[12z model discussion - did someone mention snow?]

I reckon Nick S has nipped off for a quick nap, so he can stay up all night and watch the fun and games! I also think Mr Ferric is conspicuous by his absence, which points to me that we must be in for quite an event, as usually when things start to look promising he nips in to bring everyone back to the land of reality, and unfortunately seems usually to be right! :wacko: Although Im keeping my fingers crossed it looks as though it will fizzle out before it reaches here, but tomorrow is going to be fun on here!

I agree, drove home from oxford earlier, temp went frm 4.5c to 1c in 30 mins !!!

[06z model discussions]

Off topic I know, but Nick, after all your continued hard work watching awful models getting worse all winter, for once its a pleasure to see you soo happy, I take my hat off to you for perserverence, and hope you get some of this snow aswell, Cheers

I feel exhausted with all this model drama! but i'd rather have this drama than the flatlining boredom of crap atlantic mild muDoh a dumb swear filter got the better of me the 48hrs is much better even though its not as good for me down here but I'm just happy to see the longer term prospects improve. I've been lucky already here in January with my best snowfall since moving down here, so i'm not greedy and hope that theres no downgrades at this stage, to be honest I'm quite happy with sunshine and frost, snow is a bonus in the uk.

Its a positive that the feature has split into two cells and should prolong any snow for those lucky locations. Of course as the model output is ever changing lets hope it keeps this at least and gives a good snowfall to as many locations as possible.

[06z model discussions - wet and windy soon?!]

It may well be puzzling you Nick, its well beyond me!

Well only if its a happy and snowy ending and not loads of drama about a damp squib! You see just when it couldnt get any more complicated this shallow low over the north sea causes even more model drama, this stops a ridge from scandi backing west further south, this feature was originally progged to dissipate and allow the ridge further sw, on top of everything else causing problems this feature is another pain to contend with!

http://85.214.49.20/wz/pics/brack0a.gif

If the ukmo cant call where if any snow is going to be under 48hrs away then that really shows just how much uncertainty there is.

[06z model discussions - wet and windy soon?!]

Hi Nick, just a quick question, do you think this will be one of the times you quote in future? I.E I remember in Feb 2007 when the models still looked like FI 48 hours out?

It just goes to show how much uncertainty there is when Peter Gibbs on radio 4 weather says that theres a chance of snow but they're very unsure, it could miss us and go into france or alternatively get as far north as Manchester! a nightmare to forecast only 48hrs out, this just about sums up the current models! F1 looks like now even less than 48hrs, incredible!

[Snow/Wintry Precipitation 23rd Jan 07]

Here in Hull, its still snowing large flakes, sun keeps trying to come out, we have about half an inch on the floor, very pretty! Much appreciated after the winter so far.