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Mikey2407

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Posts posted by Mikey2407

  1. Having had it pass over me I couldn't agree more. It is nothing like the winds that come before or after. Secure everything now, even things you think are too heavy to be moved by the wind. My bbq (r.i.p) weighs 87kg and was picked up and tossed across the garden. The winds were unbelievable, the worst I've ever seen. Quite frightening. I just can't imagine what is going to happen if that continues across the country into rush hour. Be careful people.

     

    Carol on BBC just said 80mph gusts will occur widely across England over the next couple of hours, not good in rush hour as you say Posted Image

  2. Model estimates from 36-48h ago were more accurate than later estimates -- the low appears to be developing a very dangerous squall line feature now (0600h) west of an Oxford-Bournemouth line and likely to be moving through London and the southeast around 0800h. Winds increase from SW 50 mph to W 70-80 mph as this squall line passes and there could even be stronger gusts to come if this develops thunderstorms.

     

     

    Meanwhile, SW winds in the Dover marine area of the Channel are currently gusting to 90 mph or more (150 km/hr).

     

    If you're still to the east of the squall line check the radar and get ready -- walking or driving is strongly discouraged as trees and other debris very likely to be flying about. I would expect that winds might continue to gust for 3-4 hours beyond time of passage of this front but the most violent gusts will be close to its passage.

     

    I just saw a flash whilst standing outside taking in the gusts, although that wouldn't be associated with the possible thunderstorms that may occur with the soon to come squalls!

  3. Just had a nose in the south west thread and a few people saying they havn't had many gusts of note and can't see much about many trees falling. That could mean not much will hit the SE or the damage will be limited?

     

    No it doesn't mean that for the SE. It's what happens when the main storm gets here and gives us a couple of hours of 40mph gusts, then as it starts to exit, we get 50 to (maybe) 70mph gusts from another direction (NW, NNW), up until 10am (ish).

  4. They just had Nick Miller on BBC News 24 giving an update, He said the winds are picking up inland now and as the low passes through the winds will veer to a NW and pick up intensity, with gusts expected to exceed 60-70 mph, but soon over as the the low is expecting to have passed through by noon.

     

    Indeed, I saw him too. I am expecting 50mph gusts for London and the SE, I am veering away from the 70mph's to be honest though. I think it will be East Anglia that get them, but very briefly. 

  5. I'm in Turners Hill (near Crawley) and cant remember 70mph gusts for a long time. Already blowing around out there, garden flooded. Waiting for the main event

     

    Don't take it as definite, that is my thoughts and from looking at various sources. I do think you and me will at least get an hour of at least 50mph gusts between dawn and 9am though for sure. Even that will be something for us! 

  6. So between 4-6am for Sussex/Surrey. If this atm isn't the worst then I cant believe what's its going to be like later

    Any chance of the storm intensify before it gets here and what speeds we're expecting for sussex/surrey

    Possibly up to 70mph from 6am - 9am, I am waiting up for it. Don't remember that here for years and years (Crawley). It will be quite adrenaline pumping to see that, once you see it. 

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