One way or another
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The heaviest it's been all night, absoulute mayhem !)
Staying with friends in Whitestaunton in the hills above Chard. Just taken 2.5 hours to go about 12 miles. Absolutely throwing it down and has been for about 4 hours. Far worse than Friday's event. Chard also seems to be getting a good pasting
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http://www.metoffice...Time=1358424000
East Midlands
Snow Issued at:1123 on Wed 16 Jan 2013
Valid from:0400 on Fri 18 Jan 2013
Valid to:1800 on Fri 18 Jan 2013
As the weather breaks down, an area of snow looks increasingly likely to spread from the southwest. Winds will strengthen and blizzard conditions are likely, especially over high ground. Accumulations of more than 10-15 cm of snow could well occur quite widely, with the risk of 25 cm or more over high ground.
Clearly there is the potential for some severe disruption, and the public are advised to watch for updates to this warning and to be prepared to alter travel plans.
Yes i know it's the East Midlands,But where not talking Hundreds of miles away,Especially with the wind factor.
All could advance. Tomorrow is crunch time.
God know's why the black back ground wont bugger off.
Too much horsemeat - no one else can see it
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You can see quite a pronounced pivot there around early Saturday - more snow for this area!
Met office 16-30 for SE / EA may also hint at what we're in for longer term
UK Outlook for Thursday 31 Jan 2013 to Thursday 14 Feb 2013:
Colder than average conditions are favoured across many parts of the UK, especially in the north and east. Whilst there is no strong signal for rainfall patterns through this period, drier than average conditions are more likely in the north, whereas the south may have near or even slightly above average rainfall. The frequency of snow events through this period may be more than experienced so far this winter.
Issued at: 1600 on Wed 16 Jan 2013
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Well young man there will be a few surprises and a bit of bad news here if that happens.... your black ring has just chopped my house in half from front to back, stay safe indeed *tsk*
I hope you're not talking about my miner!!
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At least the cold has arrived, we should not get to hung up on specifics even at this short range.
If we have learnt anything from the modern age of being able to watch the models, we know that precipitation can pop up at anytime from anywhere.
I guarantee that before the next 7 days is over, at some point at least some of us will see snow that was not forecasted.
Agree?
Totally - most sensible approach to take
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Unless I mis-heard I thought Darren Bett just said on news 24 that met office is going to upgrade warnings for EA to a miner for Monday night through Tuesday as the easterlies kick in
Sorry meant amber, not miner - lack of cigarettes
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as we get closer, the downgrades continue. maybe best not to expect too much from tomorrow and then wait for tues/wed when the air will be cold enough to support anything falling from the sky being white. the further north and east in the area the best chance to get a decent covering but then i wonder how much there will actually be on this second front and how quickly it will go through. (i'm ignoring the first one now - it seems to be nothing more than a flurry maker)
Unless I mis-heard I thought Darren Bett just said on news 24 that met office is going to upgrade warnings for EA to a miner for Monday night through Tuesday as the easterlies kick in
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A lot of weight being given to the latest NAE output, but something doesn't seem quite right about it:
Clearly something wrong - the Abingdon snow shield isn't clearly visible!
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Monday for me is going to be interesting but daunting at the same time.
Got to work in Central London on Monday to replace 2 massive water heaters in a pub. I then have to travel back to Colchester which will happen during the rush hour when the snow is expected to arrive. Its a bad enough journey on a good day.
If anyone is travelling Monday, Be safe and make sure to take provisions with you and plenty of warm clothing/Blanket and hot drink in your vehicle. I do believe that this will be a big event looking at the charts and it would be wise to be prepared.
Hi FD
Got a similar issue to you in that I have to drive to Bristol at 0400 on Monday morning and back to Colchester at 1900. Work for a renowned breakdown organisation and our whole business is on "red alert". Sub 0 degrees makes for a large increase in breakdowns and snow doesn't help us get to our customers! Our warnings that are issued every 6 hours point towards the potential for accumulations in EA / SE for Monday, Wednesday and potentially Thursday
Enjoy and drive carefully!
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Splendid snow potential on this run for the north west of England. Cumbria probably the place to be. Would expect several inches of snow there on Tuesday.
To quote the BBC weather at 2235:
" a return to the white stuff could be on the cards following the storm blowing through" followed by a mischievous grin.....!
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At the top of the page it says 'my controls'. Click that and then half way down on the left hand side, under personal profile, it gives you the option to 'edit profile information'. You will be able to change your location here
Thanks for the info - will make changes accordingly....
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Just woken up and by the look of the radar perfect timing as the snow is literally knocking on my door. Great to see the snow did finally move NE despite our fears, can anyone give me a quick summary of snow depths across the UK?.
Morning TEITS
Same as me - woke up, made coffee and then snow arrived on cue!! In Colchester but cant figure how to change my location on my log in. Settling quickly here and really starting to come down.
SM talking about the front stalling over Essex - I can but dream......
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Just started snowing in Colchester - we're about 40 miles north of the M25 and about 10 miles in from the essex coastline. Started light but starting to improve now - good enough for me to skive - was due to be in Manchester for 1130am but don't think I'll bother
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people keep talking about the models for this thursdays even which commences in 12 hours, in my opinion the most accurate way to see whats going on will be to keep check of the bbc weather forecasts, along with the flash warnings from the metoffice and of course the radar
The precip for tonight/tommorow is currently starting to show on the radar
Do people think that the BBC and Meto have to be more cautious than most to try and get people to understand the worst case scenario. I remember a few years ago gettin off the M1 prior to a deluge of snow and people being stuck there for 16 hours+.
There were little to no warnings and since then it seems that they always tend to go over the top when forecasting snow. I could be wrong but I've tended to assume this to be the case.
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Well all the models have now fallen into place behind the GFS. GEM's wild scenario at 12z yesterday has been completely replaced by a GFS-identi-run and with an incredibly warm plume on 12th Feb showing up! The big big change though is UKMO, which also now has taken the GFS route. ECM is also thoroughly zonal and wild.
The only interest in the short term for cold fans is if anywhere will see snow tonight and tomorrow. You all know my views about how marginal it looks, but we shall see! Some front edge snow may occur for a while before rain sets in. Others may have different views.
Well done to the GFS. It has taken a battering from some people on here, but it looks like it has stuck to its guns and if this is how it transpires then it has won the model battle by miles. It's in a different league from the rest.
It's amazing how people can come up with utter nonense to try and justify a point! The GFS has handled this the same as most other models - with uncertainty and constant chopping and changing!
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Come on JB! Live and let live! Just enjoy the model watching and remember that pinch of salt; there's still a chance it could all come to nothing......but I sure hope not!!
Spot on Anti - a few hours ago it was all doom and gloom - it can easily go that way again. We await the ECM!
South West/Central Southern England Regional Discussion 22/01/13 16z------------->
in Regional
Posted
Think here in Whitestaunton (800-1000ft in Blackdowns) it's the same. Altitude has meant it's snowed from the outset and Fergieweather's 15-20cm for the Somerset hills is spot on the money by the looks of it