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(potential) Spring Snow + Wintry conditions 30th March 2022>


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Posted
  • Location: Kirkcaldy, Fife, Scotland 20m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunderstorms
  • Location: Kirkcaldy, Fife, Scotland 20m ASL

    Thinking its definitely worth setting this thread up, been a consistent signal for the arctic air to move in from the 30th main questions being the duration and exact direction ie North East or East (probably a mix) 

    00z ECM and latest ICON are belters  animotb7.gif animpyp7.gif UKMO looks great too image.thumb.png.40874710f2ec19c9a3d353eb9be94d07.pngimage.thumb.png.c9db06a7f6e4fb198c08496f9d527dbf.png

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    Posted
  • Location: Kirkcaldy, Fife, Scotland 20m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunderstorms
  • Location: Kirkcaldy, Fife, Scotland 20m ASL

    GEM joining in animsnl1.gif 

    ECM just out The Wire Wow GIF  animeah3.gif

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    Posted
  • Location: Kirkcaldy, Fife, Scotland 20m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunderstorms
  • Location: Kirkcaldy, Fife, Scotland 20m ASL

    Looks excellent on todays modelling  

    UKMO UW72-21.GIF?26-17UW96-21.GIF?26-17UW120-21.GIF?26-17

    ICON animisf3.gif

    Gfsanimwvz8.gif

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    Posted
  • Location: Kirkcaldy, Fife, Scotland 20m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunderstorms
  • Location: Kirkcaldy, Fife, Scotland 20m ASL

    18z GFS is bulls-eye-anderson.gif  animynf9.gif

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    Posted
  • Location: Kirkcaldy, Fife, Scotland 20m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunderstorms
  • Location: Kirkcaldy, Fife, Scotland 20m ASL

    Getting the views of the way this setup could materialize. A wide area of snow moving south through the country then the arrival of sea effect snow showers as the flow goes more to the east / ENE animsgk5.gif animxvg3.gifanimuzv4.gif 

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    Posted
  • Location: Kirkcaldy, Fife, Scotland 20m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunderstorms
  • Location: Kirkcaldy, Fife, Scotland 20m ASL

    I think the UKMO HD is seeing the convection from the north sea the best and the first area of snow ahead of that too animgtq7.gif

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    Posted
  • Location: Kirkcaldy, Fife, Scotland 20m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunderstorms
  • Location: Kirkcaldy, Fife, Scotland 20m ASL

    Lets give a forecast a shot  

    So where are we currently? we have a front which will be moving south west from north east Scotland, there's still a bit of uncertainty on exactly how heavy this will be but there's definitely a fair chance as it moves through Fife it *could* begin to pick up in intensity and at the same time cold air will begin to try undercut through the front slowly but surely changing it more to snow, I cant do a gif of the UKV but it illustrates this well 

    start of the front coming into Fife nmmukprate.png intensifies quite quickly nmmukprate.png after the front progresses south we see the cold (really quite impressive for the last days of March) air moving across the country @shuggee -10 850hpa included  animinv9.gif Radar will give the proper ideas of where the showers will be most frequent but the north sea should be crammed full given a temperature difference of between 15C - 17C that's more than ideal for sea effect snow shower development image.thumb.png.28b4f33c14baebbcdc74312800a48177.png

    animous0.gif and there's a impressive segment of low dewpoints modelled to move through too animggn7.gif 

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    Posted
  • Location: Upper Tweeddale, Scottish Borders 240m ASL
  • Location: Upper Tweeddale, Scottish Borders 240m ASL

    Radar just now to compare to those models:

     

    Screenshot_20220329-203314.png

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    Posted
  • Location: East Lothian
  • Weather Preferences: Not too hot, excitement of snow, a hoolie
  • Location: East Lothian
    5 minutes ago, shuggee said:

    Radar just now to compare to those models:

     

    Screenshot_20220329-203314.png

    Certainly feels different out there this evening. cold with icy rain

    0329radar9.png

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    Posted
  • Location: Kirkcaldy, Fife, Scotland 20m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunderstorms
  • Location: Kirkcaldy, Fife, Scotland 20m ASL

    I was believing the models were underestimating the convection and wrf nmm hadn't been too bullish but as we are moving into this setup it's now starting to increase the amount of showers modelled animzgf8.gif

    200.gif 

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    Posted
  • Location: N.E. Scotland South Side Moray Firth 100m asl
  • Location: N.E. Scotland South Side Moray Firth 100m asl

    Snowing here after intense hail shower at 1.30am  20220330_035902.thumb.jpg.cbb739c0b6bf71a2ca7578b9acd4f07f.jpg

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    Posted
  • Location: East Lothian
  • Weather Preferences: Not too hot, excitement of snow, a hoolie
  • Location: East Lothian

    Snow here at sea level, big flakes now. Looks awesome whirling about. Settling on cold cars and glass

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    Posted
  • Location: Kirkcaldy, Fife, Scotland 20m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunderstorms
  • Location: Kirkcaldy, Fife, Scotland 20m ASL

    Excited Snow Day GIF by SpongeBob SquarePants20220330_080053.thumb.jpg.a2bd3fe9edb72700a29c1373a94c5f89.jpg20220330_080055.thumb.jpg.5c65d2f038a58e97359308b0e74b9a43.jpg20220330_080142.thumb.jpg.a0dcd50de3656b81349521271d0fe619.jpg

     

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Kirkcaldy, Fife, Scotland 20m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunderstorms
  • Location: Kirkcaldy, Fife, Scotland 20m ASL

    Greatest intensity of the day so far

     

    IMG_20220330_164044.thumb.jpg.992a64962770c5465ab5ed4c5fa0a6fa.jpg

    Amazing cloudscapes earlier  IMG_20220330_143826.thumb.jpg.93d61a8904ce1e7362e59870ff735e02.jpgIMG_20220330_143832.thumb.jpg.996d304ae96592a9bb16415969229723.jpgIMG_20220330_150010.thumb.jpg.8ff6bac02162083574824aab0362125f.jpgIMG_20220330_151250.thumb.jpg.105465bc9af326ca58fff9a234f8ec96.jpg

     

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