NJWx
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Posts posted by NJWx
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you guys are going to bed? its 7:08pm here
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holy god...may god bless these people.
Lightning:
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Some people are staying to have hurricane parties :o How stupid are the yanks.
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people really dont realize whats about to hit. fools.
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That superdome that they are all packing into does not look like a building that will withstand this kind of violent weather :o
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this is the superdome:
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Louisiana, Mississippi state national guard on stand-by, apparently - both in order to help recovery but also to keep order.
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yep, national gaurd is on site.
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For those looking for info/streaming data out of us stations/New Orleans:
New Orleans TV Stations:
NBC: www.wdsu.com/index.html
ABC: abc26.trb.com/
CBS: www.wwltv.com/
Fox: www.fox8live.com/
New Orleans Newspapers:
NOLA: www.nola.com
New Orleans Radio:
WYNK: www.wynk.com/main.html
WYLD: www.wyldfm.com/main.htmlWTUL: dreamland.tcs.tulane.edu/...ndex2.php#
Biloxi/Gulfport/Mobile Area TV stations:
ABC: www.wlox.com/
NBC: www.wpmi.com/
CBS: www.wkrg.com/
Baton Rouge TV Stations:
NBC: www.nbc33tv.com/
FOX: www.fox44.com/
ABC: www.2theadvocate.com/index.shtml
CBS: www.wafb.com/
Baton Rouge Radio Stations:
WJBO: www.wjbo.com/main.html
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yeah i have just heard they are closing the bridges. Also a good point was made by the weather team on fox she asked how the roof of the supeer bowl was going to be able to withstand the sort of winds expected. And have you seen all the tall buildings.. eeek they have said that all the windows will blow out. this is truly amazing, i just hope the buildings will be able to withstand a cat 5.
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the superdome, home to this years superbowl i believe is looking very bad to me right now. Im not so sure it can withstand 200mph gusts.
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still people trying to get out..they better hurry..you can see the storm behind them
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The entire eye can now be seen on radar
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- FIRST BANDS HIT NEW ORLEANS-
(via cool Satellite/Radar Overlay)
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first bands hit...over 100,000 people still Trapped in the city as the monster gets closer...
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Katrina on Satellite:
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Latest Hurricane Center Track:
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I'm going to have to try and stay awake to follow all this up on Fox news. Problem is that the storm will hit around 04:00am here. Those lucky Americans get it early in the evening
Are you for real paranoid. Do you realy think they are lucky? You must be mad My freids got blasted in Miami when Katrina hit at Cat 1 and they were battered good and proper. I would not feel very lucky if this was heading to me. How old are you? Maybe you should rephrase your statement.
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youve got to be joking. Nobody is lucky to be in the path of this monster. The city of New Orleans is BELOW SEA LEVEL and if this hurricane hits, the city will be completely demolished.
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I wouldnt be surprised if the next advisory came in with pressure below 900mb. The waters the hurricane is sitting in are over 90 degrees temp.
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Hurricane Katrina Discussion Number 24
Statement as of 5:00 PM EDT on August 28, 2005
Katrina is maintaining a classic presentation on satellite
images...and category 5 intensity. The central pressure measured
by a NOAA hurricane hunter plane at 1755z and 1923z was 902
mb...which is the fourth lowest on record in the Atlantic Basin
behind hurricane Gilbert of 1988...the Labor Day hurricane of
1935...and hurricane Allen of 1980. Having said that...data from
the stepped-frequency microwave radiometer instrument on board the
aircraft suggest that the surface to 700 mb flight level wind ratio
is not quite as large as we typically use...and the initial
intensity is adjusted slightly to 145 kt. Hurricanes do not
maintain such great intensity for very long. However there are no
obvious large-scale mechanisms...such as increased vertical
shear...to weaken Katrina. The hurricane is likely to make
landfall with category 4 or 5 intensity.
There is not much change to the track forecast philosophy. Initial
motion is about 315/11. Katrina is expected to gradually turn
northward into a break in the subtropical ridge associated with a
large mid-latitude cyclone near the Great Lakes. The 12z GFDL
hurricane model's track has shifted a little westward...as has the
latest NOGAPS run. The official forecast is slightly to the west
and slightly faster than the previous NHC track. This is very
close to both the dynamical model consensus... and to the latest
FSU superensemble track. Among our most reliable models...only the
U.K. Met. Office is significantly to the east of the official
forecast track. It should be noted that the small change in the
official forecast track is essentially at the noise level. One
should not focus on the exact track...particularly in the case of a
hurricane as large as this one. Destructive effects will likely be
felt well away from the center and it is not possible to specify
which counties or parishes will experience the worst conditions.
On the basis of aircraft flight level and SFMR surface wind
data...the wind radii have been expanded even more over the
northern semicircle. Hurricane force winds are forecast to spread
at least 150 N mi inland along the path of Katrina. Consult inland
hurricane and tropical storm warnings issued by National Weather
Service forecast offices.
Forecaster Pasch
forecast positions and Max winds
initial 28/2100z 26.9n 89.0w 145 kt
12hr VT 29/0600z 28.3n 89.8w 145 kt
24hr VT 29/1800z 30.6n 89.9w 130 kt...inland
36hr VT 30/0600z 33.4n 89.2w 60 kt...inland
48hr VT 30/1800z 36.0n 87.5w 35 kt...inland
72hr VT 31/1800z 41.0n 81.5w 30 kt...inland
96hr VT 01/1800z 48.0n 72.5w 25 kt...extratropical
120hr VT 02/1800z...absorbed
$$
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Winds have gone down to 165 but i think thats because its undergoing an eyewall replacement cycle. Should strengthen again by tonight. Pressure down too 902.
For those who dont know, the lowest american hurricane recorded pressure was somewhere around 885 with Hurricane Gilbert.
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5PM UPDATE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HURRICANE KATRINA
158
WTNT32 KNHC 282041
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE KATRINA ADVISORY NUMBER 24
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT SUN AUG 28 2005
...POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC HURRICANE KATRINA HEADED FOR THE
NORTHERN GULF COAST...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF COAST
FROM MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA EASTWARD TO THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA
BORDER...INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN.
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE COMPLETED THIS
EVENING.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FROM
EAST OF THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER TO DESTIN FLORIDA...AND FROM
WEST OF MORGAN CITY TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FROM DESTIN FLORIDA
EASTWARD TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA...AND FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY
LOUISIANA WESTWARD TO CAMERON LOUISIANA.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KATRINA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 26.9 NORTH... LONGITUDE 89.0 WEST OR ABOUT 150 MILES
SOUTH OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.
KATRINA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...AND A GRADUAL
TURN TO THE NORTH IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS
TRACK THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE WILL BE NEAR THE NORTHERN GULF
COAST EARLY MONDAY. HOWEVER...CONDITIONS ARE ALREADY BEGINNING TO
DETERIORATE ALONG PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN GULF
COAST...AND WILL CONTINUE TO WORSEN THROUGH THE NIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 165 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
KATRINA IS A POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE ON
THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE LIKELY
UNTIL LANDFALL. KATRINA IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL AT CATEGORY
FOUR OR FIVE INTENSITY. WINDS AFFECTING THE UPPER FLOORS OF
HIGH-RISE BUILDINGS WILL BE SIGNIFICANTLY STRONGER THAN THOSE NEAR
GROUND LEVEL.
KATRINA IS A LARGE HURRICANE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD
UP TO 105 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES. SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE OCCURRING OVER THE SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA COAST. SOUTHWEST
PASS...NEAR THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER...RECENTLY REPORTED
SUSTAINED WINDS OF 48 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 53 MPH.
A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE REPORTED A MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF
902 MB...26.64 INCHES.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 18 TO 22 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...LOCALLY AS HIGH AS 28 FEET...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS
BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE
CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. SOME LEVEES IN THE GREATER NEW ORLEANS AREA
COULD BE OVERTOPPED. SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE FLOODING WILL OCCUR
ELSEWHERE ALONG THE CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF
15 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE PATH OF KATRINA ACROSS THE GULF
COAST AND THE TENNESSEE VALLEY. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES
ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY INTO THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES
REGION TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE BEGINNING THIS EVENING OVER
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF LOUISIANA...MISSISSIPPI...AND ALABAMA...AND
OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE.
REPEATING THE 4 PM CDT POSITION...26.9 N... 89.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...165 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 902 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 7 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 PM
CDT.
FORECASTER PASCH
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just the size of this hurricane is unreal
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URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1011 AM CDT SUN AUG 28 2005
...DEVASTATING DAMAGE EXPECTED...
.HURRICANE KATRINA...A MOST POWERFUL HURRICANE WITH UNPRECEDENTED STRENGTH...RIVALING THE INTENSITY OF HURRICANE CAMILLE OF 1969.
MOST OF THE AREA WILL BE UNINHABITABLE FOR WEEKS...PERHAPS LONGER. AT LEAST ONE HALF OF WELL CONSTRUCTED HOMES WILL HAVE ROOF AND WALL FAILURE. ALL GABLED ROOFS WILL FAIL...LEAVING THOSE HOMES SEVERELY DAMAGED OR DESTROYED.
THE MAJORITY OF INDUSTRIAL BUILDINGS WILL BECOME NON FUNCTIONAL. PARTIAL TO COMPLETE WALL AND ROOF FAILURE IS EXPECTED. ALL WOOD FRAMED LOW RISING APARTMENT BUILDINGS WILL BE DESTROYED. CONCRETE BLOCK LOW RISE APARTMENTS WILL SUSTAIN MAJOR DAMAGE...INCLUDING SOME WALL AND ROOF FAILURE.
HIGH RISE OFFICE AND APARTMENT BUILDINGS WILL SWAY DANGEROUSLY...A FEW TO THE POINT OF TOTAL COLLAPSE. ALL WINDOWS WILL BLOW OUT.
AIRBORNE DEBRIS WILL BE WIDESPREAD...AND MAY INCLUDE HEAVY ITEMS SUCH AS HOUSEHOLD APPLIANCES AND EVEN LIGHT VEHICLES. SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES AND LIGHT TRUCKS WILL BE MOVED. THE BLOWN DEBRIS WILL CREATE ADDITIONAL DESTRUCTION. PERSONS...PETS...AND LIVESTOCK EXPOSED TO THE WINDS WILL FACE CERTAIN DEATH IF STRUCK.
POWER OUTAGES WILL LAST FOR WEEKS...AS MOST POWER POLES WILL BE DOWN AND TRANSFORMERS DESTROYED. WATER SHORTAGES WILL MAKE HUMAN SUFFERING INCREDIBLE BY MODERN STANDARDS.
THE VAST MAJORITY OF NATIVE TREES WILL BE SNAPPED OR UPROOTED. ONLY THE HEARTIEST WILL REMAIN STANDING...BUT BE TOTALLY DEFOLIATED. FEW CROPS WILL REMAIN. LIVESTOCK LEFT EXPOSED TO THE WINDS WILL BE KILLED.
AN INLAND HURRICANE WIND WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR HURRICANE FORCE...OR FREQUENT GUSTS AT OR ABOVE HURRICANE FORCE...ARE CERTAIN WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.
ONCE TROPICAL STORM AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ONSET...DO NOT VENTURE OUTSIDE!
Cat 5 Hurricane Katrina
in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide
Posted
seems like the stormunderwent the Eyewall Replacement Cycle, or something to the extent of that. Eitherway, the eye replaced itself. The storm should bomb out soon, again, before landfall. Truly a sad situation here.