Storm Ciaran Prediction Comp

[pinball wizard]

Thought we could do with a competition, simply predict the highest gust in UK (including channel islands) from Ciaran and the location of said gust. 

I'll start, St Helier - 111mph.

Edited November 1, 2023 by pinball wizard
Because

[Saint coolio]

Alright I’ll go with Calais at 112

[WYorksWeather]

115mph - somewhere in Channel Islands, not sure if there's an official station there, or if it counts for the purposes of the competition?

If that's not allowed as non-UK or not official then I'll go 112 mph at St Helier.

[Thunders]

jersey airport - 105mph 

 

forecasted at 20:45 on 01/11/2023 

[HurricaneSteve]

somewhere on the Isles of Scilly - 109mph

[Man With Beard]

Just to be awkward ... St Agnes in the Isles of Scilly, 107mph.

Unless The Needles counts?

[Scuba steve]

Top of Brown Willy 117 mph 

[matty40s]

4 minutes ago, Scuba steve said:

Top of Brown Willy 117 mph 

Put it away then.

[Metwatch]

Needles at 114mph, if that doesn't count then Isles of Scilly 105mph.

[Plume Meets BFTE]

Joint, Culross, and Langdon Bay 99mph

[Methuselah]

116 mph, somewhere in northern France.

[ChannelThunder]

Guernsey Airport - 118mph

[daniel barber]

Alderney 112mph

[matty40s]

Finistere, 121mph

[CurtisOliver]

Ventnor - 124mph

Edited November 1, 2023 by CurtisOliver

[WYorksWeather]

14 minutes ago, WYorksWeather said:

115mph - somewhere in Channel Islands, not sure if there's an official station there, or if it counts for the purposes of the competition?

If that's not allowed as non-UK or not official then I'll go 112 mph at St Helier.

Sorry I'm a dunce - St. Helier is in the Channel Islands of course, so 115mph there.

For UK only I'll go 98mph at Penzance.

[Scuba steve]

3 minutes ago, Methuselah said:

116 mph, somewhere in northern France.

Such a small area perhaps you should broaden it

[Methuselah]

1 minute ago, Scuba steve said:

Such a small area perhaps you should broaden it

Uranus, 239mph. Will that do? 

[sunnijim]

23 minutes ago, pinball wizard said:

Thought we could do with a competition, simply predict the highest gust from Ciaran and the location of said gust. 

I'll start, St Helier - 111mph.

I assume uk only to include channel isles?

French coast will get 117mph ( Normandy)

Channel Isles 96mph ( St hellier)

England 84mph ( Langdon bay) 

[Roger J Smith]

5 minutes ago, Methuselah said:

Uranus, 239mph. Will that do? 

You realize the metoffice closed that one citing budgetary restraints?

They may re-open it if enough people complain. 

I would love to enter contest, (awkward segue) but not sure about qualifying locations? In UK only? France? 

Also using mph or knots or km/hr? 

Anyway, I won't be surprised if some place in nw France gusts to 105 knots, or 120 mph, or 180 km/hr. The max gust on land in UK will likely be on IOW and around 85 knots, or 95 mph or 145 km/hr although I suspect that fast-moving tornadic streaks could develop, not hitting any official recording sites but leaving evidence of locally stronger gusts. Would say east Sussex into Kent for that, if one does hit a recording station it could reach same values as I quoted for France above.

Anecdotal reports of 120 to 140 mph gusts may be posted over central to eastern Channel. S+R had better be on alert from 0300h to 0900 at least. 

[Bobafet]

Needles IOW 106

[Dancerwithwings]

My nose after sneezing 93mph lol

Needles is the one …..yes always …102 mph