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julo764

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Posts posted by julo764

  1. What has stood out for me of late is benign Atlantic and continuance of above average upper heights towards Greenland.

    If this continues into Winter then it could be a cold one.

    With a super strong El Nino and super cool N Atlantic it will be interesting how it plays out.

     

    A strong El Niño if he isn't Modoki doesn't seem good for a cool winter. 

    About the SST in N Atlantic i don't think that's have big impact for winter 

     

    hiver_clip_image011.gif

     

    a=NAO-

    b=NAO+

    anomnight.9.28.2015.gif

     

     

    American east coast needs to be in negative anomaly.

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  2. If we have an El Niño Modoki, the posibility of a cool winter rise, currently nothing is played, with a positive QBO since last August, and low solar activity or in any case that declining.

    Prediction is difficult, the models predict a mild winter but on the other hand indices going to make a winter as two parts to me. November & December may be mild months, January and February might be colder.
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