boro_dave
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Posts posted by boro_dave
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Fantastic idea Jackone! I'll certainly be keeping an eye out for these updates, fantastic to see that the alps could be in for their first real snow of the season next week.
I'm a very keen skier (although I cannot afford it too often!), and I'm hoping to make the trip out to Tignes in France at some point this winter, have been there twice before and can honestly say it is my favourite place in the entire world. So any updates on that resort in particular (or neighbouring Val d'Isere) would be greatly appreciated!
Not sure of the best place to look, but I've been trying to research on average what time of the year the alps usually see the first good snowfalls, if next week turns out well for them, would that be particularly early in comparison to some of the recent (often very late starting) years?
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TETIS i live about 25 minutes drive west of you, if the latest beeb forecast is true we will see little if any snow.
It looks as though it is not just further south as you had earlier feared, but with precipitation losing intensity much faster than previously thought.
Southern england will still get snow (though not nearly as much as some predicted). Midlands may well get very little if any.
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Ok just to back up why I said ignore that BBC forecast where it says no snow getting north of south midlands...
Tell me, is that not showing PPN as far north as south yorkshire tomorrow midday?
Yes but that was the 18z gfs forecast, the bbc's was made at 00z (6 hours down the line, updated data etc.) and as much as everyone slates them, i bet theyre right.
Gunna watch their forecast now on bbc news 24 (in about 2 mins) if it is the same at at 12 (or worse) im going to bed and EVERYONE is gunna be angry at the METO tomorrow.
*crosses fingers and hopes the bbc go back the other way*
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THIS IS OFFICIALLY THE MOTHER OF ALL DOWNGRADES
(that is, if the bbc are right, and seeing as it is all now supposed to start how can they be wrong from this range?)
BBC at midnight: Temps higher EVERYWHERE, less snow EVERYWHERE, VERY little IF ANY snow getting as far north as the midlands, rain for most south of m4, then all precipitation gone by mid afternoon.
Could well be the BIGGEST SNOW LET DOWN OF MY LIFE, AND IT HAPPENS A LOT.
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I never saw the BBC forecast are you sure?
Latest BBC forecast is an absolute shocker for everyone! Southern England (mainly central southern) will see snow, but with much higher than expected temperatures, and with the precipitation fizzing out by midday tomorrow, hardly even reaching the mindlands (if at all).
The BBC forecast took a massive MASSIVE turn for the worse in the space of 30 minutes.
This is quickly turning into a poor (at best) event for everyone unless this forecast is totally wrong.
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AAAAAAAARRRRRRRRRRRGGGGGGGGGHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
BBC weather has COMPLETELY changed!! No snow for Northern Ireland, snow for southern England, barely getting into the midlands, and fizzing out completely by midday, with the most northern extent of snow in a line between top of wales and the wash.
How can they change it so much in an hour??????
NNNNNNNNOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO
IM NOT GUNNA SEE ANY AARRRRRGHHHH!!!!!!!!!
There's gunna be a LOT of dissapointed people tomorrow.
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In terms of this as government propaganda, I don't think this government have a chance in hell of influencing the bbc, the public or indeed their local postman anymore so I doubt it
When they get you to think that, they have won
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Here's the daily CET mean that is needed in bold to get to predicted values
Button 04 - 7.7 11.8
Westerly Gales - 7.7 11.8
Catchmydrift - 7.6 11.6
Reef - 7.3 11.1
Stephen Prudence - 7.1 10.7
Mike W - 7.0 10.5
PersianPaladin - 7.0 10.5
Bottesford - 6.7 10.0
Magpie - 6.7 10.0
Peter Tattum - 6.7 10.0
Dave J - 6.6 9.8
ThunderyWintryShowers - 6.6 9.8
Fordy - 6.5 9.6
Great Plum - 6.5 9.6
Roger J Smith - 6.5 9.6
Joneseye - 6.4 9.4
Kold Weather - 6.3 9.3
Mark - 6.3 9.3
Snow-Man2006 - 6.3 9.3
The Pit - 6.3 9.3
Evo - 6.2 9.1
Noggin - 6.2 9.1
Rikki - 6.1 8.9
SteveB - 6.1 8.9
Anti-Mild - 6.0 8.7
SnowmanReturns - 5.9 8.5
Stratos Ferric - 5.8 8.4
Paul Carfoot - 5.5 7.8
Thundersquall - 5.5 7.8
Optimus Prime - 5.1 7.1
Shuggee - 4.9 6.7
Snowmaiden - 4.8 6.5
Summer Blizzard - 4.8 6.5
Helly Hanson - 4.6 6.2
Snooz - 4.3 5.6
Tinybill - 4.0 5.1
Drfeelgood - 3.8 4.7
Nick Sussex -2.0 1.4
I see that nobody had the balls to predict a CET of below 0 :wacko:
:blush:
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Been snowing here for a few hours, couple of cm's everywhere which is lovely to see.
However the temps are on the rise and i think it is struggling to accumulate any further because of this.
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Temp 3C
Heavy precipitation, somewhere between hail/sleet/snow, bits of all 3.
Definately not rain tho
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Some Atlantic Tm warmth coming into Scandanavia now,
Todays top temps - 11th December:
Amsterdam: 6C/43F (7C)
Berlin: 4C/39F (5C)
Copenhagen: 10C/50F (5C)
Helsinki: 2C/36F (0C)
Kiev: 0C/32F (0C)
Moscow: -4C/25F (-3C)
Murmansk: -3C/27F (-5C)
Narssarassuaq: -8C/17F (-1C)
Oslo: 9C/48F (4C)
Paris: 4C/39F (9C)
Prague: 1C/34F (4C)
Reykjavik: 3C/37F (5C)
Vienna: 0C/32F (4C)
Warsaw: 1C/34F (3C)
Data by AccuWeather and Weatheronline.com
nice to see majority below average http://nwstatic.co.uk/forum/public/style_emoticons/<#EMO_DIR#>/laugh.gif
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looking nice, mostly below average temps
thanks tim
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A decent overnight frost here, its 10:30 and in the shade it hasnt begun to melt...
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My God....
When I went to bed last night it was category one....
Now it is category 4.... soon to be 5....
If it happens to take a more northerly track over the Tampa/Orlando region I am screwed...
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Damn, looks like its forecast to turn to Florida
Not good for me since I am leaving on thursday for a family trip to Disneyland, Orlando (with the family).
If anyone here has any advice (I will listen to anyone saying 'dont go!!' but I am unlikely to cancel the holiday now) on what to do in a hurricane please post it here or PM me. If one does hit we will probably not be evacuating since we arent near the coast, but will still have to sit it out.
On a lighter note, there will be at least one net-weather reporter there to get some photos (and videos) if it does hit while I am there. So bad news for me, good news for you guys!
<{POST_SNAPBACK}>
Hi everyoneI've been lurking around here for months and have been glued to threads during hurricanes in particular Katrina. This hurricane to be is no different except my family and I are due to fly out to Orlando on Saturday. I'm crapping it but that's mainly due to the worry of the holiday being cancelled and we're only going for a week.
I've been in and out of here like a yoyo looking for updates etc. To the other guy going to Florida I feel your apprehension!!! I'm hoping that it misses Florida altogether. We're going specifically for Halloween Horror Nights at Universal one of our nights is Sunday 23rd and the other is Thurs 27th. Maybe we won't see it at all. Fingers crossed anyway.
Keep up the good work guys, this truly is a great site with some very talented people.
<{POST_SNAPBACK}>
Wow, looks like we are both in an identical situation, at least we're not alone
I agree I hope she swings south so at least we wouldnt get the worst of it. You never know, we might end up seeing each other at one of the parks.
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Damn, looks like its forecast to turn to Florida
Not good for me since I am leaving on thursday for a family trip to Disneyland, Orlando (with the family).
If anyone here has any advice (I will listen to anyone saying 'dont go!!' but I am unlikely to cancel the holiday now) on what to do in a hurricane please post it here or PM me. If one does hit we will probably not be evacuating since we arent near the coast, but will still have to sit it out.
On a lighter note, there will be at least one net-weather reporter there to get some photos (and videos) if it does hit while I am there. So bad news for me, good news for you guys!
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I am taking my family to Orlando, Florida next thursday for a 2 week holiday, is there much chance that this could come our way?
And if it does, will we just be catching the edge of it, or is there and chance that we could get a direct hit?
<{POST_SNAPBACK}>
impossible to say at present. odds are massively against a direct hit if you consider that anywhere on the gulf coast could get a direct hit, ie the orlando coastline represents a minor fraction of the gulf coastline as a whole. furthermore wilma has not yet even been classified as a TD so lets not jump the gun<{POST_SNAPBACK}>
Having looked at this post and the latest charts that have been posted, I believe I have more reason to be worried, and according to those GFDL and GFS forecasts I think that I am right to be.
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I am taking my family to Orlando, Florida next thursday for a 2 week holiday, is there much chance that this could come our way?
And if it does, will we just be catching the edge of it, or is there and chance that we could get a direct hit?
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I was just thinking that there was a lot of criticism when the BBC changed their forecasting graphics system, but most of it was directed at the apparent 'dumbing down' of the forecast rather than the accuracy of the forecast. The BBC have sometimes come under criticism in the past for struggling to forecast snowfalls, such as not accurately predicting the heavy snow that affected south-east england during Febuary 2003, which led to many motorists being stuck on motorways etc.
In my opinoin, this led last year to the BBC over-hyping the snowfalls that did occur, in case they under-predicted thier intensity again (you can argue this if you wish, but last winter several times Hertfordshire was given a 'high to very-high' risk of 'severe disruption due to heavy snow', and the most we got was 2 inches one morning).
My question is - will the new system be more accurate? Only time will tell I suppose, but I hope that some of you will like to voice your opinions (especially if any of you are weather forecasters yourselves).
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Also I have heard the alps are getting very early snowfalls starting tomorrow - I hope this means for a good skiing season :unsure:
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I read the article, basically all the met office are saying is IF we get a colder than average winter then there may be a problem in terms of an energy supply shortfall, however at NO point did it mention the met office PREDICTING a colder than average winter. All they were doing was warning the energy suppliers not to be lured into a false sense of security after all the recent mild winters.
For what its worth, I think this winter will be overall a mild one, with occasional northerly/easterly outbreaks bringing fairly widespread snowfall lasting for a day or two. This is likely to happen about once a month, twice at best.
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awww its all gone already
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I cant tell, its probably just a heavy frost, but does that look like a dusting of snow on that object bottom left?
Check it out:
Either way, its still looking good for 16th of September!
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where's the wind? i have seen several of the new forecasts and not one wind symbol!
how am i supposed to know whether or not to wear a hat????
Snow Watch: East Mids, Lincs And S & E Yorks Pt 2
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted
Well I've had an awesome day. Somewhere between 4 to 5 inches here in Oakham (halfway between Peterborough and Leicester), most of which fell in the last 5 hours!
Great stuff!!