khodds
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Posts posted by khodds
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Do we recon there will be a red warning issued given the fact most of the country is under an amber?
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17 minutes ago, AWD said:
Anyone for a bit of night kite flying, Sunday night?
I am so done with this now! What the hell has happened to our winters? And no it’s not global warming.. that’s a load of ——. I can’t remember the last time we had measurable lying snow
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8 minutes ago, AWD said:
The way I think it’ll play out midweek, when taking everything into a blend of a median, is something like the below;
Each line being the northern extent of any PPN.
Red line - 45% chance and currently the most favoured.
Blue line - 25% chance
Green line - 15% chance
Yellow line - 10% chance
5% chance - The weather is never 100% guaranteed and sometimes does the unexpected, so I will always leave a 5% chance for it to do something totally unmodelled like blast up to Scotland etc. Never can we forecast the weather with 100% certainty.
Also, small caveat is I’m not 100% convinced that any PPN that may reach southern coastal counties/IOW is certain to fall as snow and not rain. There’s more to forecasting snow than just the 850hpa temps and some modelling does play around with the idea of less cold sectors being mixed in with this LP, less favourable DP’s etc so definitely a lot to watch for, for those on the South Coast.
Finally, our channel Island members in here MAY be our snowiest parts of the region next week. Not often we say that!!
Happened once already this winter.. seems to be happening more often than we get anything these days
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My rain gauge/thermometer is saying -5.2?! Double checked it with my handheld IR thermometer and that says -4.5… this is crazy?!
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6 minutes ago, *Stormforce~beka* said:
When is everyone realistically going to start believing something will happen for us?
Wednesday if I wake up and it’s snowed
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Guys and gals… it’s days away yet. If it decides to verify I’ll be very happy but I’m not getting out of my box yet
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Flurrying here in BA6 now!!
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Just walked the pup round the block and it’s almost daylight out there, it’s so weird!! I didn’t need a torch and I’m rural so barely any street lights in our part of the village. No moon out - cloudy too. Well eeiry.
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I’m surprised there hasn’t been more comments on the wind? It’s been savage here the last 48 hours. Why we aren’t under a warning I do not know?
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Yep! The weather is so weird atm. Frost.. rain.. frost.. rain
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2 minutes ago, *Stormforce~beka* said:
We've given up the will to live
The time I decide to come and join in again everyone buggers off lol!
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5 hours since that last post? What’s going on?! Clearly nothing haha!
im watching this next lot of rain with trepidation as we got flooded at work on Monday.. horrendous. I work at a factory on the edge of the levels Glastonbury way and it was absolutely mental.
warehouse have removed all stock from the floor level just in case for tonight..
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Sleet here in Puriton. Can only see it on the velux windows tho
. Looks like rain when looking outside normally
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I can’t believe how warm it was today, such a kick in the guts after the forecasts earlier in the week. Sometimes I hate living in England! So I guess that’s it for the season?
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1 minute ago, Liam Burge said:
I feel like tonights system will be the real treat though!
I hope so!! I really do. Just want someone to post the latest high res charts so I can see the latest
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1 minute ago, Liam Burge said:
In Bristol currently. I've got pictures from family in Bridgy and there's not much at all, just a cm or so on the ground.
More than I have here lol!
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Just now, Liam Burge said:
Also a side note: this is the perfect snow for snowballs/snowmen here.
Are you in Bridgy or Bristol currently Liam? I can believe Bridgy has more than me! Wish I’d stayed there last night now!
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Snowing here now. Maybe it will start to settle? About to drive my boy to Wells so will see what it’s like there
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What a waste. Just wet and a slight sprinkle here. Even Bridgwater has more.
and has tonight’s snow all but gone? Can someone confirm?
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1 minute ago, Skullzrulerz said:
So, what's next after this initial cold snap, a even colder spell in the mid month period
Is that a question or a statement?
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I just can’t see how it’s going to get cold enough to snow tonight onward. it’s been far too warm today and the low pressure incoming is surely going to be bringing warm air up from the south? It’s still 5c here
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What an absolute waste of a chase. Getting lying snow here is like pulling hens teeth. It’s a by gone era I think. And I don’t know why I bother wasting so much time doing it
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South West and Central Southern England Discussion - Dec 2023 onwards
in SW and CS England Weather Discussion
Posted
Gone?!