Snow Dragon
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2 hours ago, Radiating Dendrite said:I thought we were here to discuss the model runs not provide an impartial forecast for the public. There are plenty of other places for people to get that if they want it.
You seem to forget that you were new to the forum once and spent time looking for help, almost looking for an impartial forecast. Answers like yours do nothing to help those who, like yourself once was, are new the forum and looking for help trying to make sense of the ups and downs that we are seeing lately run to run in the models. People once had patience with you and all that is asked is that you pay back in kind.
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3 minutes ago, nick sussex said:
Phasing is essentially two low pressures or shortwaves which combine to form one main low . The main low often deepens as a result of that .
In this instance two shortwaves carried by both jets meet up over the ne USA .
Thank you. I see what you mean now from looking at the charts you posted earlier. Really appreciate the help, thanks.
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10 minutes ago, nick sussex said:
Re my previous post it’s absolutely crucial that phasing takes place of those jets to help develop that deeper low pressure.
We’re trying to move that PV lobe over ne Canada , this lobe is like the mothership feeding energy into the Atlantic .
To move that we need something to attach to it , that’s why the deepening low is important because when that phases with it and continues to travel east the consequence is that pivot action of the PV lobe further to the nw .
Sorry, but please could you explain what you mean by phasing? Thanks
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6 minutes ago, bluearmy said:
One chart is from the gfs op and the other from the gefs ensembles .....
Ok thanks for explaining. It makes a little more sense now. I wondered why people weren't posting the GFS Op run and making noises about there not being a reversal as I see most people posting shots of the GEFS ensembles.
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Sorry newbie question.
Please can someone explain why on the one chart it shows a reversal of zonal mean winds and on the other it doesn't? Trying to think of why, but I just can't grasp it and it's been bugging me for a few days.
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9.3C for me with 111mm for me please
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Drifts reaching 2 foot now outside my front door
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5” here in Barry now. Drifts well over a foot.
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I think down here in Barry we’ll see very little with regards to severe weather. Wind chill is quite severe at times but I doubt any snow will be more than a few hour event.
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Thanks both ?
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Sorry for a newbie question. Just trying to get my head round the movement of the low and the resulting mild air pushing north. From a coldie perspective do we want the low to move further south and east into France or as is modelled and move north and east?
thanks in advance
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Currently 5.5 C here in Barry. Wind mainly from SW
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4 minutes ago, andymusic said:
latest euro4
Looking good for Barry and Cardiff in this latest one
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Where can I find the current mean wind speed to see if we've had a reversal to positive?
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I'm really hoping we see some snow in Cardiff. It's not looking good at the moment though.
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On 07/10/2016 at 01:08, iapennell said:
My Utopian Winter....
Really cold!
Fifty Shades of Winter! That got my blood going!
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Would love to see a really cold and snowy winter
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It's amazing how quickly Lonyearbyen is losing sunlight this week; by 2pm it's clearly getting dusky, not sure how much longer this will be giving me my daily snowfix. I'll have to move onto some of your other spots which should be getting snowed-up by thenL(
Haha my sentiments exactly!
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Fantastic post and easy to read to. Thanks!
Snow & Ice coverage in the Northern Hemisphere Winter 2020/21
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted
Big difference between today and this time last year