snowball
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Posts posted by snowball
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What happens, if a SW event occurs in the wrong place?
Maybe a strong Russian/Siberian blocking event? We've seen some of those during the 06/07 and 07/08 winters, often after failed SSW's (I can't remember it that well; is this correct?).
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Is this the sort of thing we would be seeing on the NP 30mb chart?
Yes! It looks pretty impressive.
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Especially the drop in solar activity over the past few months is spectacular. What would be the consequence of this event?
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Perhaps we need an eye candy thread for the stratosphere!
Looks similar to the ECM,maybe a bit stronger?
Would it reach Joe B's 50°C!?
No, really. The current charts are the best we've seen thus far. Of course, during the 08/09 and 09/10 winters really everything looked better. But we can't have a really good winter like those every year (by the way: in Holland, those winters weren't as cold (relative) as in the UK; we haven't had a single officialy cold winter during the last 15 years by now!).
Though, don't give up, with the current developments in mind. Maybe february will give us a nice snowy surprise!
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I have some new EC-32 charts for you. They don't look that fantastic, in my opinion (because I live in the Netherlands :winky: ), but they are definitely better than those we 've seen during the last few weeks. For the northwestern part of the UK, it's actually quite a good run!
Does ECM pick up some signals out of the stratosphere by now?
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10mb warming on European over the pole by 360 hrs reaches 50C!!!! This is a huge event and will have N hemisphere cold implications.
At 360 hrs... Does Joe B. actually know the value of these charts?
Stratosphere Temperature Watch 2011/2012
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted · Edited by snowball
Oh wait! Sorry, I was wrong. Solar activity (sunspot number) is not the same as the planitary AP-index. Solar activity hasn't decreased very much, instead of the AP.
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/SolarCycle/
http://www.ngdc.noaa...omag/kp_ap.html
By the way: I'm sorry for posting copyrighted material here. It won't happen again!