2023 Tornado Events, Outbreaks and Chat

[matty40s]

Ef4 in Rolling Fork.

[Raindrops]

I'm trying to find a radar image that show debris showing on the radar that travelled some distance. Just give me time to find it again.

A very sad event, I learned something new, a code black.

Here is some information during the meantime.

Tornado debris signature

 

Edit

I found it

r/weather

Edited March 26, 2023 by Raindrops

[The Tall Weatherman]

OMG! Have never seen a sounding that almost breaks the charts before. Looks like a high Risk could be issued indicating very Violent Tornadoes.

Edited March 26, 2023 by The Tall Weatherman

[The Tall Weatherman]

The sounding from the Latest HRRR has its similarities to the April 27th 2011 event. 

April 27th 2011-

Today in the Deep South-

[Eagle Eye]

Double barrelled moderate risk tomorrow. Very high ceiling event.

" 

...Mid-Mississippi Valley Vicinity...

The strongest forcing/DCVA will be located over northern portions of the Mid-MS Valley close to the surface low/triple point. The expectation is that rapid destabilization through the morning (1000-2000 J/kg SBCAPE) and arrival of stronger forcing by early afternoon will result in initial supercell development near the surface low. All severe hazards will be possible with these fast moving storms, including a couple of strong tornadoes, intense damaging gusts and large hail. Cellular activity should spread across eastern IA/northern MO and into northwest IL before tendency toward upscale growth into linear convection ensues with eastward extent as convection develops south and east ahead of the front from east-central MO into northern/central IL. Damaging gusts will become more prominent with linear convection, though QLCS tornadoes will also be possible. Additional storms will likely form near/just north of the warm front and move into parts of far southeast MN and southern WI. This activity should remain elevated, posing a risk for large hail and strong gusts, though any cell rooting on the warm front will pose a tornado risk as well, though the better warm sector is expected to remain south of MN/WI.

...Mid-South Vicinity... A concerning scenario appears to be developing across portions of the MO Bootheel, northeast AR, western TN/KY and far northwest MS vicinity during the afternoon/evening. At least mid-60s F dewpoints are expected beneath modest midlevel lapse rates. This will support 1500-2000 J/kg MLCAPE amid intense vertical shear. Forecast soundings indicate 0-1 km SRH increasing to around 400 m2/s2 by early afternoon. Thunderstorms are expected to develop by early afternoon ahead of the cold front within a pre-frontal trough/low-level confluence zone. Storm motion near 50 kt with supercell wind profiles will support cells capable of significant and long-track tornadoes. With time, upscale growth into a QLCS is expected, and intense wind gusts will be possible in addition to mesovortex tornadoes. ...OH/TN Valley vicinity... Low-level moisture/instability will begin to wane with north and east extent into the nighttime hours. However forecast guidance has consistently shown a few hundred J/kg MLCAPE with little/no inhibition. Forecast guidance generally tends to under-forecast north/east extent of severe potential in strongly forced, intense shear system. As such, the ongoing outlook maintains a broad gradient from Enhanced to Slight risk across this region. Damaging gusts and a few QLCS tornadoes will be possible into the nighttime hours.

"

 

Edited March 30, 2023 by Eagle Eye

[WeatherArc]

2 high risks issued for strong/violent long tracked tornadoes, extremely dangerous day ahead.  

 

 

Edited March 31, 2023 by WeatherArc

[WeatherArc]

Its official, first high risk in 2 years. Per the spc- "A severe weather outbreak appears increasingly likely, centered on this afternoon and evening, across a large portion of the Mississippi Valley. At least a few long-track, strong to potentially violent tornadoes are probable, particularly over portions of the Mid-Mississippi Valley to the Mid-South. Swaths of intense damaging wind gusts along with very large hail are expected as well." 

 

[Eagle Eye]

The 16Z HRRR shows why this has been issued.

[Guest]

11 minutes ago, Eagle Eye said:

The 16Z HRRR shows why this has been issued.

Similar to what the Super Outbreak of 1974 would have looked like (unfortunately) 

[The Tall Weatherman]

Looking like something Historic is going to play down tonight !

 

Edited March 31, 2023 by The Tall Weatherman

[Allseasons-Si]

Brian emfinger got a drone up looking at rotation...

Live Storm Chasing

LIVESTORMCHASING.COM

---

Watch live feeds as storm chasers try to see if their target verifies. Tornadoes, hurricanes, blizzards, and floods - we've got it all and more, live on our site and available as video on demand.

 

[the storm fisherman]

Tornado on the ground now in little rock Arkansas on RYaN HALL youtube

 

 

  (5) LIVE - Major Tornado Outbreak Coverage With Storm Chasers On The Ground - Live Weather Channel... - YouTube

[toggerob]

It's going to be one of those days where it's a choice of either heading 'North/South' similar to the 2011 'super outbreak' which brought Tuscaloosa-Birmingham Tornado, albeit in a slightly more sparse area there's still many populated towns & cities that could be impacted.

 Little Rock just a few minutes ago..

[Eagle Eye]

Already looking bad.

[Metwatch]

Looks like something trying to drop down around Peoria, Illinois

[Allseasons-Si]

 

[Metwatch]

 

 

[Allseasons-Si]

Brad arnolds feed just now.

[The Tall Weatherman]

An absolutely Terrible event is unfolding

 

[mountain shadow]

16! tornado warnings currently from Iowa down to Texas.

Some huge ones too.

[Allseasons-Si]

 

[toggerob]

Near Keota

[Eagle Eye]

A look at a couple different streams

A few from twitter

 

 

 

Not looking good in Little Rock, Arkansas.

 

Edited March 31, 2023 by Eagle Eye

[Wiltshire_snow_lover]

 

[Eagle Eye]