Jump to content
Snow?
Local
Radar
Cold?

Wetterfrosch

Members
  • Posts

    279
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Posts posted by Wetterfrosch

  1. Did the MetOffice read my last post, i wonder?🤔😉Yellow warning of rain just issued, highlighting the same areas as most at risk, even suggesting 100 to 150 mm possible in some higher reaches of Eryri. Just as well then that tomorrow for me is a day of shopping in the morning and a social indoor meeting in the afternoon, therefore no loss of a gardening day and watering free of charge, happy days!

     

    Headline

    Heavy rain may cause some flooding and disruption to travel.

    Issued: 10:30 (UTC+1) on Tue 21 May 2024

    Further details

    An area of rain is expected to develop across eastern and central England and then move northwestwards to affect northern England and north Wales during Wednesday afternoon. The area of rain could then become slow moving, heavy and persistent, especially over north facing hills, before clearing during Thursday morning.

    There is a lot of uncertainty over exactly where the heaviest rain will occur and this warning is likely to be updated. Many places will see 30-40 mm of rain, while a few areas may receive 60-80 mm. There is also a small chance that a few upland areas could see much higher totals, in the order of 100-150 mm.

     

  2. Amazingly, and a bit unexpectedly really, I was lucky enough yesterday to catch a decent enough shower, yielding 7.2 mm of rain, with some rumbles of thunder mixed in to save me watering my plants. 😀⛈️ Another warning is now out for today, covering most of Wales bar coastal areas but I don't think it will strike here again as yesterdays mugginess has now all but gone but we'll see.

    Looking forward to midweek, rainfall forecast for tomorrow found on weatheronline.com now shows a vast area that could see between 20 and 50 mm of rain and it's the central and northern parts of England rather than Scotland as indicated before then. Even higher parts of Eryri might see a good drenching if that came off.

    image.thumb.png.d008ec9b7122f3b4fb5fdb1106397bcf.png

    image.png.2cd288f9b8e50aa08fbb23d6679c2205.png

     

     

  3. 48 minutes ago, snefnug said:

    Interesting to note that just in the short few days without over heavy rain, and a keen wind, my plants in pots waiting to be planted out are dry as a bone soil wise… 

    I wish I could say the same of my rear lawn which has developed a few bald patches, courtesy of the dogs (whose 13th birthday it is today), and where the ground is still very muddy. A dry easterly airflow combined with a few days of strong wall to wall sunshine would soon remedy that!

  4. Quite frankly, any wind direction will do for me as long it's not a moist SWly. Looking forward to some drier days ahead and the chance to get cracking in the garden. Seems to have been quite a wild day for some, especially along the coasts - Aberdaron 70 mph, Aberporth 69 mph, Capel Curig 68 mph, Mumbles 61 mph, St Athan 60 mph, Pembrey Burrows 58 mph. By contrast, it's largely been a reasonable day round here, just a light shower at dusk and not more than a fresh breeze. 

    • Like 1
  5. 23 minutes ago, In Absence of True Seasons said:

    Quite impressive how the UK is one of the only places almost fully covered by cloud in the entirety of Europe. 

    SE England doing ok but elsewhere in Britain...not so much.

    We genuinely do need the stars to align here to manifest a properly clear day for everyone (not just part of the country).

    Boy, do I know about it! Being stuck under persistent low cloud and fog with intermittent drizzle and a moderate breeze full of dampness, it feels more like November here at the edge of Eryri/Snowdonia - that's the price one has to pay for living between the sea and mountains, I guess. All this talk of warm air everywhere else seems to refer to a far distant planet from my back garden. Barely 10 C here atm and just 11.3 max yesterday! I much rather exchange the current air mass  for something colder as it's likely to bring with it brighter spells and, with the sun being quite strong now, will at least feel more pleasant even if the thermometer says otherwise. Rant over!

    • Like 1
  6. 4 hours ago, DeepSnow said:

    Been a lovely spring day, sunny with a high of 20.4C, perfect spring day for me!

    Lucky you! Here, all I got was a couple of brief spells of hazy sunshine but mostly thick low cloud, managing no more than 11.3 C max. Getting tired of seeing people on TV enjoying spring like weather in so many parts of the country whilst still stuck in seemingly eternal autumn conditions. The joys of living between the sea and the mountains, eh!☹️🌫️

  7. The plot thickens! While the laptop version now offers me 96 mph, the same page on my smart phone 'only' tops at 60 mph at exactly the same time. All wind values are much lower there while everything else is absolutely the same. Therefore it must be a technical issue (or are Russian hackers are at work?) which explains the volatility of the laptop version.🤔

    Mobile phone:

    Screenshot_20240403-001030.thumb.png.efc08c48168e3e208ba9669db4548de3.png

    Laptop:

    Screenshot 2024-04-02 at 23-54-29 Penygroes (Gwynedd) weather.png

     

  8. What is wrong with the MetO computer? Over the last few weeks their numerical output has on several occasions been coming up with some astonishing wind speeds that luckily never materialized. The latest corker projects 86 mph gusts this coming Saturday for Penygroes less than 2 miles away. For the same time the BBC reaches 48 mph and NW model 56 mph, both are plausible looking at the corresponding fax chart, but 86mph??? Also notable has been the frequent drastic up and down of wind speed from update to update. Is the poor computer suffering from dengue fever???🤔 Having a less than perfect roof I could do without such an excitable machine!! 😩

    image.thumb.png.c1dbc6ee758ff73ade539a5b52e88109.png

     

    Screenshot 2024-04-02 at 20-37-11 Penygroes (Gwynedd) weather.png

  9. Can't help thinking that MetO were a bit premature, especially at such short notice, in cancelling their rain warning for North Wales. Although more rain fell in the south, my own rain gauge still collected 33 mm in 24 hours to 9 am, as did Capel Curig (34 mm - no surprise there!). Lake Vyrnwy also got 21 mm, Bala 14mm and even Aberdaron still 13 mm, all within the range of the original warning text. Can't wait for drier weather to arrive!

    Updated: 10:12 (UTC) on Sat 17 Feb 2024

    Further details

    Rain will move east across England and Wales during Saturday afternoon and night before clearing southeast England on Sunday morning. With this rain falling on already saturated ground, impacts are more likely. Many places are likely to see 10-15 mm of rain, although 30-40 mm is possible over higher ground in western areas. There is a small chance that rain hesitates as it clears east on Sunday morning which may allow these higher accumulations to fall in a few places across central, southern and eastern England. What should I do? Check if your property could be at risk of flooding. If so, consider preparing a flood plan and an emergency flood kit. Give yourself the best chance of avoiding delays by checking road conditions if driving, or bus and train timetables, amending your travel plans if necessary. People cope better with power cuts when they have prepared for them in advance. It’s easy to do; consider gathering torches and batteries, a mobile phone power pack and other essential items. Be prepared for weather warnings to change quickly: when a weather warning is issued, the Met Office recommends staying up to date with the weather forecast in your area.

    View full warning details and map view

    Reason for update

    Whilst rain is still expected across all of England and Wales later Saturday into early Sunday, the warning has been cancelled for much of north Wales and northern and western England as impacts are now less likely. The warning end time has also been brought forward.

    • Like 1
  10. 2 hours ago, marclt said:

    Bizarrely, we’ve had some drier days down west, but the ground saturation is high. How much rain can we take!?! 

    Seems west is best, and north west possibly even more so as the southerly track of the jet stream still affects South Wales much more than us up here, just as has been the case for months now. Yes we did have rain most days but often only fairly small or moderate amounts or even just unpleasant dampness. No wonder then that all I've got so far this month is 54.3 mm which is in line with my long term average of 118 mm for the entire month. By sheer observation I have found that the middle of February is often the time that winter deluges start to give way to spring dryness which can then last into June, notwithstanding the odd wet or very wet month, such as March last year or May 2021. Today is another of those dull, dreary days with thick cloud right down close to the valley floor but mostly just cloud drifting in the air, hence only 8 mm over the last 24 hours. Have a good Valentine's Day all!!!❤️

  11. 1 hour ago, The4Seasons said:

    I did say if you get lucky hinting that it may not happen. I see parents of Flintshire cc school children kicking off this morning on bbc Wales news. I just had suspicions that this snow event would be disappointing for you guys up there as been the story of the winter so far for most of us. 

    Yes, absolutely - what a damp squib it's been once again. With those upper temps already rising before any wet stuff even arrived I never held out much hope. Just perplexed at the MetO sending everyone up the garden path. Wondering if Flintshire Council may sue them for that or did they close schools after reading the Daily Express?😁😉

  12. 12 hours ago, The4Seasons said:

    Hey good luck for tomorrow's snow events up there mate 🙂. If you get lucky share us some photos from your beautiful part of the world. As for my area another yellow warning for a rain drenching is in force.  I really cannot wait for spring to arrive. This dull muck has been endless. Luckily today we had a pause ⏸ 😄. So far this winter I have managed to see and record a 1 cm dusting of snow from when I posted here back on the 8 Jan. Plus have recorded -7c and -6 so it's not all doom and gloom 😀 . I am hoping we get 1 last chance before spring takes hold of something good 🌨❄☃️. That would be nice. 

    Snow? What snow?? Just cold rain here with blustery winds at 4 C and set to rise.☹️ Even from what I can see up Crib Nantlle, there's no sign of snow. It's been going that way for the last 48 hours, so it's not really a surprise and quite frankly, it would have been a very brief snow cover anyway if it had come off. Even the rain has only yielded a few mm's so far but with the centre of the low sticking round for a while and seemingly 'turning on it's heels' so to speak, that might still tot up by tomorrow. Quite agree that it's time for something more springlike to arrive!! Just surprised about the MetO missing rain warnings twice now in my area but going gang-hoo now and I fail to see compelling evidence for them. Maybe it's just my location (as usual!) or something is still to come that only they can see??🤔

    • Thanks 1
  13. 1 hour ago, The4Seasons said:

    Wow nearly 70mph winds and torrential rain. Floods on the roads and rising rivers. Surprising there are no warnings this evening. Seen named storms with less winds than this on an Amber lol 😆 

    I wondered myself why there was silence yet again from the Metoffice, had obviously their eyes on the expected snow event and lost short term sight. With 38 mm at Capel Curig, 27 mm at Bala and 25 mm in my own front garden in less than twelve hours it's no wonder flooding has been reported in places like Ruthin for example. My own chances of snow remain marginal. Although temperature spot forecast has come down, all sleet symbols have turned to rain which is rather weird in itself but with up to 47 mph easterly gusts and a feels like temperature of minus 4 there might be enough evaporative cooling to produce snow, even if it's transient.

    • Like 2
    • Insightful 1
  14. 12 hours ago, Metwatch said:

    Back from a visit to see friends in Snowdonia this weekend and the thing I noticed is how dramatic the weather changes; from decently sunny and mild back home Saturday morning in the Midlands at almost 14°C, to rain and cloud around the border near Oswestry, and then fog (Or very low cloud below 250-200m) once reaching the edges of of Snowdonia, which lasted until Sunday early afternoon.

    But the scenery never fails to amaze me on the every occasional visit even if it's raining / foggy!

    Glad you had a good trip to our neck of the woods. My American god daughter lived with us for a few years to learn Cymraeg and the image of low cloud and thick mist drifting over the hills and shrouding the mountains was always the one she was most amazed of and made a lasting impression that she took back home with her. Yes, we are very blessed being surrounded by such beauty! Living at the western edge of Eryri I had an amazingly decent day yesterday with a few bright spells and even late hazy sunshine. No such luck today though and now wondering if Thursday's snow will make it down to my level. Can't see it yet given the temperatures forecast but one never knows round here!?! To be more precise, falling sleet/snow yes but sticking for any length of time more uncertain, more likely to get an ice problem if skies clear.

    • Thanks 1
  15. 3 hours ago, snefnug said:

    erm no, it wouldn’t.  Glad to see the end of winter.  Whacked  through the heating oil in four months, not so much through the ‘cold spell’ but generally through the ‘non sunny, PV panels don’t work’ spell and the ‘Strewth it’s blinking cold and dark and windy’ stormy spells.  
     

    I actually quite share that sentiment but I'd much rather have another blast of winter in February than see anything resembling March 2013, even more so as I will be travelling to and through Germany in a mobile home early next month and would prefer something more springlike then. Also, cold and frosty days (with or without snow) are often brighter than the mild and windy drab with thick low cloud and never ending dampness that has returned to our valley after a decent day. In any way, I haven't found evidence suggesting  any cold spell lasting too long.

  16. Looks pretty atrocious for Norway tomorrow. With hurricane force gusts also comes a dumping of snow and with it blizzards, avalanches, severe icing etc. In one German news outlet 200 cm (yes, you read this correctly!)  of new snow was mentioned. I bet the notorious Daily Express will be envious of  that headline. I wonder how their electric cars are holding up in all this. The Shetland vikings will undoubtedly relieved that their Up Helly Aa fire festival could go ahead today prior to the arrival of storm Ingunn. Would be such fun witnessing that spectacle on site!

    WWW.SHETNEWS.CO.UK

    LERWICK was awash with flames earlier tonight (Tuesday) as the Up Helly Aa procession lit up the town. Starting off at Lower Hillhead and ending up in the King Harald Street playpark for the galley...

     

    • Like 1
×
×
  • Create New...