Northwest Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 onwards

[iand61]

Whatever is about to fall is just about to reach here but if I can’t have proper sticking snow I’m going to throw my toys and say I just want normal rain, no wet sleety crap and certainly non of that freezing rain rubbish, just rain and TBH after spending most of the last few months freezing, I’d take a early shot at heat over a full blown easterly blizzard at the moment.

[cheshire snow]

Think it’s safe to say the GFS has lost the plot

[Chris.R]

So my thoughts for tonight… rain and ice pellets mix below 200 m. Sleet and freezing rain above 200 m. Obviously air and ground temp needs to be at or below 0 for freezing rain. 

[Scuba steve]

 damianslaw yes noticed the icy feel to the ppn  earlier 

[Iceaxecrampon]

 

[Day 10]

I'll go first.....

Winter's over!

There, I've said it.

 

Utterly pointless spell of weather.

Edited February 14 by Day 10

[Dark Horse]

 iand61 yeah that will do  but if we can't get it then I'm looking forward to the milder stuff because as you say it's been freezing for what seems like forever but not a lot to show for it. 

And it's fair to say we have now lost all the frigid runs from the ensembles that dip to -10c or below. So very little chance now of a proper cold spell coming. Not going to sugar coat things but February could stay and rise further above average CET wise (currently 0.5C above the average) despite the chilly weather we're having right now. Obviously we can't discount an unusually cold March, and ironically I've seen some of the best snows in that month. So all is not lost on the snow front.

This was 4th March 2016 where I used to live, can't believe it was 9 years ago time flies, had a few inches. 

Edited February 14 by Dark Horse

[Had Worse]

Something falling from the sky. Ground is still dry so it could be light snow or ice pellets.

[Thunder Snow]

Heavy sleet here some big flakes

[Thunder Snow]

Rain now

[Rush2019]

Good Morning.  Bit drizzly and 3°C, foggy on the tops and dark for almost 8am.  Birds were very vocal this morning at 6.30, stood and listened to a thrush giving it some welly on a nearby house roof.  

@Dark Horse  Meto says 13°C now for Macc on the 21st, it's gone up a few degrees, but with rain, big tut.  

[A Face like Thunder]

Damp, drizzly morning, as forecast, and no great prospect of it getting any better later today, sigh.

[Scuba steve]

It’s grey ,shade 24 though not raining lol

[jakey725]

Full grey sky, bit of fog this morning. Drizzle to rain most of the morning.

[damianslaw]

Forecast has changed, largely dry weekend, but very much a carbon copy of what we've had for quite some time now, dull, chilly. 

[A Face like Thunder]

12 minutes ago, damianslaw said:

Forecast has changed, largely dry weekend,

I wish it was dry here 

[Joe Snow]

Chilly drizzle fest hibernation weather had too many of these weekends since October really - hopefully a drier weekend next weekend accompanying the milder temps. 

[damianslaw]

With the promise of a milder weekend next, this weekend will be the last true feeling winter weekend, light levels are on the rise and late Feb brings a shaking off winter feel.

Alas its a dark dull day out there, every much bleak mid winter, early dusk. Tomorrow will be the same.  Its about now we all reach the bottom of the winter slump.. onwards and upwards. 

[Joe Snow]

Interesting 12z tonight - are we seeing a slight downgrade of the milder weather later next week? Still Spring like compared to the annoying chill of the recent week but 10-12c rather than the 12-16c possible a few days ago. Wouldn't be surprised if we see a cold spell develop during early-mid March it could deliver or just be more annoying grey chilliness but March is often a month of many contrasts. 

Talking of contrasts 17- 18c in Washington DC tomorrow by Wednesday sub zero and a major NorEaster  snowstorm bringing blizzard conditions and 20-30cm of snow, the biggest snowstorm of the Winter so far for the US East Coast. I'm not jealous honest!  

[iand61]

 Joe Snow so it’s odds on a raging jet and plenty of rain and wind for us then

[Rush2019]

Grey, misty, wet and cold.  My mood was lifted with yesterday's sunshine, but lost my mojo a bit today.  Max of 4.1,°C.  Saw these near the park this morning and I smiled......roll on Spring.

[A Face like Thunder]

Stopped raining at last, a small occluded front to blame for the steady rainfall  over the South of the Region and N Midlands today. Tomorrow is supposed to be better, well I don't think it could be any worse.

[Dark Horse]

Japan camera again that I like to post lol. 66cm on the ground according to the airport in that city and freezing fog by the looks of it. Not even had 6cm here this "winter" never mind 66. Ah well maybe one day a proper snow fall will come.

Closer to home and I look out for the dew point quite often which gives a good indication of the feel of things, going negative over the next few days so still that cold continental chill. Looks like it'll shoot up a lot later next week though and so we shouldn't be shivering out and about by then. Problem is if it's chucking it down it's going to academic and pointless isn't it?

Edited February 15 by Dark Horse

[iand61]

Another one of those grim winter days perfectly summed up by a line from Mike Hardings song King Cotton……”see how the slate roofs shine in the drizzle”

written about the Rossendale Valley and it certainly looked the part up here today.

[Weather-history]

25 years ago, morning of 17th February 2000. The only morning that there was lying snow here under Met Office rules during the winter 1999-2000

 

 

 

I recall wintry showers through the day  but it cleared by evening.   An area of showers developed over the Irish sea and this delivered the snow.