September 2022 C.E.T. and EWP forecast contests

[StretfordEnd1996]

7 minutes ago, DiagonalRedLine said:

I’m also going to go for 15.5*C please

Hah seems like a safe bet from a lot of us!  

[rwtwm]

I see there's a lot of 15.5c guesses, which was my instinct too. But just to be slightly different I'll go for 15.6c instead please.

Slightly Wetter than recently but not actually wet is my rainfall guess. 61mm

 

[Roger J Smith]

14.9 CET and 72.7 mm EWP

[Don]

20 hours ago, Roger J Smith said:

14.9 CET and 72.7 mm EWP

At least you're not going for 15C plus!

[Roger J Smith]

2 hours ago, Don said:

At least you're not going for 15C plus!

Not yet anyway, this is a rather early call for me, I usually post around the last day of the month. Suspected it might be looking like high 14s which might get popular so I took this spot. Will re-assess on the 31st. Even so, 14.9 is tied 26th warmest all time, so it's only a slight shift in pattern from the summer trend and in terms of ranking, ahead of June (same absolute value). 

[Don]

3 minutes ago, Roger J Smith said:

Not yet anyway, this is a rather early call for me, I usually post around the last day of the month. Suspected it might be looking like high 14s which might get popular so I took this spot. Will re-assess on the 31st. Even so, 14.9 is tied 26th warmest all time, so it's only a slight shift in pattern from the summer trend and in terms of ranking, ahead of June (same absolute value). 

Well, hopefully it won't trend warmer for September over the next week! 

I will make my guess on the 31st.  However, I also see the general warm trend continuing through September, albeit hopefully not to the same level as July and August!

 

[Methuselah]

15.8C and 60mm please, Roger.

[Godber 1]

14.7c and 66mm please.

[DR(S)NO]

Cool and wet towards the end of the month for me.

14.5c and 85mm. Thank you please.

[virtualsphere]

14.1C and 63mm please 

[The PIT]

Going for 15.5C and 60mm of rain.

[Wold Topper]

15.1°c and 63mm please 

[Summer8906]

15.0 and 85mm, with warm anomalies concentrated on minima. Maxima perhaps average overall.

Unusually wet first half, cool days warmer nights (based on models).

Hoping for a more settled, warmer by day, and drier second half. Perhaps the reverse of recent Septembers, which have tended to be warm and dry for the first 20 days, and wet at the end.

Most 21C+ days occurring around mid-month, as (hopefully) a more settled pattern takes hold. Cooling off late month but staying relatively settled.

Perhaps some similarities to 1998 and 2008 in the distribution of wet and settled days (recognising that these two years were significantly different in actual synoptics, 1998 being considerably warmer).

 

Edited August 28, 2022 by Summer8906

[feb1991blizzard]

15.2c and 81mm please.

Edited August 29, 2022 by feb1991blizzard
changed mind.

[reef]

Not too far from average on both measures:

14.6C and 67mm

[syed2878]

For September I am going for 15.8C precipitation I am going for 65mm. Thank you

[sunny_vale]

I'll go for 15.0c and 68mm ppt please  

I can see an unsettled spell but feel it won't be too potent. Nothing major in terms of heat but relatively warm and settled after that. 

[Mark Bayley]

14.9c please 

[Stationary Front]

14.5 please with 90mm 

[Walsall Wood Snow]

I'll go for 14.4c please.

[Frigid]

On 20/08/2022 at 16:56, Frigid said:

Going for a chilly September, the warmth has to end at some point.

13.4C and 90mm. Thanks 

Changing to 14.4C and 110mm

A wet September could be on the cards, after such a lengthy dry spell. 

[emmett garland]

15,2 and 77mm please

[Weather-history]

14.9C    99mm

[Roger J Smith]

(post deleted, partial table of forecasts)

 

 

Edited September 13, 2022 by Roger J Smith
partial table of forecasts, will be removed when full table posted

[Stargazer]

Looks like a slightly more normal month that we've had recently to me. Let's say 14.5 and 57mm.