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South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion

Mapantz
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Dorsetbred Maestro

Dorsetbred

Posted
  • Location: Poole, Dorset 42m ASL
  • Location: Poole, Dorset 42m ASL
Posted (edited)
5 hours ago, TheJCInsights said:

Quite enjoying the wild differences depending on what model you look at for tomorrow afternoon down in central southern...
GFS = couple of cm slow fluries
ECMWF = Dry
Icon / Aperge = Rain

So who on Earth knows! Ha.

I'll take a stab at that, the further south it comes the clearer the precipitation..

Edited by Dorsetbred
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Dorsetbred Maestro

Dorsetbred

Posted
  • Location: Poole, Dorset 42m ASL
  • Location: Poole, Dorset 42m ASL
Posted
9 minutes ago, iowpompeylee said:

Not sure whether we have a chance tomorrow or Wednesday… doubtful! For us in the very far south might be the best chance we have all winter

Best or ONLY!

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iowpompeylee Aficionado

iowpompeylee

Posted
  • Location: Shanklin, isle of wight
  • Weather Preferences: Snow,snow and more snow
  • Location: Shanklin, isle of wight
Posted
1 hour ago, Dorsetbred said:

Best or ONLY!

Only!! Haha  

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iowpompeylee Aficionado

iowpompeylee

Posted
  • Location: Shanklin, isle of wight
  • Weather Preferences: Snow,snow and more snow
  • Location: Shanklin, isle of wight
Posted

I do think the southern regions sometimes get some surprise coverings with these chances, just hope it gets cold enough 

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Dorsetbred Maestro

Dorsetbred

Posted
  • Location: Poole, Dorset 42m ASL
  • Location: Poole, Dorset 42m ASL
Posted

Morning All, overcast and drizzle after a cooler night with 5.2°C at: 07:46, currently 6.1°C RH95% with a northerly breeze increasing..with the encroaching band of rain as seen from above

image.thumb.png.f794abf11a8e98b7b4477e5546c5237c.png

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Ali1977 Maestro

Ali1977

Posted
  • Location: North East Cotswolds, 232m, 761feet ASL
  • Location: North East Cotswolds, 232m, 761feet ASL
Posted

Temp dropped from 2.6c to 1.0c in the last 30 minutes, if we had any precip id think it would be snow now. 

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Andy Bown Accomplished

Andy Bown

Posted
  • Location: Warminster, Wiltshire
  • Location: Warminster, Wiltshire
Posted
17 minutes ago, Ali1977 said:

Temp dropped from 2.6c to 1.0c in the last 30 minutes, if we had any precip id think it would be snow now. 

Yes it’s dropping quickly here too, from 6.2c to 3.4c in less than half an hour. Might not sound great but it’s more wintry than anything in nearly 2 weeks!

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MP-R Maestro

MP-R

Posted
  • Location: Cleeve, North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Continental winters & summers.
  • Location: Cleeve, North Somerset
Posted

3 degrees and feeling raw. It’s actually January weather!

  • Thanks 1
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jethro Accomplished

jethro

Posted
  • Location: Cheddar Valley, 20mtrs asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and lots of it or warm and sunny, no mediocre dross
  • Location: Cheddar Valley, 20mtrs asl
Posted

Morning all, hope you all had a good Christmas. It's heavy sleet here in the Cheddar valley, I expect it's snow on top of the Mendips but I have absolutely no intention of leaving my warm house to find out. Work can wait for another day, pruning a massive Wisteria over the top of a 70mtr pergola holds zero appeal in this weather.

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Andy Bown Accomplished

Andy Bown

Posted
  • Location: Warminster, Wiltshire
  • Location: Warminster, Wiltshire
Posted
1 hour ago, Ali1977 said:

Temp dropped from 2.6c to 1.0c in the last 30 minutes, if we had any precip id think it would be snow now. 

Yes it’s dropping quickly here too, from 6.2c to 2.1c in less than an hour. Might not sound great but it’s more wintry than anything in nearly 2 weeks! Plus some sleet wahey!

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The Enforcer Rising Star

The Enforcer

Posted
  • Location: Abingdon - 55m ASL - Capital of The Central Southern England Corridor of Winter Convectionlessness
  • Weather Preferences: Winter: Snow>Freezing Fog; Summer: Sun>Daytime Storms
  • Location: Abingdon - 55m ASL - Capital of The Central Southern England Corridor of Winter Convectionlessness
Posted

Never trust hi-res GFS precipitation modelling. Snow forecast on every run until T+0:

image.thumb.png.d4b25910eaf7bd92a0824270419d02e6.png

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iowpompeylee Aficionado

iowpompeylee

Posted
  • Location: Shanklin, isle of wight
  • Weather Preferences: Snow,snow and more snow
  • Location: Shanklin, isle of wight
Posted

Cooled off a lot in an hour or so! But still 4.7c! wind chill cold now make it feel like 0c… unfortunately dew point still 3c! 

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offerman Seasoned

offerman

Posted
  • Location: Frome 330ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Most(see in interests section.)
  • Location: Frome 330ft ASL
Posted

Such Strange event happening right now .

on the radar it’s showing precipitation moving west to east.

yet the wind is blowing east to west and all of the clouds are also moving east to west so how come the precipitation is moving west to east very strange

 

 

D6845B0A-6963-4F24-8637-6EC8DD65F5BF.png

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Mapantz Maestro

Mapantz

Posted
  • Location: Dorset
  • Weather Preferences: warehamwx.co.uk
  • Location: Dorset
  • Author
Posted
3 minutes ago, offerman said:

Such Strange event happening right now .

on the radar it’s showing precipitation moving west to east.

yet the wind is blowing east to west and all of the clouds are also moving east to west so how come the precipitation is moving west to east very strange

 

 

D6845B0A-6963-4F24-8637-6EC8DD65F5BF.png

The upper-wind is the steering mechanism.

viewimage.thumb.png.2df3e7bbf4be0302e9a186c372b39cef.png

Surface winds will be different..

1864776972_viewimage(1).thumb.png.f47ac21946560aee7663018738ac2776.png

Those differences are indicated as shear on the LLS chart below

1986588171_viewimage(2).thumb.png.b4f32d16220a7a951ddabbab8ebb5250.png

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*Stormforce~beka* Maestro

*Stormforce~beka*

Posted
  • Location: Winchester, Hampshire ~ Southern Central!
  • Location: Winchester, Hampshire ~ Southern Central!
Posted
1 hour ago, Easily sled said:

Snowing in Winchester, very much unexpected! 

Don't tell me that!! I was asleep!

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Rich_Clements Rising Star

Rich_Clements

Posted
  • Location: Eastington Gloucestershire
  • Weather Preferences: Hot in Summer Cold in Winter
  • Location: Eastington Gloucestershire
Posted

Blue skies here which is a welcome change

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kumquat Seasoned

kumquat

Posted
  • Location: Winterbourne, South Glos
  • Location: Winterbourne, South Glos
Posted
2 minutes ago, Rich_Clements said:

Blue skies here which is a welcome change

Was about to say the same. Nice to see the sun shining!

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Dorsetbred Maestro

Dorsetbred

Posted
  • Location: Poole, Dorset 42m ASL
  • Location: Poole, Dorset 42m ASL
Posted (edited)

After a low of 2.9°C at: 11:18, things have warmed up to 3.8°C, even some blurry sunshine...

image.thumb.png.18bb7c5fce5ebfcd0e1f444d9549f617.png

Edited by Dorsetbred
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offerman Seasoned

offerman

Posted
  • Location: Frome 330ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Most(see in interests section.)
  • Location: Frome 330ft ASL
Posted
3 hours ago, Mapantz said:

The upper-wind is the steering mechanism.

viewimage.thumb.png.2df3e7bbf4be0302e9a186c372b39cef.png

Surface winds will be different..

1864776972_viewimage(1).thumb.png.f47ac21946560aee7663018738ac2776.png

Those differences are indicated as shear on the LLS chart below

1986588171_viewimage(2).thumb.png.b4f32d16220a7a951ddabbab8ebb5250.png

Thanks Mapantz 

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