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MetWX

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Posts posted by MetWX

  1. I think it's all a conspiracy - Michael Fish does forecasts for us, he knows Kaddy, he's told her to ramp it up because Netweather had a word in his ear, with the aim of making everyone post more. Don't know why I didn't think of that earlier.

    In fact I've heard that tomorrow there could be a hurricane, 20 tornadoes and space craft landing in Trafalgar square - post about it here, and by the way only 2 words max per post. :wallbash::unknw::D

    Don't let Michael see that, 1987 all over again...

  2. Untitled.jpg

    Just for a bit of fun but is this whats likely from tomorrow?

    I hope not, I'd rather the south / south west get some storms, being in Hampshire we're always the breeding ground for the storms heading towards London / Kent.

    Need some much needed rain and a thunderstorm would just be the cherry on top.

  3. Can anyone give me an insight into the chances for Sunday/Monday for Hampshire, Petersfield sort of area.

    It's just there is a rumour RAF Odiham think that they're due a lot more heavy snowfall, and there could be up to 3ft in areas with the existing covering of snow still there.

    MetCheck, MetOffice et all... are all showing a lesser likelihood for heavy snowfall for this area, however the charts seem to suggest that there is a fair amount of snow on the cards, so hopefully someone knows a bit more so that I can make plans.

  4. It's raining heavily and I can see the size of the storm that went through, it's structure is fairly large with a nice pronounced anvil, however it seemed fairly weak compared to it's size.

    It did dump a fair amount of rain and is rumbling away towards the East, pretty much following the path of the A3 towards London.

    It's weird, blue sky is now appearing and the rain is easing off.

  5. Still optimistic about the MCS developing further and extending across the Channel by about 11 pm, peaking around 0200.

    Satellite imagery loop shows that small low on the front actually swerving northeast past two hours. There already is a developing MCS over northeast France, one station north of Paris reported 70 mms of rain in one hour.

    Meanwhile, I remain less than optimistic about chances for development along the main frontal band edging east, but it could at least get slightly more active after midnight in phase with the MCS.

    The better dynamics long-term are later Friday when the stuff west of Ireland swings through, this could give some better thunderstorm potential and perhaps the first front will redevelop in phase with that over eastern England.

    Anyway, it's a longish wait but I'm saying lightning show 11 pm to 4 am southeast England. Fingers crossed.

    So have you redacted your prediction for Hampshire?

  6. 12z UKMO does show a meso low forming over east English Channel/Dover Straits 00z-03z Friday - with an area of convective rain associated with it moving N across SE England - so could be an MCS ahead of the CF crossing the channel/SE England tonight if we are lucky.

    However, don't think the models have been handling todays progress too well, certainly the cold front has been slower to progress NE than modelled, which may have a knock on effect to how things develop in the next 12-24hrs.

    Does anyone know if Hampshire will get any rain/storms tonight, sitting here patiently eagerly awaiting some sort of refreshing rain.

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