Storms and Convective discussion - September 2023

[Met4Cast]

The risk of thunderstorms is low, perhaps the odd sporadic flash of lightning but certainly nothing to get excited about. The main concern is the risk of locally severe weather along an active cold front moving east. Potential for strong wind gusts, perhaps even a brief tornado or two. You can see the cold front quite clearly on the UKV.

[Jamie M]

21 hours ago, Southern Storm said:

Look up Nikon Z9 Pre buffering 

Even better, here's a link 

https://www.nikonusa.com/en/learn-and-explore/a/tips-and-techniques/photographing-lightning-bolts-with-the-z-9-pre-release-burst-mode.html

Not liking the fact it's only JPEG especially as I love a bit of a tinker with editing 😂

Much rather get a lightning trigger 

[Metwatch]

Littlehampton tornado confirmed.

Edited Tuesday at 18:40 by Metwatch

[minus10]

Thursday could be interesting with a cold pool higher up as referenced on todays met office deep dive....big showers and potential thunderstorms ( not on the scale of Sunday but pretty lively none the less)....a good day for cloudscapes too..

[ChannelThunder]

1 hour ago, minus10 said:

Thursday could be interesting with a cold pool higher up as referenced on todays met office deep dive....big showers and potential thunderstorms ( not on the scale of Sunday but pretty lively none the less)....a good day for cloudscapes too..

Those Deep Dives are really good content!

[minus10]

14 hours ago, Supacell said:

Here is my video from the storms on Sunday night 🙂

 

 

Well gotta hand it to you @Supacell you have some stamina..i would have been a nervous wreck driving in  that wondering where the next flooded patch will be...presume you have waterproofs (and camera too 😀)...great video...watching it i felt as if i was there and needed to dry out too..you must have been tired when you got back home though...hope  you manage to get some good shut eye... 😀

 

[Supacell]

9 minutes ago, minus10 said:

Well gotta hand it to you @Supacell you have some stamina..i would have been a nervous wreck driving in  that wondering where the next flooded patch will be...presume you have waterproofs (and camera too 😀)...great video...watching it i felt as if i was there and needed to dry out too..you must have been tired when you got back home though...hope  you manage to get some good shut eye... 😀

 

I do have waterproofs but didn't have time to put them on as the storm was already coming in fast when I pulled up. So I got thoroughly drenched 😂. It's part and parcel of the job though.

I was very tired when I got home. I was diverted a couple of times trying to chase the storms that popped up around Oxfordshire. Never caught them, but resulted in me getting home at 5:30am 🥱

Edited Tuesday at 20:42 by Supacell

[minus10]

1 minute ago, Supacell said:

I do have waterproofs but didn't have time to put them on as the storm was already coming in fast when I pulled up. So I get thoroughly drenched 😂. It's part and parcel of the job though.

I was very tired when I got home. I was diverted a couple of times trying to chase the storms that popped up around Oxfordshire. Never caught them, but resulted in me getting home at 5:30am 🥱

Have a well deserved rest...well possibily until Thursday...🤫

[Flash bang flash bang etc]

What’s going on … 26° possible next week?

[UnderTheAnvil]

1 hour ago, Flash bang flash bang etc said:

What’s going on … 26° possible next week?

God please no I hope not. I've been enjoying this autumnal dip 😅

[alexisj9]

13 hours ago, Met4Cast said:

The risk of thunderstorms is low, perhaps the odd sporadic flash of lightning but certainly nothing to get excited about. The main concern is the risk of locally severe weather along an active cold front moving east. Potential for strong wind gusts, perhaps even a brief tornado or two. You can see the cold front quite clearly on the UKV.

Looks lwep, but I guess we'll see tomorrow. Definitely lots of little convergence zones in the flow.

[Alderc 2.0]

Cold front doesn’t look very organised at the moment, all very messy. 

[poleup]

1 hour ago, Alderc 2.0 said:

Cold front doesn’t look very organised at the moment, all very messy. 

Yes, that's true. This may be due to uneven distribution of humidity.

[alexisj9]

1 hour ago, Alderc 2.0 said:

Cold front doesn’t look very organised at the moment, all very messy. 

Lol I though it was the small line that just went through here just now. I guess it's the whole mass if stuff over the north west then.

[alexisj9]

11 minutes ago, poleup said:

Yes, that's true. This may be due to uneven distribution of humidity.

Looking at the UKV posted above, and I think it's probably similar now, it looks like a large cold front, with lots of small areas of convergence, think it might stay messy, heavier ppn in converging areas, gaps in ppn where there is divergence.

[Mitch the motorbike storm]

Severe foe whole of UK 😱 wonder what I'll get living at the south east coast 

[alexisj9]

41 minutes ago, Mitch the motorbike storm said:

Severe foe whole of UK 😱 wonder what I'll get living at the south east coast 

Strong wind gusts mostly, we'll see if the cold front comes together a bit more here or not, not worried to much about flash flooding the way it is at the moment. 

[alexisj9]

45 minutes ago, Mitch the motorbike storm said:

Severe foe whole of UK 😱 wonder what I'll get living at the south east coast 

Met office have now issued a warning, it looks like it might get it's act together in the southeast. Warning starts at three, don't finish till early morning. That wind is already going for it now here.

[alexisj9]

49 minutes ago, alexisj9 said:

Met office have now issued a warning, it looks like it might get it's act together in the southeast. Warning starts at three, don't finish till early morning. That wind is already going for it now here.

Oops got the times mixed up it's 4pm till 3am.

[Arnie Pie]

Brum just about to be swiped by a Gnarly looking line of ppn

[alexisj9]

Heavy stuff is coming up from the south now. So lots of rain is expected soon along the front.

[seb]

1 hour ago, alexisj9 said:

Heavy stuff is coming up from the south now. So lots of rain is expected soon along the front.

Interestingly the latest UKV doesn't bring much rain to East Kent until around 9PM! All seems to stay NW of a line from Brighton - Tunbridge Wells - Maidstone - Sittingbourne until later on.

[alexisj9]

30 minutes ago, seb said:

Interestingly the latest UKV doesn't bring much rain to East Kent until around 9PM! All seems to stay NW of a line from Brighton - Tunbridge Wells - Maidstone - Sittingbourne until later on.

Might be why the weather warning is till 3 am, sounds like it's gonna stall, or at least move very slowly east.

Edited yesterday at 14:46 by alexisj9

[Arnie Pie]

Being in the general risk for today I`ll be watching out for any `lost` cells popping up out to the West

A little bit of mid level instability showing above the area atm

 

[CurtisOliver]

A decent amount of rainfall in Brentwood already. This system looks like just one large fast moving conveyer belt of rain coming from the south that's slowly drifting east. So the met office is spot on with their warning zone. Those along the diagonal will see rain heavy at times stay on them for hours until this conveyer belt shifts past them. I would be interested in knowing what the chances are for a tornado in the area. I would be shocked to hear of anyone in the warning zone staying dry this evening up until the morning. 

Edited 23 hours ago by CurtisOliver