heatandsnow
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Posts posted by heatandsnow
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December 2010 gave the largest snowfall I've ever seen, though the depth was comparable to February 2009. January 2010 wasn't too far behind December 2010 in terms of total snowfall, both having a number of occasions with good depths and disruption.
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Hmm Newiceage, although I agree that this Winte will be worse than last years, possibly worse than 1978/79 I doubt it will be THAT extreme, and to point out, the gulf stream can not actually shut down! It can ofcourse weaken! If you look at what the weather outlook have to say, they predict that a major Winter pattern this year will be high pressure over Scandinavia, bringing us cold Easterly winds, and with Russia looking to be colder than average (and their Winters are sever by our standards ANYWAY!) we could get some particularly potent air, also don't Easterlies bring moisture as well? Heavy snowfalls! So, not quite as sever as THAT but a particularly cold Winter, I think slowly beginning mid-late November (so earlier than last year) ooh, before I forget, what are peoples views on having a January event similiar to that of 1987, when there was ALOT of snowfall and it was very cold, but lasting longer than it did back then? This is another thing the weather outlook predict.
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I didn't realise there were anymore options. :lol:
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I couldn't find a different smiley face! :lol:
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Thanks, it's nice to know I'm welcome here aswell!
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Hi all,
I'm new to this forum, and have done abit of LRFing on the metmonkeys forum.
I thought I'd post ot, but I may well be wrong, however I do state my reasons.
November: Mildish start, progressively colder and snowier. Confidence 90%
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or December: Snowy, cold and frosty throughout the month, probably afew milder incursions, but that won't effect the overall temps. too much. Coldest in the East, and in relation to the long term averages, the South East will get the lowest temps, although the actual coldest temps (obviously) in Scotland
Snowiest in East midlands and North West Scotland confidence about 80%Ave. max. temp. South:
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to Januray: Snowiest month, potentially the coldest month. Again, coldest temps in the East, but the big snowfalls in the South East, and the midlands, and Scotland (maybe Wales) Very cold start and middle, although things will probably turn mildER at some point towards the end of the month. Nevertheless there will still be at least average or slightly below average temps. Confidence 75%
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to February: This month is a big question mark for me! In my eyes, it could turn out slightly milder than average OR it could turn out to be FREEZING and the coldest month of the Winter in terms of temps. The cold pattern bringing in cold arctic or siberian air or snowy Eastern air from Germany, that will persist through from late November to late January will either bring one last huge FREEZEE or it could stop and things will turn Westerly and mild, with maybe afew snowy days, but mild and rainy generally, so very confusing!I do however think that whatever happens, things will be generally settled throughout, nearly as quiet as December! Confidence 50% (very confusing month)
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to OR to My reasons for this are that there is very low solar activity, this year, la Nina may well play a big part in generally holding back temperatures, something quite interesting is that every 16 years, there is a noteably cold one, 1995, 1979, 1963 and 1947. And now 2011? The past 2 Winters have been chronologically colder each year, and this year could be the 3rd in the beginning of a cooler Winter phase. Ice caps are increasing! The Arctic ice has grown so any air from the North will be particularly potent! The gulf stream is weaking and tracking further South, so this could mean that Northern blocking may become evident and lead to Northern and Eastern winds.
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Snowiest in East midlands and North West Scotland confidence about 80%
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November 2011: Repeat Of 2010 Or 2009? You Choose!
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted
If in November the ducks do slide, the rest of Winter be slush and muck, which was true last Winter (apart from December)
November 2009 was mild and that lead to an all round cold Winter, so I would prefer 2009, just without the exceptional rainfall, which doesn't look likely.