SkyWarnUK
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Looking at the sustained wind data from the likes of the mumbles and Portland bill, the wind is currently weakening ( 17:00 = 44mph/ 19:00 = 36mph)and has been for the last few hours, were as it was forecast to be picking up. the centre of the secondary low if it follows the upper jet as it has been will be more likely to go through slightly to the south along the channel??
It was forecast to decrease prior to the developing system moving in - most likely to see winds increasing again in the next few hours as it approaches.
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The storm isnt forecast to develop much until this evening, and then develop rapidly. It's a tough one to call. Still possible that winds of 60 to 70 mph will affect much of the south - whilst these winds may not seem too severe, combine them with wet ground and trees in leave. Also, with leaves blowing off trees its likely to block drains and lead to enhanced flooding, more-so than may normally be expected.
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Hi guys,
I'm sure some of you have heard about SkyWarn UK. We are part of the European SkyWarn Network and cover the whole of the UK (England, Wales, Scotland, N.I.) as well as the Channel Islands. We are a network of volunteer storm spotters, and are always looking for new enthusiasts to join us. In order to become a SkyWarn UK Spotter you need to complete two online training modules with a pass rate of 80% for each module. These modules cover basics around the role of the spotter, what and how to report, as well as severe weather climatology and storm structure amongst other things. Once passed, spotters are required to recertify at least once every 3 years by completing a shorter refresher module. SkyWarn UK shares received reports with a number of organisations including the UK Met Office, TORRO, and the European Severe Weather Database. We are a friendly organisation and would love to welcome you onboard. You can find out more at our webpage, or on our Join Us page.
Cheers,
Rich
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No snow here yet this winter but am thinking we could see some significant snowfall by months end. General consensus seems to be the winter will be colder than average and my gut instinct tells me some very disruptive snowfalls are likely across many areas at some point during the winter.
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Hi guys, just a final reminder that the SkyWarn UK conference is being held tomorrow (Saturday 10th November) at Springvale Sports and Social Club, Bilston, West Midlands, WV14 0QR. The programme commences at 9:45am and will run until 4:15pm. There is an admission charge of £10 per person to cover the cost of hiring the venue, but this does include tea and coffee through the day. The conference will also mark the launch of the new SkyWarn UK website with enhanced services, as well as our new Spotter Training programme. It's not too late to book online via the SkyWarn UK homepage, or alternatively simply turn up and pay on the day.
I hope to see you there!
Rich
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Hi guys, its just a few more days until this years conference. It would be good to see you there if you can make it. The agenda and address for the venue is above.
Cheers,
Rich
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Hi guys,
the agenda has been confirmed and is below:
Agenda
9:45 – Welcome and Housekeeping (RB)
9:50 – The Role of the Site Investigator (CR)
10:15 - Synoptic Charts, METARs and TAFs: understanding symbols and codes (GJ)
11:00 – Break
11:15 – Year In Review (RB)
11:30 - Convergence, Divergence and Vorticity: wind flow and the behaviour of air (GJ)
12:45 – Lunch
1:30 - Convective Inhibition: the cap and factors that suppress storm formation (Case Study: June 28th Supercell outbreak) (GJ)
3:00 – Break
3:10 – Relaunch (New site, training, documentation) (RB)
3:30 – Sisters (GJ & DN)
4:15 - Close
As you can see, its going to be a full day with some varied and interesting topics. If you have not yet booked your place, then you can do so via the SkyWarn UK homepage at www.skywarn.org.uk
Look forward to seeing you there!
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Hi guys,
the 3rd annual SkyWarn UK Conference will be held on Saturday 10th November at the Springvale Sports and Social Club, Bilston, West Midlands, WV14 0QR. The day will run from approximately 9:30 until 4:30. The conference is open to everyone, not just SkyWarn UK Spotters. There is an admission charge of £10 per person to help cover the cost of the event. Those wishing to come along can either register by completing the short booking form on the SkyWarn UK website (www.skywarn.org.uk), or can turn up and pay on the day. More details around the content of the programme will appear here within the next week or two.
Cheers,
Rich
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Lewis, is there a problem with the website?
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Recon currently investigating this system. Latest reports suggest sustained winds of at least 40 mph and a minimum central pressure of 1010mb. If the circulation is closed NHC may upgrade to a TS this evening.
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SkyWarn UK issued a Severe Weather Watch for much of the northern and western parts of the UK, in effect for the remainder of today and tomorrow
Possible severe storm Monday 28th October 2013 Part 3
in Storms & Severe Weather
Posted
The low is now enclosed by a complete isobar according to this: http://meteocentre.com/analyses/map.php?lang=en&map=eur_full&area=eur&size=large as indicated by the UK Fax earlier too