[Ireland regional discussion 21/12/12 and beyond]

I cant fully understand how as much snow as is being mentioned will settle on the eastern half of NI on Friday with tempertures of 4 to 6 degrees.

Would any of the more experienced members give a view on this?

[Ireland Cold Spell Discussion]

Imagine how much snow we'd have gotten today in the Armagh/Louth area if what fell from the sky had of been snow :-(

Snow is such a marginal event, a few degree cooler and i'm sure we would have seen 20cm of laying snow. Ah well - there are 6 weeks of winter left.

[Ireland Cold Spell Discussion]

I think the Sunday/Monday event has been downgraded. The prec has slightly reduced and the flow seems to have moved slightly further south.

The UK MO also seem to have reduced their warning to the very south of the UK so my guess is that any decent snow will be south of a line between wicklow and limerick.

As previously stated this will become a nowcasting event with local snow (>2cm) still possible for all.

[Ireland Cold Spell Discussion:]

The Ensembles don't seem to support temps of +3 or +4. I also believe that the NW Min/Max Temps are for guidance proposes only.

Anyway we'll have to wait and see. As we have seen in recent weeks looking beyond T+72 is F.I and anything could happen. That said we all like to have a look

My 2pence worth is that if the Easterly airflow quickened its pace by a few knots, those of us 10miles inland from the east coast might see another 10cms between Sunday night and Monday night but this will very much be a nowcasting event.

[Ireland Cold Spell Discussion:]

Hi everyone,

Met Eireann are predicting that it will become somewhat milder in the south and east of Ireland next Monday. I'm just wondering what would be causing this and are the models supporting this theory?

This is their current outlook for Ireland:

On Friday night, occasional snow showers will persist in eastern coastal counties but the rest of the country will be dry with clear spells; severe or very severe ground frost will occur, along with widespread ice and some freezing fog patches. Eastern coastal counties will have further wintry showers during Saturday, many of them falling as snow inland from the Irish Sea. Other areas will be dry with sunny spells but extensive frost and ice will persist, together with local fog; winds will be light to moderate, northeasterly. Saturday night will see little change in wind or shower distribution but widespread severe or very severe ground frost will return; ice and freezing fog patches will be an ongoing problem. The overall northeasterly airflow will persist on Sunday, with fresher breezes near some exposed coasts; occasional light showers of a wintry nature will continue to affect eastern coastal counties and perhaps part of the north coast also. Some thawing of lying snow and ice may occur in eastern areas during the daytime but most places will remain bitterly cold and ice-bound. Wintry showers will persist overnight in eastern counties, with snow accumulating again in places; longer outbreaks of rain, sleet and perhaps snow will develop in coastal counties of the south also as freshening, easterly winds set in generally. This precipitation distribution will persist through Monday also, with areas other than the east and south staying mainly dry and bright. Despite a slight rise in temperatures, it will feel still feel bitterly cold in the fresh, easterly wind.

fear sneachta, Met E have stated that we might see a SLIGHT rise in temps. Given that we see -7 at dublin airport last night a SLIGHT rise does not mean that it will turn milder.

[Snow Watch: Ireland]

Blizzard conditions on and off here from about 5pm. 3ins of snow laying and possibly more to come

[Snow Watch: Ireland]

I had 3 inches of snow at about 6am but it quickly disappeared. All in all a bit of a wash out. Fingers crossed Thursday night or Friday night deliver a bit more.

[Snow Watch: Ireland]

Worryingly the radar has this front turning to sleet after an hour or two. Temps need to drop a couple of degree.

[Snow Watch: Ireland]

I'm becoming increasing excited that we might see a significant snow fall (5-10cm) in the Down, Armagh and Louth areas tonight. Just hoping that Easterly wind doesn't dive South once it hits land.

[Snow Watch: Ireland]

South Dublin plus Counties Wicklow, Laois, Carlow, Wexford, Kilkenny and Waterford should see a lot of snow tonight. North of Dublin along the east coast is likely to see small accumulations.

[Snow Watch: Ireland]

I think snowfall of >3cm in Northern Ireland tonight is still very marginal. Looking at the radar, England's snow showers seem to be tracking in more of a Northernly direction than we would like.