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Posts posted by Normal Normal Normal
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I understand what you are saying with winds. But research is showing something like 21/24 correlation with 10mb warming in December and January negative NAO. Many of the analogs didn't have 10mb air temperature correlation or zonal wind event, and yet became -NAO on +20-35 day lag. Models are crazy with 10mb warming through December right now (it's already happening).
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Stratosphere and Polar Vortex Watch
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted · Edited by Normal Normal Normal
This is actually a Stratosphere warming where the N Hemisphere stratosphere at 10mb is going to average negative anomaly.