LadyPakal
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Posts posted by LadyPakal
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The Daily Mail is full of hooey! All I'm concerned about it getting home when I am supposed to (on Friday as it happens) - mostly because I am trying out PetPals (who visit & feed) instead of using the cattery... and the pain involved in getting them there. :/
Hmm, Camping has got awfully big ears, hasn't he... I think he's banking on third time the charm with this rapture thing. He had a stroke after the spring debacle - I think he hears his maker calling him home.
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Of course snow is forecast - I'm going to Norway next week. Late last November I was in Norway and the plane was turned back to Bergen due to thundersnow here in Aberdeen.
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Flights have restarted in Aberdeen - both planes and helecopters.
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my bro is flying home from bristol to belfast, is it likely he will be affected?
tuesday evening
Possible at the Belfast end - he'd best check with his airline tomorrow morning.
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Grabbed from comments in a blog, here http://www.jonfr.com/volcano/?p=969:
http://www.ruv.is/frett/ekkert-akvedid-um-folksflutninga
According to the article, 2000 tons are being ejected every second. That’s approximately 700 cu m per second, 2,500,000 per hour and 60,000,000 per day. A guesstimate based on this would be a total of about 150,000,000 – 200,000,000 cu m (0,15 – 0,20 cu km), a comfortable VEI 4 and more than the entire output of Eyjafjallajökull in a little over 48 hours.
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http://www.pressan.is/Assets/Ingolfur_KPS_samsetning7.gif
Animation of the start of the eruption.
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Eastern Airways cancelling all their flights in Scotland tomorrow due to the volcanic ash.
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Aberdeen Airport tweets:
We remain open just now, and in the longer term we are taking advice from the experts. The decision to fly will rest with airlines.
Airlines and helicopter operators will take those decision based on their own risk assesments - a change from the way we operated last year.
We will play our part in helping them get all the data they need to make an informed decision.
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strangely, not a single earthquake recorded in iceland for about the past 7 hours
The blogs are discussing this - small earthquakes are happening but the harmonic tremor seems to be drowning them out, apparently.
Pretty much all of the helicorders on the island seem to be showing the harmonic tremor signal, from what I can make out:
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It's been fluctuating between really active and not so active. It's in a not so active spell but the ground is still inflated to the east, so it ain't over yet.
New cam image, not live - pics every 15mins: http://www.vedur.is/vedur/athuganir/vefmyndavelar/reykjavik/#teg=sa
Looming in the distance may be the ash cloud - just appeared in the last half hour or so.
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The sky looks rather clear there! Are there any webcams that show the plume?
Karyo
The volcano is out of frame to the left in the http://live.mila.is/jokulsarlon/ webcam. They're trying to get some more online (I mentioned them in a post this morning) but they're not working yet.
The three at the bottom here: http://live.mila.is/hvannadalshnjukur/
You can see the ash cloud here: http://www.vegagerdin.is/umferd-og-faerd/vefmyndavelar/lyngdalsheidi_3
That's one big bunny.
As big as a camper van, I'd say!
Edited - bummer - bunny is gone. Washed away by the tide.
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Who can see the bunny in the http://live.mila.is/jokulsarlon/ webcam image?
Here's a clue - it's laid down with ears sticking up.Lightning occurrence in the ash plume is 1000x more frequent than at Eyjafjallajokull: http://t.co/YXuEuHb
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It looks amazing! I'd rathen go in the winter when there is snow around and I can still swim in the warm water!
Yes, that would be fun, but not many daylight hours to see anything at that time of year.Maybe a little earlier in Spring when the daylight hours are drawing out as a compromise.
Rumblings beneath the subglacial Hamarinn & Bardarbunga Caldera's just to the west of Grimsvotn. If magma migration finds its way to fissures beneath either of the calderas, you can be sure a VEI5 event is on the cards.
Could get scary interesting quite quickly...
I've heard the minerals in the hot spring waters are good for psoriasis, so it would be worth it just for that.I was at the Blue Lagoon there last month. The best Bath in the world. http://nwstatic.co.uk/forum/public/style_emoticons/<#EMO_DIR#>/laugh.gif
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Yes, biggest eruption of this volcano in 100 years and bigger than the Katla eruption in '47. They are saying 10x bigger than the one last year.
Oh, wow. Just found this webcam - guess where I want to be at the moment... http://live.mila.is/lonid/
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Another excellent satellite image: http://rapidfire.sci.gsfc.nasa.gov/realtime/2011142/crefl2_143.A2011142131500-2011142132000.250m.jpg
A chart of inflation of the area shows no deflation as yet - red point is todays. http://hraun.vedur.is/ja/vatnajokulsvoktun/gps_grimsfjall.html Suggests there is still more to come.
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Don't know about you, but I quite enjoyed the quiet skies while they lasted. Was sad when the first plane flew over again on the way down to land at the airport - noisy thing.
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More news and great pics: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1389639/Brace-Icelands-volcanic-ash-reach-Scotland-Tuesday-rest-UK-Thursday-eruption-continues.html?ito=feeds-newsxml
Go here for updates: https://www.public.cfmu.eurocontrol.int/PUBPORTAL/gateway/spec/index.html
Update 3 says:
CFMU have been adviced by Icelandic met office that there has been a volcanic eruption of volcano Grimsvotn in Iceland at 20110521 1900Z. The plume hight estimated by radar 15-17 km.
ASH CLOUD IS EXPECTED TO REACH NORTH SCOTLAND ON TUEDSDAY 24TH MAY.
IF VOLCANIC EMISSIONS CONTINUE WITH SAME INTENSITY CLOUD MIGHT
REACH WEST FRENCH AIRSPACE AND NORTH SPAIN ON THURSDAY 26TH MAY.
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Someone has made a timelapse of this area - from Sept 2010: http://spatialanalysis.co.uk/2010/09/02/jokulsarlon-timelapse/
As you can see, it's normally pretty busy there and the flow rates change direction & turbulence depending on tide. Note the wee whirlpool right at the very end - this is what I saw last night.
Another great image, from MODIS: http://img.visir.is/apps/pbcsi.dll/bilde?Site=XZ&Date=20110522&Category=FRETTIR01&ArtNo=110529730&Ref=AR&NoBorder
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This is a stunning picture of the eruption: http://www.visir.is/almannavarnir-hafa-mestar-ahyggjur-af-oskufallinu/article/2011110529772
The cam at http://live.mila.is/jokulsarlon/ seems to be showing an increase in flooding. Previously you couldnt see the water moving but now it clearly is flowing fast towards the camera.
I think this area is tidal - it was flowing the other way last night & a small whirlpool was visible.
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Yes they were very white. I was wondering if they would be black this morning and they are.
Can you see all the camper vans in this webcam - I hadn't realised how big those bergs were - the image was deceptive until I saw some traffic last night - I thought the 'river' was not so big. Ash fall has now reached the Katla cams it seems.
You can see the wind change on this - eruption was about 21:00: http://www.yr.no/satellitt/europa_animasjon.html
The floods are called joküllhlaups, btw.
3 new webcams coming here: http://live.mila.is/grimsvotn/ - Eldgos i GrÃmsvötnum 1+2 and Hvannadalshnjúkur - they aren't working yet though.
Video taken from plane here:
- towards the end you can see some lightning. -
Latest reports - up to 20km high now & bigger than the 2004 eruption.
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The only reason we got flight chaos last year was due to wind direction - flights over Iceland are being diverted around but we don't have the blocking systems we had (hence winds blowing from the N & NW) like last year so no ash likely to go over us (unless the winds change).
Yes, it is sub-glacial so flooding is expected from melt waters in the next 10-12 hours or so.
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Top of the plume is now at jetliner height. Latest info from VAAC is 15km! There has been reports of lightning but we may need to wait for dark to see it via this webcam.
Here's a pic taken from the north; http://twitpic.com/50qrox
Watch this and pay attention from around 21:00 - Iceland is pretty much clear of cloud at that time. It's pretty neat.
http://www.yr.no/satellitt/europa_animasjon.html -
Look at that ash cloud now: http://live.mila.is/jokulsarlon/
From a bit of grey on the far left, it is now almost covering the whole horizon.
Here's a clue - it's laid down with ears sticking up.
Scotland - Regional Weather Discussion
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted
The sad thing is, I read a conspiracy forum for giggles and they seem to drag up the Daily Mail every day for something or other and think it is the font of all knowledge. Anyone who questions this paragon of reporting is immediately called a government shill, or a disinfo agent. Anyway according to them, tomorrow we will be enshrouded in cyanide and meteor debris from Elenins tail. *shrug* and then next week YU55 will hit us. Busy week coming...