Jump to content
Will it snow? 7 day forecast Weather Radar Will it be cold?
Snow?
Local
Radar
Cold?

Blizz

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    20

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Posts posted by Blizz

    Blue Mountains NSW, Australia - Great Snowfalls - June 2007

    in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide

    Posted · Edited by Blizz

    Hi Everyone,

    We have had some very significant weather on the east coast of NSW of late. A number of East Coast Lows have brought rain, flooding and snow. Below are some of the pics from snow in recent weeks in my area. We have had some very nice snowfalls so far this winter. For a place that is known for its heat, people can sometimes forget that very good snowfalls do occur at times. None of my images are from the ski-fields but rather well north in typically warmer climes.

    Blizz

    http://www.blackheathweather.com/picture2007a.html

    http://www.blackheathweather.com/picture2007b.html

    http://www.blackheathweather.com/picture2007c.html

    My main page (reports, map details etc)

    http://www.blackheathweather.com/

    Australia severe weather 2006/7 season

    in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide

    Posted · Edited by Blizz

    Moisty unstable NE airstream will cause very severe storms over NE NSW and SE QLD during new year period. Instability, moisture and wind shear looks very promising for over this period. Lifted Index will be notified between -4 to -11 with CAPE over 1500kj's. Extreme instability mainly over NE NSW area starting this Friday where severe storms born. Very semi stantionary trough with high over period

    I think that is overstating it mate. I've just run an animation on GFS and whilst LI's are potentially in the 0 to -4 range (and maybe fractionally higher) over this period and CAPE is in the 800 to 1400 range, your figures are over the top. Sorry, but its important to accurately render forecasts or at least do the best you can champ. ;-)

    Australia severe weather 2006/7 season

    in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide

    Posted · Edited by Blizz

    Not quite normal for mid teens weather for Melbourne in late December. Sure, high teens and low twenties will come with cool changes but mid teens is not common. One of the things I was reminded of the other day is that whilst the large bay around Melbourne (Port Phillip Bay) tends to weaken the effects of cold outbreaks in Melbourne in winter, it tends to strenghen them in summer as the bay really warms up in summer, aiding convective activity etc during cold changes.

    ski.com.au forum in Oz has had some ripper pics of the snow here on Mt Baw Baw. These from 'Kahanamoku' are beauties.

    http://davins.homelinux.net/downloads/Dec26/IMG_0020.jpg

    http://davins.homelinux.net/downloads/Dec26/IMG_0008.jpg

    http://davins.homelinux.net/downloads/Dec26/IMG_0009.jpg

    http://davins.homelinux.net/downloads/Dec26/IMG_0011.jpg

    http://davins.homelinux.net/downloads/Dec26/IMG_0027.jpg

    You Tube footage from Kahanamoku:

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NvU14W7182c

    Australia severe weather 2006/7 season

    in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide

    Posted

    Hiya Blackheath, I'm sure you remember me then - inaugural snow forecasting champ on the weather forum beating the great Frog. ;) I lurk here now that I live in London. I don't post much since I'm way outa my depth with the patterns here - what a mess! It's nice and predictable back home. What these guys call FI is fairly reliable in the southern hemi, being able to track systems from Chile onwards.

    I know Oz gets these outbreaks but never so long lived and so much dumpage. It really is most unusual, as is the warmth here from what I've read. Although it does seem to be starting to become the norm... Unpredictability that is. Check out D'eyes thread in CV.

    Yeah, I do remember you actually. Amazing event indeed this one. Then again, our drought has been amazing too and the last ski season was amazing for producing very little.

    Australia severe weather 2006/7 season

    in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide

    Posted · Edited by Blizz

    http://www.ski.com.au/snowcams/lakemtn2.html

    Yes, very impressive outbreak for summer. Sure, we do get snow perhaps a couple of times or so a decade in December in higher reaches but for there still to be snow on this link above and still -1C the next morning is impressive.

    BTW Filski, I'm a Weather Commentator over at ski.com.au and am known as 'Blackheath' over there.

    Australia severe weather 2006/7 season

    in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide

    Posted · Edited by Blizz

    Well, its snowing in parts of southern Australia today. Click on the cams below to see the snow.

    State of Victoria, north of Melbourne:

    http://www.ski.com.au/snowcams/lakemtn2.html

    Tasmania cam - should be snow on the mountains later

    http://www.rosebay.tased.edu.au/camera.htm

    And my town will stay cool all day and probably not get over 11 or 12C. Not bad for summer in Oz!

    More photos from a climatologist in Oz from the weather bureau, who is also a mad keen snow lover.

    http://www.flickr.com/photos/72584009@N00

    More photos from another aussie cold weather lover:

    http://www.flickr.com/photos/amancalledsue/?saved=1

    Of course, it is a combination of hail, sleet and snow in the various photos here but quite amazing for a subtropical climate in summer. Melbourne could have its coldest Christmas day in over 70 years. And this follows an amazing cold outbreak in November for the SE of Oz. We are all hoping for a good snow season in 2007 which seems a reasonable chance with the possibility of the drought breaking in autumn/winter.

    Australia severe weather 2006/7 season

    in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide

    Posted

    Yeah, it wont be quite as cold on Boxing Day for the test match but there could be some rain around in the morning. Still, its going to be a chilly Christmas day down south around Melbourne. There should be some nice snowfalls across the ranges, just north of Melbourne. It has been an extraordinary year over here. We are in the grip of a terrible drought and my town saw only two light snowfalls in winter but then it snowed north of my place in November! Indeed it was cold enough to snow here at the same time but moisture was limited. And now we are having a decent cold outbreak in Oz in December, pretty crazy stuff.

    Australia severe weather 2006/7 season

    in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide

    Posted · Edited by Blizz

    Looks like southern Australia could be experiencing some snow for Christmas day. Tasmania looks to have snow across the highlands and maybe even the state of Victoria further to the north could see snow across the ski fields. Leading up to Christmas this week we have a slow moving trough that should bring some welcome rain to Victoria, NSW and QLD as it interacts with available moisture. Then a surface low should form off the south east coast of Australia by about Sunday and will generate chilly winds and colder air into Christmas day as it interacts with a ridging high pressure system behind it. Not bad for the middle of summer over here to be getting a cold front that will bring some snow! :lol:

    Below are some free Australian forecasting links from my site to help those that are interested in our weather. The third link, the Weatherzone one, is probably the best to get a quick glance at the GFS charts and also locally produced charts for our area.

    My forecasting links:

    http://www.blackheathweather.com/forecast.html

    The BoM link to their free forecasting material in Oz:

    http://www.bom.gov.au/nmoc/NWP.shtml

    Weatherzone free material - good daily charts (more if you register):

    http://www.weatherzone.com.au/

    Merry Christmas to all!

    Blizz

    Storm Spotter and webmaster of blackheathweather.com

    PS: Supercell Hunters is an enthusiastic young man that is new to the dynamics of Australian weather. He used to be on Weatherzone forums in Australia where I am a moderator. If I can respectfully say, SH is still learning how to report storms and other weather events accurately.

    Tropical Cyclone Larry

    in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide

    Posted

    Yes, the pictures we are getting this morning with all of the television crews that are there look pretty bad. Lots of damage. All Banana crops and sugar can crops are completely gone, power could be out for weeks and sewer and water supply are pretty much down too. A lot of damage in the town - probably more than first thought. The place basically looks shredded.

    Tropical Cyclone Larry

    in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide

    Posted

    This report just in from the Sydney Morning Herald in Australia:

    http://www.smh.com.au/

    "One in three houses have lost their roofs and several people have been hurt in the coastal town where Tropical Cyclone Larry made landfall.

    More than half of the houses and buildings in the small town of Innisfail, about 100km south of Cairns, suffered major damage when the category five storm hit about 4am, said Sergeant Gary Burkin of Innisfail police.

    The cyclone has now been downgraded to level three.

    "There's some buildings that have totally collapsed," Sergeant Burkin said. "It's greater than 50 per cent [damage] for housing and buildings."

    About a third of houses had lost their roofs, said Queensland Counter Disaster and Rescue Services (CDRS) executive director Frank Pagano.

    Only four residents of Innisfail - which has a population of about 8000 - are believed to have sustained minor injuries, Cairns Police Chief Superintendent Mike Keating said."

    Tropical Cyclone Larry

    in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide

    Posted · Edited by Blizz

    BBC news just had a bloke on the phone god did he sound board.lol

    Nah, that's just the way we talk over here. Sort of understated when in reality the fella was probably scared to death! Reports thus far are fragmented but it sounds like some nasty damage indeed up north. Some of the calls to local TV stations down here near Sydney have been harrowing.

    Its still maybe an hour or two before rescue can get into the town in any numbers.

    Need Help On The Site/forum?

    in Help, support and feedback

    Posted

    Thanks folk for an informative forum. I'm a moderator for a large weather forum in Oz with a love of snow and storms. My town at 1085m above sea level gets about three or four snowfalls per winter, bit less in a bad season and a bit more than that in a good one.

    One thing though re this net-weather site is that it has so many topics that its hard to navigate. We have a fraction of the amount of topics that you folk have and it seems to be a lot easier to move around. Anyway, horses for courses and thanks for all your efforts in running this forum, I know what that is like! :rolleyes:

    Blizz

    My Winter 2005:

    http://home.vicnet.net.au/~bmstorms/picture2005a.htm

    My main site:

    http://home.vicnet.net.au/~bmstorms/welcome.htm

×
×
  • Create New...