arcticadventurer
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Posts posted by arcticadventurer
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An excellent logical rational winter forecast
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Are we to read anything into the word changes
Yesterday
'However, there are signs that northerly winds may be quite frequent across the UK. So, on balance, colder than average conditions are likely to continue, with a risk of frost and fog, and an increased risk of some snow.'
Today
'However, there are signs that north or north easterly winds may be quite frequent across the UK. So, on balance, colder than average conditions are likely to continue, with a risk of frost and fog, and an increased risk of some snow in places.'
Hmmmmmm....
Looking good me thinks
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Because the models say so YEEE HAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAh
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yes I am expecting to see the term 'bitterly cold easterly or north easterly winds with showers of Hail Sleet and Snow prolonged and heavy at times' in the very near future.
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Scandanavian countries do have disruption with snow, I have been in Helsinki during heavy snow storms and their transport system has come to a halt. To say there is no disruption is just a myth. Obviously their temperature would be a feature, but they do have disruption.I think half the problem in this country is people don't know how to drive properly in snow and ice...
have little trouble unless you get silly amounts on road round here although you go into a town where snow is rare and its carnage with only an inch on road and people being stupid. -
32 day ECM output leads to the 12th of November? Surely early days?
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Must say that looks pretty impressive. especially the comparisons and contrast. I think I will be going for the MetO predictions for this winter.I was under the impression the forecasts by UKMO were getting better
http://www.ecmwf.int...ions/Hewson.pdf
Or is it a another model?
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Joe laminate floori has stuck his neck out and predicted that future winters including this one would be cold one. My gut feeling is that we will have another non eventfull winter.
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For me this mild wet miserable crap
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Come the end of Next Month ( When we have had the first of many snowfalls) I can see James Madden saying "I told you so"
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I have lit a coal fire twice
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I had a BBQ lit and ready to go Christmas Day 1995 in NW Sutherland, the power came back on though so the food went in the oven instead - boring!
Thats class having a barbi on christmas day. you should have gone ahead with it. I would
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I cant see us getting a mild changeable winter.November will be a interesting though. I have a feeling that we are in for a winter that will last longer then the 2010/2011 winter.Maybe not as severe though
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Autumn started in July over here.Vast majority of trees leaves have changed colour now and some have dhed their leaves
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Very Poor. Lack of heat and sunshine
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He ( Brian Gaze) also said that it is to early to predict winter, he wont be issuing his winter forecast until November!!. All Long Range Forecasts point to a cold winter.
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Temperatures in some parts of the Arctic are 4 - 5 degrees above normal presently. It has been a pretty warm spring/summer up there so far Pity that is not happening down here.
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i know that!! i meant it got very mild or mild later, in jan/feb, i know it was freezing at the end of november and december was the start of the ice age...but it got warmer
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Most likely courtesy of La Nina.We have a most interesting Autumn and winter ahead of us
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A very Positive AO
We will hold you to your forecast Gray Wolf.! Enso Neutral with a possibility of switching back to a La Nina doesnt auger well for a mild winter over the British Isle. I would expect the reverse. Snow- mid November? December and January with another flip back to milder conditions in February. It is very early days yet of course.Autumn has already started two weeks earlier Havent you npticed -
Autumn Fruit (blackberries) beginning to appear. a lot of summer fruit ripened ealier than usual such as Blackcurrants 2-3 weeks ahead. Warm spring, mediocar summer or Harsh winter to come. Some trees leaves are beginning to change colour and I am not talking about the usual trees. We will probably get a few decent days of summer. Autumn starts in August. my gut feeling is a repeat of last year.
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Cool June : 1.4 degrees below the mean in the Dublin region.
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well at least we will have summer for couple of days before things go pareshaped
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Strangely enough we are having a dry june. Rainfall totals practically everywhere are below normal.Practically everyday we have had rain mostly light or a thunderstorm. What is more noticable is the temperature which is 1-2 degrees below normal for this time of year and no sign of any decent weather in the offing.
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Very interesting! while it is early days yet. It couldnt be ruled out
have little trouble unless you get silly amounts on road round here although you go into a town where snow is rare and its carnage with only an inch on road and people being stupid. 
We will hold you to your forecast Gray Wolf.! Enso Neutral with a possibility of switching back to a La Nina doesnt auger well for a mild winter over the British Isle. I would expect the reverse. Snow- mid November? December and January with another flip back to milder conditions in February. It is very early days yet of course.Autumn has already started two weeks earlier Havent you npticed 
METO UK Further Outlook 16 Day To 30 Forecast
in Spring Weather Discussion
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