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Posted
  • Location: Mynydd - Isa , Nr Mold - North Wales
  • Weather Preferences: Foggy autumn days are the best! Although I does enjoy a good thunderstorm.
  • Location: Mynydd - Isa , Nr Mold - North Wales
Posted

At long, long last we’ve had some very much welcome rain here this morning!! πŸŒ§πŸ™ŒπŸ»πŸ₯³

Sorry, morning everyone. 😊

I see that the U.K. Meto have just updated their thunderstorm warning for today! Amazingly my area is in it!! πŸ˜³πŸŒ©πŸ™πŸ»
Β 

The way this year has been, I very much doubt anything will kick off, being as it so cool and cloudy, but it’s still nice to see some potential. πŸ˜ŠπŸŒ©β›ˆ

As always, good luck to everyone with this today. πŸŒ©β›ˆπŸ™πŸ»πŸ€žπŸ»πŸ€žπŸ»

EE2DADD1-8BB9-4CF7-8265-17D3E513DB7B.png

  • Like 2
Posted
  • Location: Stroud, Gloucestershire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunderstorms, Heat, Ice, Freezing Fog. Etc
  • Location: Stroud, Gloucestershire
Posted

For what it’s worth, clouds are thinning well here… they were fairly heavy and dark earlier, now the sun is nearly visibly though them..Β 

  • Like 1
Posted
  • Location: South East UK, Reigate
  • Weather Preferences: Wake me up when the storms arrive
  • Location: South East UK, Reigate
Posted

Hmm, confused set of models for today. Three different forecasts!Β  I've got my eye on the Channel developments but currently they are drying as they move north.Β  Meanwhile, the sun is out here, and clouds are clearing so we have some ground heating in progress. Quite a pleasant morning, actually, after the 40c (on my weather thermometer) we had on Tuesday!

I'll wait and watch, and rain is badly needed anyway in our tumbleweed-filled garden.

  • Like 1
Posted
  • Location: London
  • Weather Preferences: Sun, hail, lightning
  • Location: London
Posted
1 minute ago, StormLoser said:

Hmm, confused set of models for today. Three different forecasts!Β  I've got my eye on the Channel developments but currently they are drying as they move north....

I'm feeling positive about that stuff in the channel right now. Probably Jinxed it

  • Like 2
Posted
  • Location: South East UK, Reigate
  • Weather Preferences: Wake me up when the storms arrive
  • Location: South East UK, Reigate
Posted
3 minutes ago, Tamsin said:

I'm feeling positive about that stuff in the channel right now. Probably Jinxed it

Let's hope not! Watch as any developments split to go either side of Reigate. That's what always happens for me!

  • Like 2
Posted
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
Posted
13 minutes ago, StormLoser said:

Let's hope not! Watch as any developments split to go either side of Reigate. That's what always happens for me!

Those storms are meant to swing eastwards with time, although the MUCAPE chart @Nick FΒ posted earlier suggests instability could be a bit more widespread than other models have suggested.

I would say based on observations risk is <30% for the London region....hoping I'm wrong πŸ˜„Β 

  • Like 2
Posted
  • Location: Langley Waterside, Beckenham
  • Location: Langley Waterside, Beckenham
Posted

FF the radar a couple of hours and a direct hit on London

  • Like 1
Posted
  • Location: Congleton, Cheshire
  • Location: Congleton, Cheshire
Posted

storms for the central south coast? check.

storms for the London/Kent area? check.

storms absolutely nowhere else? check.

  • Like 1
Posted
  • Location: South Gloucestershire BS35
  • Weather Preferences: Severe weather enthusiast
  • Location: South Gloucestershire BS35
Posted (edited)
3 minutes ago, Azuremoon2 said:

storms for the central south coast? check.

storms for the London/Kent area? check.

storms absolutely nowhere else? check.

Some showers are developing across parts of Wales and SW England now too. Some isolated storms may trigger later from these.

Edited by Chris K
  • Like 1
Posted
  • Location: Congleton, Cheshire
  • Location: Congleton, Cheshire
Posted
1 minute ago, Chris K said:

Some showers are developing across parts of Wales and SW England now too. Some isolated storms may trigger later from these.

they wont mate. They never do.Β 

They all gonna go east anyway along the south coast and may trigger there as its always a copy and paste job

  • Like 2
Posted
  • Location: Pemberton, Wigan, 54 M ASL. 53.53,-2.67
  • Weather Preferences: Winter - snow, Irish sea convection. Summer - thunderstorms, hot sunny days
  • Location: Pemberton, Wigan, 54 M ASL. 53.53,-2.67
Posted

Small chance of something up here today if any of the showers in Wales can survive long enough to reach this far north. Flow is quite weak though so I’m not holding my breath. Also not much CAPE showing. you never know though.

  • Like 1
Posted
  • Location: Salisbury
  • Weather Preferences: Plumes and streamers
  • Location: Salisbury
Posted
16 minutes ago, Azuremoon2 said:

storms for the central south coast? check.

storms for the London/Kent area? check.

storms absolutely nowhere else? check.

Nothing making it into london yet

  • Like 1
Posted
  • Location: Corfu (currently)
  • Location: Corfu (currently)
Posted

Clouding over now in Brighton as those heavy showers from the channel are approaching.Β 

  • Like 1
Posted
  • Location: Telford
  • Weather Preferences: Heat, thunderstorms and snowy or frosty winters
  • Location: Telford
Posted
On 21/07/2022 at 08:52, Robbie Garrett said:

Whilst I don't disagree, I don't think the last 3 years are guaranteed to be our future.Β  Β Earths climate is so volatile, and I think we will experience cooler and wetter months and years soon.Β 

A rise in temperatures in theory should make storms more violent, it has not.Β  Β We've just more settled weather, more sunshine and tapped into more settled heat rather than explosive storms.

I'm not sure if this correct but could it possibly be due to the fact the climate/atmosphere on average is now warmer thus not so much of a temperature difference when a cold front meets a plume of hot air resulting in a non explosive breakdown as regards to storms.Β 

  • Like 3
Posted
  • Location: Telford
  • Weather Preferences: Heat, thunderstorms and snowy or frosty winters
  • Location: Telford
Posted

Currently a yellow weather warning in place for T.storms across this area noticing the sun is starting to come out so hopefully will build the convection, also feeling rather humid

  • Like 1
Posted
  • Location: Luton
  • Weather Preferences: Snow is my favorite , thunderstorm's and all weather extremity’s
  • Location: Luton
Posted
1 hour ago, Biggin said:

FF the radar a couple of hours and a direct hit on London

Fast forward 2 hours and it just made Margate lol

Posted
  • Location: Langley Waterside, Beckenham
  • Location: Langley Waterside, Beckenham
Posted
36 minutes ago, Flash bang flash bang etc said:

Nothing making it into london yet

Check the radar, now inside the M25

Posted
  • Location: Langley Waterside, Beckenham
  • Location: Langley Waterside, Beckenham
Posted
27 minutes ago, Biggin said:

Check the radar, now inside the M25

Β 

radar.png

Posted
  • Location: St rads Dover
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, T Storms.
  • Location: St rads Dover
Posted
46 minutes ago, Row w said:

I'm not sure if this correct but could it possibly be due to the fact the climate/atmosphere on average is now warmer thus not so much of a temperature difference when a cold front meets a plume of hot air resulting in a non explosive breakdown as regards to storms.Β 

Not sure perhaps.

  • Like 1
Posted
  • Location: Cleeve, North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Continental winters & summers.
  • Location: Cleeve, North Somerset
Posted

I can confirm... light drizzle.

Posted
  • Location: Corfu (currently)
  • Location: Corfu (currently)
Posted

Raining in Brighton but no thunder.Β 

Β 

Posted
  • Location: Langley Waterside, Beckenham
  • Location: Langley Waterside, Beckenham
Posted
1 minute ago, MP-R said:

I can confirm... light drizzle.

Excited Up And Up GIF by Slanted Studios

Posted
  • Location: Ampney Crucis, Nr. Cirencester
  • Location: Ampney Crucis, Nr. Cirencester
Posted
2 hours ago, SteveB said:

Is cloud not going to inhibit storm potential today? Very cloudy here at the moment!

Cloud broken up here, Cu in evidence and temp rising

Posted
  • Location: Bexhill-on-sea bubble East Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: Lightning, lightning and erm thunder
  • Location: Bexhill-on-sea bubble East Sussex
Posted

Am away from home at the moment so any updates will be β€œon the run” Raining in uckfield briefly, some heavy convective drops.Β 

  • Like 1
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