Jump to content
Thunder?
Local
Radar
Hot?
IGNORED

Model Output Discussion - Into February


damianslaw
Message added by Paul,

Please keep your posts to discussing the model output in this thread, and for more general winter weather chat please use the winter chat, moans and ramps thread.

The model highlights thread is also available for a more concise view of the model discussions. 

Be kind -- Stay on topic -- Share your knowledge -- Be polite -- Be honest -- Be tolerant -- Be family-friendly

Recommended Posts

Posted
  • Location: Evesham/ Tewkesbury
  • Weather Preferences: Enjoy the weather, you can't take it with you 😎
  • Location: Evesham/ Tewkesbury

As we move into February, looking like high pressure will be in control,  as we go into early month, the Question is ,where is the high going to position. ...? 😯

  • Like 5
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Windsor
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and cold
  • Location: Windsor

It’s shocking how mild the latest ECM is showing for NW’ Europe!

Hope it changes to something more average.

82C418FA-76DA-4AD6-82E7-11C57B3FF54D.webp

Edited by prolongedSnowLover
  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Longden, Shropshire
  • Location: Longden, Shropshire
6 minutes ago, prolongedSnowLover said:

It’s shocking how mild the latest ECM is showing for NW’ Europe!

Hope it changes to something more average.

82C418FA-76DA-4AD6-82E7-11C57B3FF54D.webp 374.33 kB · 0 downloads

Looking a tad chilly for Greece and the Greek snow lovers will be happy with that chart!

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Coventry, West Mids
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy winters, warm thundery summers, sunshine (and lots of it)
  • Location: Coventry, West Mids

Still feel that the main risk of developing a cold spell is mid-February, when the PV is most likely to be displaced over to Scandi/Russia. This is constantly being shown on extended runs and follows background signals, so I don't see why everyone is looking at early Feb for cold - the flow over the top is too strong for anything noteworthy. I'd happily take a slack southeasterly to start February, it would be better than the gloom we've had for the majority of the month.

  • Like 9
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Manchester Deansgate.
  • Weather Preferences: Heavy disruptive snowfall.
  • Location: Manchester Deansgate.
1 minute ago, CoventryWeather said:

Still feel that the main risk of developing a cold spell is mid-February, when the PV is most likely to be displaced over to Scandi/Russia. This is constantly being shown on extended runs and follows background signals, so I don't see why everyone is looking at early Feb for cold - the flow over the top is too strong for anything noteworthy. I'd happily take a slack southeasterly to start February, it would be better than the gloom we've had for the majority of the month.

agree, although think it might be a little later - 20th onwrds

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Longden, Shropshire
  • Location: Longden, Shropshire
6 minutes ago, feb1991blizzard said:

agree, although think it might be a little later - 20th onwrds

I think anything cold before mid February was always going to be a bonus, with later in the month more realistic.

Edited by Don
  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Manchester Deansgate.
  • Weather Preferences: Heavy disruptive snowfall.
  • Location: Manchester Deansgate.
20 minutes ago, Don said:

I think anything cold before mid February was always going to be a bonus, with later in the month more realistic.

must admit though i am starting to get concerned.

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Longden, Shropshire
  • Location: Longden, Shropshire
4 minutes ago, feb1991blizzard said:

must admit though i am starting to get concerned.

Yes, may long range models are looking grim for February it has to be said!

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Co.Laois > Ireland
  • Weather Preferences: Historical weather events. ❤ the seasons! Winters crisp snow!
  • Location: Co.Laois > Ireland

Not going to quote anyone but seriously strong winter is over feeling going on in here tonight. Has the weather not baffled us before during unpredictable times.

I will still be looking for cold into March 😁

  • Like 9
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Longden, Shropshire
  • Location: Longden, Shropshire
2 minutes ago, feb1991blizzard said:

here she comes.

Could contain: Plot, Chart, Outdoors, Nature

Good old pub run to bring some Friday night cheer! 🍻

Edited by Don
  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Rogerstone/Risca South Wales
  • Weather Preferences: Blizzards in winter Hot and sunny in summer...other is simply boring!!
  • Location: Rogerstone/Risca South Wales

Could contain: Plot, Chart, Outdoors, Nature, Sea, Water, Mapimage.gif.41494c971cf142deeed1dd3b07d1a259.gif

  • Like 6
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Bedfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: Seasonal
  • Location: Bedfordshire
4 minutes ago, goosey007 said:

Could contain: Plot, Chart, Outdoors, Nature, Sea, Water, Mapimage.gif.41494c971cf142deeed1dd3b07d1a259.gif

Only a couple of weeks away. What could possibly go wrong? 

  • Like 6
  • Thanks 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Longden, Shropshire
  • Location: Longden, Shropshire
2 minutes ago, LRD said:

Only a couple of weeks away. What could possibly go wrong? 

Oh come now, don't be so pessimistic! 🤣

  • Like 3
  • Thanks 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Bedfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: Seasonal
  • Location: Bedfordshire
2 minutes ago, Don said:

Oh come now, don't be so pessimistic! 🤣

Apologies 😉 😁

  • Thanks 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Dorset
  • Weather Preferences: Warm and dry, or very cold. See my profile for model trivia
  • Location: Dorset
2 minutes ago, Singularity said:

Result, highest chance of settled weather in far south of UK, as is the highest chance of a cold continental flow establishing sometime in 2nd week Feb.

The party's in our back yard for once then?!

  • Like 4
  • Insightful 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Longden, Shropshire
  • Location: Longden, Shropshire
7 minutes ago, RainAllNight said:

The party's in our back yard for once then?!

I look forward to the invite!! 😎

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.
×
×
  • Create New...