879, -4.6 in 1955, -4.5 in 1903, -4.3 in 1892 and 1913, -4.1 in 1968 and -4.0 in 1918.

The wettest 13th of January (1931-2021) in the EWP data was 16.69 mm (1977), followed by 14.92 mm (2021), 14.31 mm (1965), 12.19 mm (1955 and 1993), 11.66 mm (1934), 10.67 mm (1968), and 10.25 mm (1998). Some or all of the 1955 precip was probably snow.

The wettest week ending 13th January (7th - 13th Jan) was 63.32 mm in 1948, followed by 48.29 mm (1993).  

The least amount falling in a week ending 13th January was 1.77 mm in 1967, 2.08 mm in 1950, 2.28 mm in 2019, 2.43 mm in 2012, 2.48 mm in 1963, 2.74 mm in 1953, 3.03 mm in 1980 and 3.05 mm in 1997.

-----------------------------

(Today's map link is for 1955, a cold spell with snow.) 

https://www.wetterzentrale.de/reanalysis.php?jaar=1955&maand=1&dag=13&uur=1200&var=1&map=1&model=noaa

Edited January 13, 2022 by Roger J Smith

[Summer Sun]

6.2c to the 12th

2.6c above the 61 to 90 average
1.9c above the 81 to 10 average

___________________________

Current high this month 12.7c on the 1st
Current low this month 6.2c on the 9th, 10th & 12th

[BornFromTheVoid]

Latest CET projection, based on the 06z GFS.

  

Before corrections, the chances of finishing:
Close to average (4.2C to 5.2C) is 39%
Above average (>5.2C) is 39%
Below average (<4.2C) is 22%

The period of the 13th to the 18th is forecast to average 5.0C, equal to the the 91-20 average.

Edited January 13, 2022 by BornFromTheVoid

[Roger J Smith]

Almanac for 14th January 

 

The highest daily mean (1772-2021) was 10.2 in 2011, which replaced 9.9 from 1930. Before that the highest value was 9.5 in 1796.  Other mild days included 9.3 in 1804, 9.2 in 1773 and 1819, 9.0 in 1875, 1915 and 1996, 8.9 in 1866 and 2003, and 8.6 in 1868 and 2020. 

The lowest daily mean (1772-2021) was -7.6 in 1982 which broke the previous record -7.1 from 1881. Other low daily means were -6.1 in 1814, -6.0 in 1838, -5.4 in 1826, -4.5 in 1820, -4.4 in 1780, -4.1 in 1823, -3.9 in 1867, -3.7 in 1776, -3.6 in 1792 and 1987, -3.5 in 1795, -3.3 in 1903, -3.2 in 1959. 

The highest maximum (1878-2021) was 12.7 in 1968. Other mild days include 12.6 in 1954, 12.5 in 1930, 12.4 in 1974, 12.3 in 1939, 12.2 in 2020, 11.7 in 1993, 11.5 in 1947, 11.2 in 1923, 11.1 in 1918 and 1975, and 10.9 in 2011.

The highest minimum (1878-2021) was 9.5 in 2011. Other mild minimum readings were 8.2 in 2003, 7.9 in 1915, and 7.4 in 1996. 

The lowest maximum (1878-2021) was -4.4 in 1881. Other cold values were -2.3 (1982), -0.8 (1959), -0.6 (1903 and 1987), -0.4 (1926), 0.6 (1985), 0.7 (1942), 0.8 (1960 and 1966), 1.0 (1936), 1.1 (1902) and 1.2 (1955).

The lowest minimum (1878-2021) was -12.9 in 1982, which broke a record of -9.7 from 1881. Other cold minima include -8.4 in 1963 and 1979, -6.6 in 1987, -6.0 in 1918, -5.9 in 1903 and 1964, -5.6 in 1980, -5.5 in 1959, -5.3 in 1985, -5.2 in 1940, -4.7 in 1960, and -4.0 in 1936 and 1955. (also -3.4 in 2012).

The wettest 14th of January (1931-2021) in the EWP data was 17.27 mm (1939), followed by 14.59 mm (2008), 13.77 mm (2020), and 12.74 mm (2015).

The wettest week ending 14th January (8th - 14th Jan) was 58.06 mm in 1948, followed by 57.53 mm (2008) and 51.03 mm (1993).  

The least amount falling in a week ending 14th January was 0.18 mm in 1940, followed by 1.47 mm in 1967, 1.99 mm in 2019, 2.45 mm in 1963, 2.53 mm in 2012, 2.72 mm in 2001, and 2.99 mm in 1953.

-----------------------------

(Today's map link is for 2012, as much colder weather set in.) 

https://www.wetterzentrale.de/reanalysis.php?jaar=2012&maand=1&dag=14&uur=1200&var=1&map=1&model=noaa

Edited January 14, 2022 by Roger J Smith

[Summer Sun]

6.0c to the 13th

2.5c above the 61 to 90 average
1.7c above the 81 to 10 average

___________________________

Current high this month 12.7c on the 1st
Current low this month 6.0c on the 13th

[damianslaw]

Last few days have been quite chilly in CET zone and expect downward adjustments..

[The PIT]

Sunny Sheffield up to 5.5C +0.8C above normal. Rainfall unchanged.

[Roger J Smith]

Almanac for 15th January 

 

The highest daily mean (1772-2021) was 10.3 in 1804, followed by 10.2 in 1852, but the warmest since that is only 9.3 from 1968.  Other mild days included 9.6 in 1818, 9.1 in 1878 and 1947, 8.9 in 1796 and 1990, 8.7 in 1983 and 8.6 in 1974 and 2003.

The lowest daily mean (1772-2021) was -8.5 in 1820, almost matched by -8.2 in 1838. Other low daily means were -7.2 in 1881, -6.9 in 1826, -5.2 in 1814, -4.4 in 1982, -4.3 in 1823, -3.9 in 1780, -3.4 in 1802, -2.9 in 1809 and 1867 and -2.8 in 1795. 

The highest maximum (1878-2021) was 13.1 in 1954. Other mild days include 12.6 in 1975 and 1990, 12.5 in 1993, 12.0 in 1974, 11.6 in 1899, 11.5 in 1932 and 2011, 11.4 in 1947, and 11.1 in 1999.

The highest minimum (1878-2021) was 8.3 in 1968. Other mild minimum readings were 7.8 in 1878, 7.5 in 2003, 7.0 in 1970, and 6.8 in 1947 and 1950.

The lowest maximum (1878-2021) was -2.7 in 1881. Other cold values were -1.2 (1985), -0.7 (1926), 0.1 (1903), 0.2 (1941), 0.5 (1966), 0.7 (1959), 0.8 (1942), 0.9 (1987), 1.1 (1936), and 1.2 (1917).

The lowest minimum (1878-2021) was -12.7 in 1982, which broke a record of -11.6 from 1881. Other cold minima include -6.9 in 1940, -6.7 in 1955, -5.8 in 1892, -5.7 in 1902 and 1959, -5.1 in 1903, -4.9 in 1966 and 1987, -4.8 in 1942, -4.4 in 1926, -4.2 in 1963, and -3.9 in 1936.

The wettest 15th of January (1931-2021) in the EWP data was 20.35 mm (1999), followed by 14.60 mm (2008), 13.77 mm (2020), and 12.74 mm (2015) and 11.26 mm (1962) and 10.46 mm (2004).

The wettest week ending 15th January (9th - 15th Jan) was 65.34 mm in 2008, followed by 58.03 mm in 1948, and 50.57 mm (1993).  

The least amount falling in a week ending 15th January was 0.53 mm in 1940, followed by 0.87 mm in 1967, 2.03 mm in 1982, 2.25 mm in 2012, 2.58 mm in 2001, 2.93 mm in 1963, 2.96 mm in 1997, and 2.99 mm in 1953.

-----------------------------

(Today's map link is for 2008, second consecutive day with 14.6 mm rainfall, in a month that kept getting milder.) 

https://www.wetterzentrale.de/reanalysis.php?jaar=2008&maand=1&dag=15&uur=1200&var=1&map=1&model=noaa

 

 

Edited January 15, 2022 by Roger J Smith

[Roger J Smith]

EWP update, as you'll see in the almanac, week-length dry spells are uncommon in January but this one seems set to run out to about three weeks. We had reached 29 mm a few days ago, and the projection after ten more days is little more than 30 mm. That would rank 12th driest January, with 26 more that could be passed with as little as 10 mm additional (to reach 40 mm). Whether we see that much in any breakdown of this static pattern or not remains to be seen and 2022 could end up in the middle of that logjam of very similar amounts between 30 and 35 mm (35.0 mm would be 25th driest). At that outcome, it would be the driest January since 2006 (31.9 mm, 16th driest). We have already passed 5th driest 1997 (16.5 mm). Many of the dry Januaries are rather cold and few are in the mildest third (this one is gradually sinking into the middle third for temperature and the current GFS run out to the end of the month suggests a finish in the 4.0 to 4.5 range as colder air arrives increasingly often).  

Most dry Januaries are well back in the past, the median of all years in the 41 driest is 1858 while the median of years in the data set (1766 to 2021) is 1893.5. In fact to find five in this century (2001 to 2021) or six counting 2000, requires going to 116th driest (these are 2006, 2000, 2019, 2005, 2012, and 2010 in order of dry ranks). The median is at 128th place. 

[Summer Sun]

5.8c to the 14th

2.3c above the 61 to 90 average
1.4c above the 81 to 10 average

___________________________

Current high this month 12.7c on the 1st
Current low this month 5.8c on the 14th

[The PIT]

Sunny Sheffield  still at 5.5C +0.8C above normal.Rainfall unchanged.

[Roger J Smith]

Almanac for 16th January 

 

The highest daily mean (1772-2021) was 10.8 in 1990, which replaced 9.8 from 1796. Other mild days included 10.4 in 2011, 10.3 in 1993, 10.0 in 1947, 9.6 in 1890, 9.5 in 1932 and 1983, 9.4 in 1868, 9.1 in 1908, 9.0 in 1818, 8.8 in 1804 and 1920, and 8.7 in 1834 and 1989.

The lowest daily mean (1772-2021) was -7.7 in 1881. Other low daily means were -6.3 in 1826, -4.8 in 1926, -4.6 in 1810, -3.9 in 1820, -3.6 in 1802, 1941 and 1985, -3.4 in 1795, -3.3 in 1940, -3.2 in 1959, -3.1 in 1838, -3.0 in 1892, -2.9 in 2013, -2.7 in 1803, and -2.5 in 1776, 1808, 1814, and 1830. 

The highest maximum (1878-2021) was 13.1 in 1993. Other mild days include 12.6 in 1947, 12.2 in 1932, 11.9 in 1990, 11.6 in 1920, 11.5 in 2011, 11.4 in 2020, 11.3 in 1890, 11.2 in 1984 and 11.1 in 1910 and 1938. 

The highest minimum (1878-2021) was 9.8 in 1990. Other mild minimum readings were 9.4 in 2011, 8.6 in 1983, 7.9 in 1890, 7.7 in 1989, 7.5 in 1908 and 1993, 7.4 in 1947, 7.1 in 1939, 7.0 in 1878, and 6.8 in 1932. 

The lowest maximum (1878-2021) was -3.0 in 1985 which replaced -2.6 from 1881 and 1926. Other cold values were -1.1 (1940), -0.7 (2013), -0.4 (1941), 0.3 (1936), 0.6 (1959), 0.7 (1903), 0.8 (1887, 1888 and 1897), 1.0 (1963 and 1987), 1.1 (1917), 1.2 (1892) and 1.3 (1942).

The lowest minimum (1878-2021) was -12.7 in 1881. Other cold minima include -7.2 in 1892, -7.0 in 1959, -6.9 in 1926, -6.7 in 1941, -6.5 in 1982, -5.5 in 1940, -5.4 in 1946, -5.2 in 2013, -5.0 in 1905, -4.9 in 1942, -4.4 in 1903, -4.2 in 1985 and -3.9 in 2001.

The wettest 16th of January (1931-2021) in the EWP data was 13.30 mm (1984), followed by 9.83 (1938) and 8.59 mm (2014). This appears to be the lowest top three so far in the winter season.

The wettest week ending 16th January (10th - 16th Jan) was 61.07 mm in 2008, followed by 50.15 mm (1938) and 49.93 mm (1948)..  

The least amount falling in a week ending 16th January was 0.47 mm in 1992, followed by 0.60 mm in 1967, 0.95 mm in 1982, 1.82 mm in 2012, 2.32 mm in 1940, 2.52 mm in 1953, 2.55 mm in 2001, 2.57 mm in 1976, 2.58 mm in 1997 and 3.07 mm in 1963.

-----------------------------

(Today's map link is for 1985, a cold spell moving towards its coldest readings 16th-17th.) 

https://www.wetterzentrale.de/reanalysis.php?jaar=1985&maand=1&dag=16&uur=1200&var=1&map=1&model=noaa

 

Edited January 16, 2022 by Roger J Smith

[damianslaw]

Mid month point and we are finally in the 5s.. difficult to predict what the CET will do second half, but looks fairly chilly for the foreseeable, average or slightly above.. not expecting a significant downward trend, but hedge a bet final figure could be in the high 4s, possibly low 5s, if we have a cold end or mild end, then lower 4s, or higher 5s conversely. 

[The PIT]

Sunny Sheffield down to 5.2C +0.5C above normal Rainfall unchanged.

[Summer Sun]

5.5c to the 15th

2.0c above the 61 to 90 average
1.1c above the 81 to 10 average

___________________________

Current high this month 12.7c on the 1st
Current low this month 5.5c on the 15th

[Roger J Smith]

Almanac for 17th January 

 

The highest daily mean (1772-2021) was 10.2 in 1908, which replaced 9.1 from 1859. Other mild days included 9.9 in 1920, 9.3 in 1932 and 2007, 8.8 in 1804, 8.7 in 1854, 8.6 in 1875, and 8.5 in 1993.

The lowest daily mean (1772-2021) was -6.2 in 1881. Other low daily means were -5.6 in 1940, -5.1 in 1814 and 1830, -4.5 in 1963, -4.4 in 1985, -4.3 in 1926, -3.8 in 1810, -3.7 in 1795, and -2.9 in 1941. 

The highest maximum (1878-2021) was 12.4 in 1934.  Other mild days include 12.1 in 1920 and 2007, 11.4 in 1925, 11.3 in 1932, and 11.1 in 1908 and 1921.

The highest minimum (1878-2021) was 9.3 in 1908. Other mild minimum readings were 8.1 in 1993, 7.7 in 1920, 7.3 in 1932, and 7.0 in 1894.

The lowest maximum (1878-2021) was -2.1 in 1940. Other cold values were -1.9 (1963), -1.3 (1881), -0.9 (1987), -0.7 (1891), 0.1 (1941 and 1985), 0.3 (1903 and 1926), 1.1 (1888), 1.2 (2013) and 1.3 (1942). 

The lowest minimum (1878-2021) was -11.0 in 1881. Other cold minima include -9.0 in 1940, -8.9 in 1926, -8.8 in 1985, -7.0 in 1963, -6.9 in 1926, -6.3 in 1941, -6.1 in 1887, -6.0 in 1959, -5.6 in 1955, -5.1 in 2013, -4.8 in 1946, -4.6 in 1891, -4.4 in 1977, -4.3 in 1918, -4.1 in 2001, -3.7 in 1964, -3.6 in 1905, and -3.5 in 2012.

The wettest 17th of January (1931-2021) in the EWP data was 15.39 mm (2007), followed by 12.20 mm (1995), 11.99 mm (1969), 10.75 mm (1948), 10.63 mm (1939), 10.53 mm (2009) and 10.06 mm (1959). 

The wettest week ending 17th January (11th - 17th Jan) was 58.06 mm in 2008, followed by 50.15 mm (1938) and 47.81 mm (1939). This is similar to the low production rate from the previous day.  

The least amount falling in a week ending 17th January was 0.51 mm in 1992, followed by 1.39 mm in 1976, 1.47 mm in 1982, 1.91 mm in 2001, 2.01 mm in 1967,  2.13 mm in 1953, 2.43 mm in 2012, 2.52 mm in 1940, and 2.94 mm in 1963.

-----------------------------

(Today's map link is for 2007, a mild and windy period lasting several days.) 

https://www.wetterzentrale.de/reanalysis.php?jaar=2007&maand=1&dag=17&uur=1200&var=1&map=1&model=noaa

Edited January 17, 2022 by Roger J Smith

[The PIT]

Sunny Sheffield still at 5.2C +0.5C above normal. Rainfall 19.4mm 26.1% of the monthly average

[Summer Sun]

5.5c to the 16th

2.0c above the 61 to 90 average
1.1c above the 81 to 10 average

___________________________

Current high this month 12.7c on the 1st
Current low this month 5.5c on the 15th & 16th

[damianslaw]

Mmm these figures look dubious to me.. yesterday was cold in the CET zone widespread frost.. expecting marked downward corrections this month, I'd say we are probably nearer to 5 degrees now.

Edited January 17, 2022 by damianslaw