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Martin R

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Posts posted by Martin R

    Hurricane Ophelia

    in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide

    Posted

    1 minute ago, Allseasons-si said:

    I said this earlier that she has tracked further west heading north,how fickle these little beast's are,just when you thought it was nailed on and a slight shift makes all the difference,maybe the met was right but i am not going to speak too soon.

    These models have very little experience dealing with this kind of scenario. NHC have the experience would favour the NHC out puts

    Hurricane Ophelia

    in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide

    Posted

    1 minute ago, Paul said:

    Ophelia has been modelled and tracked since Monday, from when it was just a small tropical depression.

    This is Monday's map from the NHC

    mondaynhc.png

    Hi Paul been a while i hope you are doing well?
    Yes i know that it's been tracked since Monday.I was thinking the charts before Monday are no longer in play for the outlook winter wise ?
    Or am i over thinking the scenario? 

    Hurricane Maria

    in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide

    Posted · Edited by Martin R

    7 minutes ago, Fiona Robertson said:

    Looking at the latest data she's dropped 3 mB in the centre since the last flight, winds around 85 mph in SE. If she keeps moving further west she might regain strength and slam into the mainland. Meanwhile Lee seemed to do a wee loop-de-loop and is now heading NW. What are the chances of these two meeting up?

    Jose weakening has allowed the Atlantic ridge and the ridge over the east coast to join up.Lee has the potential to under cut the ridge ..but a link up very doubtful in my opinion.As for Maria time will tell if she gets stronger or weakens to nothing

    • Like 1

    Atlantic hurricane season/invest thread

    in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide

    Posted · Edited by Martin R

    5 hours ago, Gray-Wolf said:

    Some of the experimental forecasts show the easternmost storm gobble up the westerly one ( fujiwhara effect ) before heading north to interact with the remnants of Jose as he heads our way......

    Could that strengthen the Azores high over us giving us a shot at a least an indian summer???

    Ensembles don't support an indian summer...but it can all change 

    Hurricane Irma

    in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide

    Posted

    Just now, Rollo said:

    My daughter is going to the Dominican Republic on The 28th of this month and is very concerned about this very active hurricane season,I have told her it is too soon to know if there is much to worry about but as she is registered disabled can anyone supply any info as to end of September /early October in the area.

    So many disturbances in the Atlantic it's hard to predict track this far out.

     

    Hurricane Irma

    in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide

    Posted

    1 hour ago, Man With Beard said:

    Not far off happening, it has moved so far west. Miami less in danger now, 100mph rather than 160/170mph likely (still pretty bad but should survive).

    The area most at risk is the Naples area. 300,000 inhabitants, one of the richest districts in the world, lots of rich people with grand properties. Currently in line for a category 5 hit.

    If westward shift keeps happening then Louisiana a possible target time will tell

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