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Thundery Wintry Showers On Saturday?


Thundery wintry showers

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After complaining that Norwich missed out on the remarkable October event (when even Cleadon got some excitement- lying hail overnight 30/31 October) could we be in for a spell where I make up for it big-time?

Ever since I first came to Norwich, one of the things I most wanted to see was a full-on northerly outbreak from the Arctic in November, knowing very well that Norfolk lies right in the firing line of the showers drifting down the North Sea, and that the strong contrast between cold airmasses and the warm sea can generate very intense shower activity at this time of year.

Unless I'm dreaming, I can see not one, but two such northerly incursions that are projected to happen within the next week by all three of the main models (ECMWF, UKMO, GFS). The first one looks like it may even give some snow with Norwich being a little bit inland, while the second looks good for a wintry mix (probably rain, hail and sleet) but with some exciting convection. There are precedents- similar setups on 17 November 1995, 17-18 November 1999 and 8 November 2001 not only brought wintry showers to Norwich, but also brought thunderstorms.

Not surprisingly I'm getting those camera batteries charged up for the weekend. If this potential for dramatic weather is fulfilled I won't mind missing out on that remarkable October snowfall- as these November northerlies are what I've been waiting for.

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