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Rlt122

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Posts posted by Rlt122

  1. Looks like for the rest of the night, the MAIN precip in Wales will be concentrated on RCT, Bridgend, Neath Port Talbot, Swansea, Carmarthenshire, Pembrokeshire, Powys & parts of Ceredigion, with bits flirting with the Vale and Cardiff.

    This big swathe is moving very slowly Southwestwards with a few heavier green echoes.

    Wouldn't imagine Newport or Monmouthshire would get much else than a few flurries or light showers. But the radar has surprised me a couple of times tonight, so who knows!

  2. I wouldn't envy being a Met Office forecaster this week.

    It was anticipated just 36-48 hours ago that the cold spell would be leaving us later Fri into the weekend; then it was slowly extended through to Sat and Sun with a cold northerly. Now GFS is throwing up something a bit more snowy.

    I think I'll trust the UKMO charts tomorrow morning over tonight's GFS. They *were* going for some biting temperatures across what would have been left of the snowfields on the weekend nights... down widely to -5/-6, locally minus double figures in Scotland.

  3. Michael Prys-Roberts...

    I think it's just a neutral-grade; neither down or up.

    Weds was always expected to be a couple of degrees milder - aiding a thaw, certainly in low-lying places. Again prone spots inland will hover near zero as always. I was quite surprised by the forecast night-time temps midweek.

    The Meto aren't putting any huge detail on the developments for Thursday/Friday yet because they probably want to get all of today's & tomorrow's headaches out of the way first.

    Warmer upper air is pushed further north on Weds and into Thurs with the low coming up from the South, soon met by a tasty northerly blasting it back down - so who knows what could happen on the northern edge of the weather fronts - or where that northern edge will be! Central Eng & Wales & hillier parts probably!

  4. If the latest 18z GFS charts are to be believed... There are plenty of marginal rain/sleet/snow events to come in the near future for Wales & the Southwest corner. Later Thurs into Friday. Then Saturday. And again later Sunday perhaps.

    With each run the cold-spell seems to be dragged out a bit further.

    But GFS does have a cold bias to it. Worth keeping an eye on what the FAX charts & UKMO come out with tomorrow morning.

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