South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion

[Mapantz]

 

[Dorsetbred]

5 hours ago, TheJCInsights said:

Quite enjoying the wild differences depending on what model you look at for tomorrow afternoon down in central southern...
GFS = couple of cm slow fluries
ECMWF = Dry
Icon / Aperge = Rain

So who on Earth knows! Ha.

I'll take a stab at that, the further south it comes the clearer the precipitation..

Edited January 3, 2022 by Dorsetbred

[Dorsetbred]

9 minutes ago, iowpompeylee said:

Not sure whether we have a chance tomorrow or Wednesday… doubtful! For us in the very far south might be the best chance we have all winter

Best or ONLY!

[iowpompeylee]

1 hour ago, Dorsetbred said:

Best or ONLY!

Only!! Haha  

[iowpompeylee]

I do think the southern regions sometimes get some surprise coverings with these chances, just hope it gets cold enough 

[knocker]

Breezy with a fair amount of Cu around but currenely dry

[Dorsetbred]

Morning All, overcast and drizzle after a cooler night with 5.2°C at: 07:46, currently 6.1°C RH95% with a northerly breeze increasing..with the encroaching band of rain as seen from above

[Ali1977]

Temp dropped from 2.6c to 1.0c in the last 30 minutes, if we had any precip id think it would be snow now. 

[Andy Bown]

17 minutes ago, Ali1977 said:

Temp dropped from 2.6c to 1.0c in the last 30 minutes, if we had any precip id think it would be snow now. 

Yes it’s dropping quickly here too, from 6.2c to 3.4c in less than half an hour. Might not sound great but it’s more wintry than anything in nearly 2 weeks!

[Quantock]

Sleet falling now.  Temp 2.9C, DP 1C

West Somerset 103m asl

Edited January 4, 2022 by Quantock

[MP-R]

3 degrees and feeling raw. It’s actually January weather!

[jethro]

Morning all, hope you all had a good Christmas. It's heavy sleet here in the Cheddar valley, I expect it's snow on top of the Mendips but I have absolutely no intention of leaving my warm house to find out. Work can wait for another day, pruning a massive Wisteria over the top of a 70mtr pergola holds zero appeal in this weather.

[Andy Bown]

1 hour ago, Ali1977 said:

Temp dropped from 2.6c to 1.0c in the last 30 minutes, if we had any precip id think it would be snow now. 

Yes it’s dropping quickly here too, from 6.2c to 2.1c in less than an hour. Might not sound great but it’s more wintry than anything in nearly 2 weeks! Plus some sleet wahey!

[Mark Parsons]

Light snow at Broadwindsor Dorset 180 m asl

[R Alto]

The odd sleety snow flake in Poole

[The Enforcer]

Never trust hi-res GFS precipitation modelling. Snow forecast on every run until T+0:

[iowpompeylee]

Cooled off a lot in an hour or so! But still 4.7c! wind chill cold now make it feel like 0c… unfortunately dew point still 3c! 

[offerman]

Such Strange event happening right now .

on the radar it’s showing precipitation moving west to east.

yet the wind is blowing east to west and all of the clouds are also moving east to west so how come the precipitation is moving west to east very strange

 

 

[Mapantz]

3 minutes ago, offerman said:

Such Strange event happening right now .

on the radar it’s showing precipitation moving west to east.

yet the wind is blowing east to west and all of the clouds are also moving east to west so how come the precipitation is moving west to east very strange

 

 

The upper-wind is the steering mechanism.

Surface winds will be different..

Those differences are indicated as shear on the LLS chart below

[Easily sled]

Snowing in Winchester, very much unexpected! 

[*Stormforce~beka*]

1 hour ago, Easily sled said:

Snowing in Winchester, very much unexpected! 

Don't tell me that!! I was asleep!

[Rich_Clements]

Blue skies here which is a welcome change

[kumquat]

2 minutes ago, Rich_Clements said:

Blue skies here which is a welcome change

Was about to say the same. Nice to see the sun shining!

[Dorsetbred]

After a low of 2.9°C at: 11:18, things have warmed up to 3.8°C, even some blurry sunshine...

Edited January 4, 2022 by Dorsetbred

[offerman]

3 hours ago, Mapantz said:

The upper-wind is the steering mechanism.

Surface winds will be different..

Those differences are indicated as shear on the LLS chart below

Thanks Mapantz