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philmd5

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Posts posted by philmd5

  1. 15 hours ago, bluebell said:

    Yes indeed I was only jesting over the thread bashing thread comment!

     I don't understand why I get so involved in reading the Mod. thread a) I don't understand what anyone is writing about b) I get uptight or elated depending on what the predictions are. I need to stop reading it because it doesn't reflect what eventually happens with the weather, and I have absolutely nothing meaningful to add to it, so effectively it's dead time to me! 

    Weather today: typical November, sky as grey as a Welsh slate quarry, zero sun, pretty chilly. However temp up from yesterday 10.5 degrees, another frostless night then...:sorry:

    That sums up my thoughts too exactly

  2. 9 minutes ago, seaside 60 said:

    Told my girls, it would snow later in the winter like end jan onwards.
    Youngest is still asking, dad you know you said it would snow late in the winter!!!
    I am quietly hoping from a proper dump of it, even if it last for just a couple of days.
    At this rate its wishing for heavy snow showers at best.

    Snowfall is just magical. Everything smells and sounds different, well outdoors anyway. 

    • Like 2
  3. I've just come out of a teleconference with various airports, air traffic control and the Met Office regarding the situation Sunday night in to Monday morning. The current industry specific breif is as follows:

     

    The low should be in or around the Bristol channel by 2100 Sunday moving NE. At 0600 Monday its expected to be Cardigan Bay with a central pressure of 966mb still moving NE. It should clear the Lincolnshire coast by 1200. Anywhere inland south of a line drawn Plymouth to Norwich should see winds of 35-40KT (40-50mph) with occasional gusts up to 60KT (70mph). Exposed hills and coastal locations along the south coast could see a mean wind of 50-60KT with gusts in the 70-80KT region between the hours of 0400-1000. There is also an "outside chance" of somewhere seeing in excess of 80KTS (92mph) for a short while, most likely somewhere along the Dorset coast across to Kent.Any storm surge/swell along the south coast should be around 6ft above the mean. We are in the neap tide range, so tides are not as high.The estimate is that this low should be around 20mb less and on average around 20-30KTS less severe than the 1987 storm.Information above is accurate as of 1430 this afternoon.

    If the low is in the Bristol Channel and 9 hours later is in Cardigan Bay it has moved NW not NE?

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