Climate Change Questions - 2024 edition

[WYorksWeather]

 raz.org.rain In that case, you'd consequently expect storm tracks to head more towards Iceland perhaps, and the UK to get warmer and drier in the summer in particular.

I think these sort of non-linear responses are the hardest to predict when modelling something like an AMOC collapse, and I also think the speed of it matters. I imagine the scenario looks very different if you model an AMOC collapse by say 2050 vs. one in 2100 or 2200.

[WYorksWeather]

 LetItSnow! One of the other things that is often forgotten is that the Mediterranean is borderline already for supporting tropical-like storms (often referred to as medicanes). It is possible that these could become stronger as well, so parts of southern Europe and North Africa might have the worst of both worlds. Extreme heat in the summer, and potentially extremely strong storms during the wetter winters.

In terms of our climate, I think the real problem for us is more geo-political. We are an island, and not self-reliant in terms of food. If our climate becomes generally less stable, we'll be less able to be self-sufficient in food supply than we already are, and we'd be increasingly reliant on imports. That would of course be harder and harder to navigate in a generally more unstable world. I agree though that we're in a better position than many countries overall.