Cassarah
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000
WTNT44 KNHC 202031
TCDAT4
HURRICANE WILMA DISCUSSION NUMBER 22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT THU OCT 20 2005
WILMA HAS TURNED NORTHWESTWARD...310/5...BUT THIS IS NOT NECESSARILY
THE BEGINNINGS OF RECURVATURE. A SHORT-WAVE TROUGH IN THE
WESTERLIES...THE OLD LOW FROM BAJA CALIFORNIA...WILL MOVE PAST THE
LONGITUDE OF THE HURRICANE BY TOMORROW MORNING...AND THE TRACK
MODELS SHOW A SLIGHT BEND BACK TO THE LEFT AS A LITTLE RIDGING
BUILDS IN BEHIND IT. IN FACT...THE GLOBAL MODELS ARE NOW
SUGGESTING THAT IT MAY TAKE THREE SHORT WAVES TO LIFT WILMA OUT OF
THE YUCATAN. THE GFDL DID ANOTHER BIG SHIFT WITH ITS 5-DAY
FORECAST...FROM CANADA AT 6Z TO CUBA AT 12Z. THERE IS LESS SPREAD
IN THE GFS ENSEMBLE MEMBERS THIS TIME...HOWEVER...LENDING A LITTLE
MORE CREDENCE TO A SLOWER TRACK. THE 12Z MODELS ALSO HAD THE
BENEFIT OF DROPWINDSONDE DATA FROM THE NOAA GULFSTREAM JET. THE
NEW OFFICIAL FORECAST IS SLOWER THAN THE PREVIOUS ONE...BUT IS
STILL VERY MUCH FASTER THAN ALL OF THE AVAILABLE GUIDANCE. THIS
IMPLIES THAT THE IMPACT TO FLORIDA COULD WELL BE LATER THAN
INDICATED HERE.
THERE IS VERY LITTLE LEFT OF THE INNER EYEWALL...AND REPORTS FROM A
NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT WILMA IS BEGINNING TO
RESTRENGTHEN. PEAK FLIGHT LEVEL WINDS WERE 145 KT...AND THE SFMR
INSTRUMENT ONBOARD MEASURED A SURFACE WIND OF 125 KT IN THE NORTH
EYEWALL. BASED ON THESE OBSERVATIONS...THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS
SET AT 130 KT. THE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW PATTERN REMAINS STRONG AND
WILMA WILL HAVE THE OPPORTUNITY TO REGAIN CATEGORY FIVE STATUS
BEFORE IT REACHES THE YUCATAN...AND THE IMPACTS THERE COULD BE
CATASTROPHIC. WITH THE LIKELIHOOD OF A MORE EXTENDED INTERACTION
WITH THE YUCATAN INCREASING...SIGNIFICANT WEAKENING IS POSSIBLE
BEFORE WILMA TURNS TOWARD FLORIDA. IN ADDITION...THE LONGER WILMA
LINGERS BEFORE TURNING NORTHEASTWARD...THE MORE HOSTILE THE
ATMOSPHERIC ENVIRONMENT WILL BECOME FOR STRENGTHENING OVER THE GULF
OF MEXICO.
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 20/2100Z 18.9N 85.7W 130 KT
12HR VT 21/0600Z 19.5N 86.4W 140 KT
24HR VT 21/1800Z 20.4N 87.0W 145 KT...INLAND
36HR VT 22/0600Z 21.1N 87.2W 120 KT...INLAND
48HR VT 22/1800Z 22.0N 87.0W 100 KT
72HR VT 23/1800Z 23.5N 84.5W 95 KT
96HR VT 24/1800Z 27.5N 79.5W 65 KT
120HR VT 25/1800Z 38.0N 70.0W 60 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
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Edit: Cassarah, in all honesty, i'm not sure - Roger J Smith is online at the mo - drop him a PMessage - he knows a helluva lot more than i do
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K thanks Mondy!
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Hope Roger J Smith doesn't mind me reposting this, but by all accounts a monster storm may well affect Cassarah's area, along with vast parts of the eastern US/Canada seaboard:
Wilma continues to present many options, but the one that seems most likely is a rapid acceleration through the weekend from the Yucatan across south Florida to the Gulf Stream. A very deep upper low will be forming near New York state Sunday and this seems likely to grab Wilma and make her (it?) part of the mega-storm being advertised on most progs for Monday night and Tuesday. New England will be seeing more flooding rains and some very strong winds, as will Nova Scotia. This giant storm is likely to start heading east across the Atlantic by Wednesday.
GFDL model showing the Monster storm occuring
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Really?
I'm in south eastern Ontario. Smack dab in the middle between Ottawa & Montreal (Quebec) How likely is it to come this far inshore? We have gotten good soakings from hurricane remnants, but nothing really big with high winds and everything that I can recall. -
Just to quickly say to Cassarah that I got it from the GFDL forecst that Mondy posted.
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Thanks!
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Hang on!
Ex-Hurricane wilma is forecast to hit Canada with Cat 3 wind speeds? What with the phasing prediction, I could quite believe it could happen, but hell that's a frightening thought!!!
As for alpha, are tropical systems really so much like buses?
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Um, this caught my eye. Just wondering where you heard this, and are they talking about the Maritime provinces?
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000
WTNT44 KNHC 191459
TCDAT4
HURRICANE WILMA DISCUSSION NUMBER 17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT WED OCT 19 2005
THE NEXT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WILL REACH WILMA EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON...BUT SINCE THEN THERE HAS BEEN LITTLE CHANGE IN THE
SATELLITE PRESENTATION...ALTHOUGH THE COLDEST CLOUD TOPS HAVE
WARMED A BIT. THE INTENSITY ESTIMATE WILL BE HELD AT 150 KT
PENDING FURTHER RECONNAISSANCE DATA. AT THIS POINT...THE BEST
ESTIMATE FOR THE MINIMUM PRESSURE IS A BLEND OF THE 881 MB
EXTRAPOLATED FROM THE AIRCRAFT AND THE 884 MB FROM AN EYE DROP THAT
SPLASHED IN 23 KT WINDS. THE AIRCRAFT REPORTED A DISTINCT OUTER
WIND MAXIMUM AND MICROWAVE DATA SHOW A FORMATIVE OUTER EYEWALL.
EYEWALL REPLACEMENT CYCLES WILL HAVE A STRONG INFLUENCE ON THE
INTENSITY OF WILMA OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...BUT THESE ARE
IMPOSSIBLE TO TIME AND ARE NOT REFLECTED IN THE OFFICIAL FORECAST.
ONCE WILMA ENTERS THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO UPPER-LEVEL
CONDITIONS WILL NOT BE AS IDEAL AS THEY ARE NOW AND SOME WEAKENING
IS EXPECTED...HOWEVER...IT APPEARS THAT WILMA WILL STILL BE A
FORMIDABLE HURRICANE AS IT APPROACHES FLORIDA. AFTER THAT...AS
WILMA INTERACTS WITH A MID-LATITUDE UPPER-LOW...THE WIND FIELD OF
WILMA IS EXPECTED TO EXPAND CONSIDERABLY...AND EVEN GLOBAL MODELS
ARE SHOWING HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WITH THE SYSTEM AT 5 DAYS.
PRONOUNCED TROCHOIDAL OSCILLATIONS ARE BEING SUPERIMPOSED ON A MEAN
MOTION OF 300/6. THERE HAS BEEN LITTLE CHANGE TO THE FORECAST
TRACK THROUGH 96 HOURS. HOWEVER...RECENT RUNS OF THE GFS AND
NOGAPS ARE SUGGESTING THE POSSIBILITY OF A THREAT TO NEW ENGLAND.
IN THIS SCENARIO...WILMA BECOMES CAPTURED BY A LARGE MID- TO
UPPER-LEVEL LOW FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION IN
FOUR DAYS. THE ECMWF AND IN PARTICULAR THE UKMET...BOTH OLDER
RUNS...DO NOT YET INDICATE THIS. THE FIVE-DAY OFFICIAL FORECAST
POINT HAS BEEN ADJUSTED TO THE LEFT AND FASTER THAN THE PREVIOUS
ADVISORY...BUT IS STILL MUCH FARTHER OFFSHORE OF NEW ENGLAND THAN
THE GFDL...GFS...AND NOGAPS GUIDANCE.
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 19/1500Z 17.4N 83.2W 150 KT
12HR VT 20/0000Z 18.0N 84.0W 150 KT
24HR VT 20/1200Z 19.1N 85.1W 150 KT
36HR VT 21/0000Z 20.4N 85.9W 145 KT
48HR VT 21/1200Z 21.5N 86.2W 135 KT
72HR VT 22/1200Z 24.0N 84.5W 115 KT
96HR VT 23/1200Z 30.0N 77.0W 90 KT
120HR VT 24/1200Z 39.0N 69.0W 80 KT
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Mondy,
I started watching hurricanes after Ivan. I've been lurking here for a while now, but decided to join today. I seem to learn more about what's going on here than anywhere else. That image of Gilbert is amazing! Thanks for the reply. :unsure:
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PS Cassarah _ I doubt any of us know what the record 'bomb' is in terms of pressure drop-
I think the lowest recorded was Hurricane Gilbert at 888 Millibar....
Intense to say the least
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Thanks for the reply Steve. :unsure:
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Cat5 is something i thought about, but daren't post just yet!!
:unsure:
Pressure drop of 9 mb in less than 90 minutes... very impressive
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Hi Mondy, I'm new here, but was wondering if you might know what hurricane holds the record for rapid intensification.
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Hurricane WILMA Discussion
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000
WTNT44 KNHC 182042
TCDAT4
HURRICANE WILMA DISCUSSION NUMBER 13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT TUE OCT 18 2005
AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT HAS JUST MADE ITS FIRST PASS
THROUGH THE CENTER OF WILMA...FINDING A MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF
970 MB AND MAXIMUM FLIGHT-LEVEL WINDS...SO FAR...OF 75 KT. A
DROPSONDE IN THE NORTH EYEWALL REPORTED SURFACE WINDS OF 64 KT.
SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM TAFB AND SAB ARE 77 KT. THE
ADVISORY INTENSITY OF 70 KT IS A BLEND OF THE SATELLITE AND
RECONNAISSANCE OBSERVATIONS.
THERE HAS BEEN NO CHANGE TO THE THINKING REGARDING THE INTENSITY
FORECAST. WILMA CONTINUES TO HAVE VERY STRONG UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW
CHANNELS TO THE NORTHEAST AND SOUTHWEST OF THE CENTER. OCEANIC HEAT
CONTENT AHEAD OF WILMA IS HIGH...INCLUDING IN THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF
OF MEXICO. IN THE SHORT TERM...THE ONLY INHIBITING FACTOR IS THE
DRY AIR MASS IN THE GULF AND EXTREME NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN. A HIGH
LIKELIHOOD OF RAPID STRENGTHENING CONTINUES TO BE INDICATED BY THE
SHIPS RAPID INTENSIFICATION INDEX. WILMA COULD BE A MAJOR HURRICANE
BY THIS TIME TOMORROW...AND REACH CATEGORY FOUR STRENGTH BEFORE
ENTERING THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO. AS WILMA ACCELERATES
NORTHEASTWARD IN THE GULF...WIND SHEAR IS FORECAST TO INCREASE
SLIGHTLY...BUT AT THIS TIME DOES NOT APPEAR TO BE SUFFICIENT TO
WEAKEN WILMA VERY QUICKLY. HOWEVER...IT IS WORTH REMEMBERING THAT
THERE IS LITTLE SKILL IN LONG-RANGE INTENSITY FORECASTS.
THE INITIAL MOTION IS 290/7. THERE HAS ALSO BEEN NO CHANGE TO THE
TRACK FORECAST THINKING. THE MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL LOW THAT HAD BEEN
OFF THE SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST CONTINUES NORTHEASTWARD...AND AS
IT PROGRESSES HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO IS EXPECTED TO
WEAKEN...ALLOWING WILMA TO MOVE THROUGH THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN
AND ENTER THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO IN ABOUT THREE DAYS. ONCE
WILMA MOVES NORTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS AND ENCOUNTERS
MID-LEVEL WESTERLY FLOW...AN ACCELERATION NORTHEASTWARD IS
EXPECTED. ONLY VERY MODEST SHIFTS HAVE OCCURRED WITH THE
TIGHTLY-CLUSTERED MODEL GUIDANCE SUITE...WHICH...AT THIS TIME...IS
FOCUSING THE LONG-TERM THREAT TO THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS VERY SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS
ADVISORY AND REMAINS CLOSE TO THE DYNAMICAL MODEL CONSENSUS.
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 18/2100Z 16.7N 81.5W 70 KT
12HR VT 19/0600Z 17.3N 82.3W 90 KT
24HR VT 19/1800Z 18.2N 83.5W 100 KT
36HR VT 20/0600Z 19.1N 84.5W 110 KT
48HR VT 20/1800Z 20.2N 85.2W 115 KT
72HR VT 21/1800Z 22.5N 85.5W 110 KT
96HR VT 22/1800Z 25.0N 82.5W 100 KT
120HR VT 23/1800Z 30.5N 75.5W 70 KT
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ZCZC MIATCPAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
HURRICANE WILMA ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT TUE OCT 18 2005
...WILMA BECOMES THE 12TH HURRICANE OF THE SEASON AS IT HEADS
NORTHWESTWARD...EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN FURTHER TODAY...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR HONDURAS FROM THE
HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER WESTWARD TO CABO CAMARON.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
WILMA IS FORECAST TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE IN THE NORTHWESTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA. ALL INTERESTS IN WESTERN CUBA...THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA...THE FLORIDA KEYS...AND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD
CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF WILMA.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 16.5 NORTH... LONGITUDE 80.6 WEST OR ABOUT 195
MILES... 320 KM... SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF GRAND CAYMAN AND ABOUT 200
MILES... 325 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS ON THE
NICARAGUA/HONDURAS BORDER.
WILMA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH ...11 KM/HR... AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. WILMA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS...AND WILMA IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES... 30 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 120 MILES...195 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 977 MB...28.85 INCHES.
WILMA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES
OVER THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...JAMAICA...HAITI...AND SOUTHEASTERN
CUBA...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 10
INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER HONDURAS AND NICARAGUA.
REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...16.5 N... 80.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 977 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT.
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
Wilma Watching
in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide
Posted · Edited by Cassarah
Just got this from the Canadian Hurricane Centre:
WOCN31 CWHX 241200
HURRICANE WILMA INFORMATION STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE CANADIAN
HURRICANE CENTRE OF ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 9.00 AM ADT MONDAY
24 OCTOBER 2005.
THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 3.00 PM ADT
...WILMA FORECAST TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL STORM WHILE AFFECTING
THE MARITIMES WITH STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN ON TUESDAY...
1. CURRENT POSITION, STRENGTH, CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MOTION
AT 9.00 AM ADT... HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
26.1 N AND LONGITUDE 81.0 W... ABOUT 40 NAUTICAL MILES OR 75 KM
EAST OF NAPLES FLORIDA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 105
KNOTS... 194 KM/H... AND CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 955 MB. WILMA IS
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 23 KNOTS... 43 KM/H.
2. FORECAST POSITION, CENTRAL PRESSURE AND STRENGTH
DATE TIME LAT LON MSLP MAX WIND
ADT MB KTS KMH
OCT 24 9.00 AM 26.1N 81.0W 955 105 194
OCT 24 9.00 PM 29.8N 76.1W 973 85 157
OCT 25 9.00 AM 35.7N 70.3W 968 75 139
OCT 25 9.00 PM 42.2N 64.8W 973 60 111 POST-TROPICAL
OCT 26 9.00 AM 46.4N 60.7W 976 55 102 POST-TROPICAL
OCT 26 9.00 PM 48.0N 57.5W 981 55 102 POST-TROPICAL
OCT 27 9.00 AM 48.6N 53.9W 985 55 102 POST-TROPICAL
3. PUBLIC WEATHER IMPACTS AND WARNINGS SUMMARY
HEAVY RAINFALL AND HIGH WIND WARNINGS ARE POSTED FOR PORTIONS
OF THE SOUTHERN PARTS OF THE MARITIMES. THOSE WARNINGS WILL
LIKELY BE EXTENDED TO REGIONS FURTHER NORTH AND EAST LATER TODAY
AND TONIGHT. WIND GUSTS OF 110 KM/H ARE EXPECTED TO REACH MAINLAND
NOVA SCOTIA ON TUESDAY. THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR HURRICANE-FORCE
WIND GUSTS OF 120 KM/H ALONG THE IMMEDIATE ATLANTIC COASTLINE
TUESDAY EVENING. STORM TOTAL RAINFALLS ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE
40 TO 70 MM RANGE WITH LESSER AMOUNTS IN NEWFOUNDLAND ON WEDNESDAY.
RAIN AND WINDS WILL REACH SOUTHERN NOVA SCOTIA TUESDAY MORNING
AND REACH CAPE BRETON TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
WIND GUSTS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN POWER OUTAGES FROM BROKEN TREE
BRANCHES. MANY TREES..PARTICULARLY IN THE URBAN AREAS OF NOVA SCOTIA
..STILL CONTAIN LEAVES WHICH WOULD INCREASE THE LIKELIHOOD OF BROKEN
BRANCHES AND POWER OUTAGES.
HIGHER THAN NORMAL WATER LEVELS AND HEAVY POUNDING SURF ARE FORECAST
TO REACH THE ATLANTIC COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND
DEVELOP IN THE GULF OF ST LAWRENCE TUESDAY NIGHT.
STRONG WINDS WILL ALSO AFFECT NEWFOUNDLAND TUESDAY NIGHT AND INTO
WEDNESDAY BUT THEIR IMPACT IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE AS PRONOUNCED AS IN
NOVA SCOTIA.
4. MARINE WEATHER IMPACTS AND WARNINGS SUMMARY
WINDS WILL INCREASE TO STORM FORCE EASTERLIES OVER SHELF WATERS
SOUTH OF NOVA SCOTIA BY TUESDAY EVENING. THERE IS A RISK OF
HURRICANE-FORCE WIND GUSTS MAINLY OVER EASTERN SHORE AND SABLE
REGIONS.
5. TECHNICAL DISCUSSION
A. ANALYSIS
WILMA REINTENSIFIED TO CATEGORY-THREE STATUS WHEN IT STRUCK THE
SOUTHWEST COAST OF FLORIDA. THE STORM CONTINUES TO ACCELERATE AS THE
DEEP-LAYERED STEERING FLOW INCREASES AHEAD OF A VIGOROUS TROUGH
MOVING DOWN FROM THE CONTINENTAL UNITED STATES.
B. PROGNOSTIC
HURRICANE WILMA WILL BE UNDERGOING EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION AS IT
RACES TOWARD NOVA SCOTIA. THE GEM REGIONAL MODEL HAS AN EXCELLENT
REPRESENTATION OF THE STORM AT 00HR..AND IS USED AS THE PRIMARY
GUIDANCE FOR THIS EVENT. IT SHOWS THAT THERE WILL BE TWO CYCLONES..
WILMA AND A BAROCLINIC LOW DEVELOPING TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE
HURRICANE AS A HIGH-AMPLITUDE..DEEP TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH MOVES INTO
THE EASTERN U.S. WILMA IS FORECAST TO REMAIN COCOONED IN THE WARM
SECTOR OF THE BAROCLINIC LOW EVEN UP UNTIL THE CENTER OF EX-WILMA
REACHES NOVA SCOTIA. WILMA IS FORECAST TO REMAIN WITHIN THE 582-DAM
THICKNESS ENVIRONMENT ALL THE WAY TO 45N. THIS LEADS ME TO BELIEVE
THAT WILMA WILL BEHAVE AS A HYBRID CYCLONE WITH A VERY LARGE
CIRCULATION...YET WITH A COMPACT WIND CORE POSSIBLY SURVIVING AS IT
MOVES INTO CANADIAN WATERS.
BY WEDNESDAY..THE REMANTS OF EX-WILMA AND THE BAROCLINIC LOW MAY BE
MERGED INTO A LARGE DECAYING LOW OVER NEWFOUNDLAND.
THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM ALPHA MAY ALSO BECOME INGESTED INTO
THE WILMA TODAY. THIS COULD AID IN THE REINTENSIFICATION OF THE
STORM SYSTEM.
C. PUBLIC WEATHER
SEE DETAILS ABOVE.
D. MARINE WEATHER
PREDICTED WIND RADII (NM)
TIME GALES STORMS HURRICANE
NE SE SW NW NE SE SW NW NE SE SW NW
24/12Z 200 210 175 160 125 130 100 85 65 80 55 45
25/00Z 210 230 205 165 115 150 105 75 70 90 65 30
25/12Z 290 265 255 225 105 155 100 35 50 90 50 10
26/00Z 340 300 300 285 125 150 50 30 0 0 0 0
26/12Z 305 300 300 255 140 150 60 70 0 0 0 0
27/00Z 285 300 325 240 150 150 120 80 0 0 0 0
27/12Z 275 300 375 240 190 150 120 80 0 0 0 0
END FOGARTY/ROUSSEL
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