Time for the latest update,
Please get involved on the dedicated Glastonbury forecast thread on the main forum here
[url="http://forum.netweather.tv/topic/76531-glastonbury-wed-26-to-sun-30-june-2013/page-4#entry2714670"]http://forum.netweat...-4#entry2714670[/url]
Forecast models notably GFS had forecast in the region of 25-50mm of rain for the Glastonbury area over the past few days, needless to say this has not remotely occurred, this will have big implications going forward.
[b]G
After leaving Burlington this morning we initially headed south for a dry line risk of storms initiating west of Lamar.
[sharedmedia=gallery:images:18381]
Whilst a few promising ones kicked off mid afternoon with a few CGs and some streamed on the webcam we decided to abandon this for the risk areas to the far North and east in the Dakotas and possibly Minnesota.
Tonight we make the long drive North staying in Chadron. The final stretch now towards what could hopefully be a moderate ris
Time for the latest update,
Please get involved on the dedicated Glastonbury forecast thread on the main forum here
[url="http://forum.netweather.tv/topic/76531-glastonbury-wed-26-to-sun-30-june-2013/page-4#entry2714670"]http://forum.netweat...-4#entry2714670[/url]
A slight change in the forecast today, in that the pattern for this week and for the weekend is now agreed between the models, so I'll do the summary here to save late duplication.
Remaining unsettled this week, with some
After a stay in Burlington, Colorado, we left late morning only to find a dead battery in the SUV. [img]http://f.nwstatic.co.uk/forum//public/style_emoticons/default/help.gif[/img]
This was quickly sorted with the help of the local police and we were soon on our way towards
Denver and the [url="http://www.theweatherprediction.com/weatherpapers/013/"]Denver Cyclone Convergence Zone (DCVZ)[/url], an area renowned for spawning many of the tornadoes in eastern Colorado.
After a stop in Limon, w
Time for the latest update,
Please get involved on the dedicated Glastonbury forecast thread on the main forum here
[url="http://forum.netweather.tv/topic/76531-glastonbury-wed-26-to-sun-30-june-2013/page-4#entry2714670"]http://forum.netweat...-4#entry2714670[/url]
Starting off with the
[b]GFS Operational Charts[/b]
As per yesterday, I'll start by trying to find the common ground between the runs. Remaining unsettled this week, with the risk of some heavy rain on Thursday. Low Press
Leaving North Platt today we headed back along our old favourite route I-80 west, a road that has become rather familiar over the past few days given the amount of chases that have centered around the East to West Nebraska areas.
We headed to Ogalalla first of all for lunch in the western style saloon then once things started initiating we moved west towards Kimball.
Realising that storms to the south had more potential, we took the decision to head south towards Brush and began chasing a hu
Time for the latest update,
Please get involved on the dedicated Glastonbury forecast thread on the main forum here
[url="http://forum.netweather.tv/topic/76531-glastonbury-wed-26-to-sun-30-june-2013/page-4#entry2714670"]http://forum.netweat...-4#entry2714670[/url]
Starting off with the [b]GFS Operational Charts [/b]
Trying to find a consensus between runs, this week has fairly low pressure, with the risk of Some thunderstorms form the east. For the weekend, Low Pressure is likely to e
We begun Day 4 in Sterling Colorado. Initially planning a chase into Nebraska then dropping south into Kansas. After meeting up with experienced chaser David Ewoldt, we watched the development of the cells near Madrid Nebraska from initiation to formation of supercells and a very deceiving formation which caught the eye of many viewers ... Our Scudnado!
We then moved North to Ogallalla and Arthur as a large hailer developed to our North.
Limited time to get the blog done today, however a few
A bit of a cheat today, I have copied this directly from my forecast on the main forum.
[b]GFS Operational Run[/b]
Both make more of the risk of Low Pressure from the east this week. especially the 12Hz run.The 06hz has total rainfall over the next 6 days of 6mm, while the 12Hz run has closer to 50mm, clearly that has big implications of the ground conditions.
[sharedmedia=core:attachments:174595] [sharedmedia=core:attachments:174594]
My guess is the the 50mm is overstating things some
After a very late night of chasing down what seemed to be the last remaining hotel rooms in the state, we left Eastern Nebraska headed west for the risk area developing in North East Colorado.
As we headed west, tops of the developing supercells were clearly visible over 200 miles away.
Initially we headed towards Cheyenne then dropped south to intercept a line of promising cells. They were pulsing every few radar sweeps and just when we thought the storm was dead it burst back into life w
[b]Headline: Warm with some thundery showers to mid week, then much cooler, unsettled next weekend[/b]
[font=arial][size=3]The weather over the past week has been quite a shock to the system for us in West Wales,with the abrupt change to cool, rather cloudy and at times wet weather, following on from the previous week of warmth and almost unbroken sunshine! Frequent rain and showers since Wednesday has deposited 25mm in the rain gauge here, although far from a washout of a week. Coventry was
Time for the latest update,
Please get involved on the dedicated Glastonbury forecast thread on the main forum here
[url="http://forum.netweather.tv/topic/76531-glastonbury-wed-26-to-sun-30-june-2013/page-4#entry2714670"]http://forum.netweather.tv/topic/76531-glastonbury-wed-26-to-sun-30-june-2013/page-4#entry2714670[/url]
Starting off with the [b]GFS Operational Charts [/b][based on 12Hz 15th June run]
I'll bring the days forward to be consistent with the op runs of previous days.
We left our hotel in Sidney (Nebraska not OZ!) early headed east towards a developing risk area on the Eastern Nebraska and Western Iowa state line close to the Missouri river.
Temps quickly climbed through the 90s into the 100s and dewpoints were ideal for development of some impressive storms with plenty of available CAPE around 3500.
[sharedmedia=gallery:images:18337] [sharedmedia=gallery:images:18336]
As we aproached eastern Nebraska storms were already firing across Kansas. Initial
Since the last full blog on Wednesday, it has come to my attention that this blog or extracts from it have made the national press.
[url="http://www.guardian.co.uk/music/2013/jun/13/glastonbury-2013-weather-forecast"]http://www.guardian.co.uk/music/2013/jun/13/glastonbury-2013-weather-forecast[/url]
Don't know whether to take the nerd comment as a compliment, but fame at last, and a bit pressure in getting the forecast right.
Again we start off with the [b]GFS Operational Charts [/b][ba
Day 1 began in Denver. After an early start we headed North to the Wyoming state line given the forecast SPC slight risk. All the way up we had great views of the Rockies out to our West and these provided much of the source of lifting for the storms that were to develop later in the day.
[sharedmedia=gallery:images:18327]
Following lunch we waited around the town of Wheatland, Wyoming for development off the Rockies which proved to be very slow to produce.
[sharedmedia=gallery:images:183
Its finally arrived. After a very good and speedy flight over yesterday it was great to meet up with the team in Denver. Jet lag has set in nicely so after about 2 hours sleep I'm up writing the blog!
I may not be so coherent later on our long drive North into Wyoming for todays slight risk area stretching from Southern Wyoming up into Montanna but it's a great way to start the tour. Some great views of the Rockies are promised on the way up.
Tracking as usal via the[url="http://www.netweath
[b]JUNE...[/b] Overall, close to average or slightly above, following a settled and warm start, the unsettled period should prevail for another week or two (with some bright and warm interludes at times) before possibly turning drier and warmer later in the month. Temperatures 0.5C below to 0.75C above average. CET 14.9C. Rainfall generally 85-90%. Possibly some thundery downpours at times. Sunshine between 5-10% above average.
[b]JULY...[/b] An overall warm month, at times hot with the possi
This new format is based on the post of Monday in the main Glastonbury thread on the forum, and this reflects the movement into the long term range of the main models.
[url="http://forum.netweather.tv/topic/76531-glastonbury-wed-26-to-sun-30-june-2013/page-3"]http://forum.netweather.tv/topic/76531-glastonbury-wed-26-to-sun-30-june-2013/page-3[/url]
[b]GFS Operational Charts [/b][based on 12Hz 12th June run]
Signs of High Pressure slowly re-establishing itself from Tuesday next week accord
Anyone fancy a donor kebab?
Haha!
[attachment=174041:IMAG0545.jpg]
[attachment=174042:Recent.JPG]
Cheers for not securing those manholes without telling me, you'll be hearing from my solicitor.
1st June: Today is the first day of summer 2013. After a cold theme to the first 5 months of the year, will 2013 and bring a well over-due good summer? Today, there was a few heavy showers earlier in the morning and afternoon and some passing cloudy intervals but during the evening there was a good deal of late, summer sunshine and blue skies. Around dusk, about half of the sky was clear with some patches of cloud cover around - quite similar just now with some groups of clouds moving in from th
[font=arial][size=3][b]Headline: MIxed; some rain at times, but equally dry and warm at times too (no washout!)[/b][/size][/font]
[font=arial][size=3]A fantastic dry, warm and sunny week here in West Wales. Almost unbroken sunshine, I estimate 90 hours since this time last week. The cool air mass early in the week illustrated by 3 successive grass frosts on my lawn from Sunday to Tuesday, athough air temperatures stayed above plus 3c. The MIdlands has not fared as well being plagued by cool N
Forecast Number 6 - Issued 7th June
[b]Pressure[/b]
There is High pressure to the SW of the UK and also towards the NE, however there is a mini trough towards the SW with pressure expected to be slightly below average. This is consistent with the trough expected in the South West approaches for the mid part of next week, so this may account fore the lowish overall pressure to the SW of the UK. This is definitely a concern, however these charts also allow for pressure to rise again towards
[font=arial][size=3][b]Headline: Mainly dry, quite sunny and rather warm, some showers; perhaps unsettled next weekend[/b][/size][/font]
[font=arial][size=3]It did turn drier through the latter half of the week past, although not much warmth as yet apart from the Midlands and parts of South Wales reaching the low 20's c on Friday. Some more unseasonably cool days experienced of late, Monday was very cool and wet the 'high' below 10c here, and it was a wet week over the Midlands, with a total
