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AlexG595

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Posts posted by AlexG595

  1. On 21/11/2023 at 19:59, CryoraptorA303 said:

    IMO they are still important milestones; they still hold the third and second hottest days ever recorded after all, for now anyway (I'm sure a few summers between now and the 2030s will have something to say about them). August 2003 will still be remembered for some time for the massive heatwave. 2019 I feel will fall into relative obscurity (like the August 1932 heatwave) rather quickly due to the lack of an accompanying prolonged heatwave. 2022's record is huge although I doubt it will remain for all that long. I see next year going above 40 again if Nino sticks to the dry spring script and then we get a hot summer after that. If not that then another heatwave will come up at some point and we'll pass it by the mid-2030s. Aside from that we will have more than a couple summers reaching into the high 30s between now and then and we'll almost certainly see more 38s and 39s in the meantime.

    I'd never actually paid much attention to August 1997 before - Looks very much like the August version of June 2023. Several tropical nights or near misses at Heathrow anyhow. Overall 1997 has the far more extreme daily minima, but 1995 has the more extreme daily maxima and of course the dry period was much more intense too. I think 1995 also had a farther reach as it's still the hottest summer on record across the Welsh and NWrn coast, which shows you how gigantic an area it accounted for, and so it will stick out more in the minds of those who live in western areas that normally dodge the heatwaves than more recent hot summers that didn't go as far on the west coast.

    I wasn't alive for May 1992, but I will agree that it looks more extreme than 2008, by a considerable margin. The season was trundling along, quite backended as Nino seasons tend to be, and then suddenly eight consecutive days of >25.9C at Heathrow. Daily minima really high by the end as well. If there's any month that deserved to rubbish May 1944 then that's as good as any.

    The truth is, in my lifetime, aside from 2012 in Scotland and 27th May 2005, we haven't really had any extraordinary Mays at all (aside from May 2021 but that's in the other direction). This makes me think we're well overdue for one and the result will be horrifying when it finally does materialise.

    I remember things from December 2015 as being from October because of how warm it was 😆 Very high daily maxima and extremely high daily minima. It was also extraordinarily wet on the west coast and is several locations' wettest month on record, even beating January 2014. However on the east coast where I am it wasn't wet at all and actually veered on the drier side, so December 2015 was narrowly stopped from having that record too.

    Of course the February 1998 record was on Friday 13th 🤣

    Probably corrections of slightly inaccurate measurements.

    Referencing your comparison between July 2019 and August 1932! We've already seen this happen already with both July 2006's hottest day record and the even more notable July 2015's record falling into obscurity from the moment they were beat. Honestly I'm glad as both of these records came from otherwise uneventful summers. 2019's late June and late August heatwave was pretty impressive but far from deserving of the national record over them

  2. Absolutely in love with this thread. Though this is more "a month that got a record that *didn't* deserve it" I was absolutely distraught over June 2023 beating the old joint records of 1940 and 1976, especially 1976. To be fair. A lot of this just stems from my general dislike for modern climate change records but I used to love June 1976 for the exceptional maxima in the latter half of the month

    In contrast, I was very happy about September 2023 tying with September 2006 overall. I found September 2006 to be incredibly boring meteologically with only 1-2 days actually exceeding 30°C, despite this. Mainly due to warm minima, 2006 beat many famous Septembers like 1911 and 1906 in overall mean temperature. September 2023 was an incredible month due to it's beginning heatwave. 7 days over 30°C was absolutely uprecedented compared to previous Septembers. Nevermind all in a row! Though I remember at some point, a weather model even forecasted maxima as high as 36°C in parts of the south for 2 consecutive days. Even though I hate heatwaves, I still wish this had verified.

  3. March 1947.. Just the entire first half of it is still incredible to me, the mean CET for the first half of the month was -0.3°C

    Something that also bothers me is that a min CET of -9.4°C was recorded on the 7th. If it was only that touch colder then it couldve been the only -10°C CET minima outside of Dec-Jan-Feb. 

    Sadly the very mild second half ruined any chances of March 1947 becoming a record cold March, however I love to speculate some kind of March 1947 followed by a late March 2013 combination that would absolutely decimate previous March cold spells

  4. April 1893. Somehow not the hottest on record thanks to a cold start in that year and the exceptionally high minima and more general persistance of warm weather seen in April 2011

    Late April saw 8 consecutive days over 25°C

    Peaking at 29°C on the 18th. I made a chart showing the highest maxima seen during the April heatwave, though some of these may not be accurate as sources were hard to find.

    IMG_20230805_153818_096.jpg

  5. On 04/12/2023 at 11:17, CryoraptorA303 said:

    Welcome to the Hottest Heatwave of All Time Championship!

    In this game, each member will nominate one heatwave to enter the competition. Once enough heatwaves have been added to the pot, a bracket will be randomised to decide each match. Each match will be a 1 vs 1 between two heatwaves.

    Each heatwave will be judged on nine criteria:
    - Total days of heatwave

    - Total consecutive 30C days

    - Days above 34C

    - Days above 36C

    - Hottest day

    - Warmest night

    - Average maximum temperature

    - Average minimum temperature

    Each heatwave will be awarded a point for each criterion it suppasses the opposing heatwave by. If a criterion is a tie, both heatwaves will be awarded a point. If neither heatwave satisfies a criterion, then both sides will not be awarded a point.

    The winning heatwave will move to the next round of the championship, while the losing heatwave will be eliminated. If the final score is a tie, then a Sudden Death round will be held, and each Met Office region will present its max temperature for both heatwaves. Whichever heatwave achieved a higher maximum in the most regions will be given an extra tenth point and advance to the next round.

    All temperatures will be derived from Starling's Roost Weather data, unless otherwise specified.

    To qualify as a heatwave, any nominated hot spell must have achieved a temperature of 28.0C or higher for at least 3 days and must not drop below at any point. There is no lower limit for daily minima.

    Any heatwave from May to September may be nominated. Heatwaves which spanned between two months (such as 1976) may be nominated as [Month 1]/[Month 2] [Year]. Years in which two temporally distinct heatwaves occured must be nominated separately, for instance June/July 2018 and late July 2018. An exception may be considered if temperatures only dropped slightly below 28.0C for a day or two, but the non-heatwave day(s) will be held against it in the averages.

    The stations Camden Square, Barbourne and London Weather Centre are banned from this tournament and temperatures from these stations will not be considered. As the host I reserve the right to disqualify any temperatures I believe to not stand up to scrutiny.

    All temperatures will be listed in chronological order.

    With that out of the way, nominate your heatwaves!

    August 2022, the July heatwave has seen a lot of attention but nobody has seemed to nominate (in my opinion) the even more credible August!

     

    The month saw several days between 32-35°C in a row with some especially oppressive nights. The length of this heatwave felt worse than the July heatwave, not to mention the more widespread hot temperatures as compared to 2020 which was mostly secluded to more southern areas of England

  6. October 1926!

    Though not against climatic grain.. the first half saw the warmest October day ever in parts of Ireland, the second half heralded the coldest 2nd half to October on record.

     

    Another extreme contender would be March 1947 with an exceptionally cold first half to the month followed by the infamous thaw and floods of the 2nd half

     

    Mar-Apr 1968 and Mar-Apr 2021 are also good candidates with both seeing exceptional warm spells followed by a deep and long lasting cold spell, in fact I saw snow twice during April 2021, by far the latest snowfall Id ever seen here in SE Cheshire

  7. Storm Eunice was the only enjoyable thing of winter 2022-23. Me and my friends all stood outside during the peak of the gusts and we could barely keep our eyes open!

    March's sunny spell whiles initially unmemorable, I look back and realise just how impressively sunny that month was for the time of year

    I found this year's summer ondto almost be like a switch. The first half felt warm but relatively average during the June heatwave but the 2nd half after the 40c heatwave just felt like you just set the UK on fire. It quickly changed from a "normal" summer to a very "droughty" summer like that of 2018. It felt exceptionally hot by mid August with the daily 34c's across the UK and the whole attitude changed as a hosepipe ban was introduced. My local pond was exceptionally low by the beginning of September and made 2018's drought look like a picnic

    Does anyone have any comparisons with the second half of this summer's CET maxima compared to other notable summers?

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