Carl46Wrexham
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Posts posted by Carl46Wrexham
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33 minutes ago, cheshire snow said:
Purely for fun at this stage but GFS12z showing Heavy snow for the southern parts of the region Saturday Morning after this awful winter season at least a bit of eye candy to look at.
Thursdays low has now shifted south and in GFS style will move even further south on further runs.
also noticed there are two troughs that cross the region Tuesday evening which could show some interest if there is enough cold air in place
C.S
Lots going on this week and a few surprises cannot be ruled out
Funny how they never shift south when it’s a predicted rain fest innit!
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6 minutes ago, Chris.R said:
how the hell did I only end up with 1/10th of what Wrexham got in 2013. How unlucky is that.
Sorry I couldn’t answer that one but it was insane here. Think we ended up with 42cm here...and that’s at 80m above sea level...heaviest snow I saw since the winter of 1981/82.
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4 minutes ago, cheshire snow said:
True
But almost 50cm of snow if my maths is correct that is a red warning and the Meto would be all over it by now I really do dislike these sites so misleading believe its fed by the GFS.
C.S
I’m not taking it toooo seriously...it is after all only one run, but if the picture is the same 3 days from now...
As for the red warning, when we had the huge dumping in March 2013 (which exceeded 40cm) we *only* had an amber warning in place.
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Just now, cheshire snow said:
Have you clicked on the DP on that site?
C.S
Bit marginal to say the least but precipitation that heavy and with light winds I could imagine evaporative cooling would come into play.
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26 minutes ago, dbaloo said:
Would that be north or south? I agree that it would only make matters worse
North Wales projected to have huge snowfalls. South Wales looks wet...again. Either way doesn’t look good.
This is what I’m looking at...if anything like this came off it would cause complete chaos..
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I’m looking more at Friday night which if it came off as GFS 06z shows would cause absolute chaos!
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I realise it’s only one run from one model, but GFS 06z shows phenomenal snow amounts in parts of Wales at the back end of the week.
Normally that would be something to hope for and look forward to but given the amount of flooding already in place, any lying snow will just exacerbate existing issues when it melts.
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5 hours ago, Cheese Rice said:
I disagree
NMM
EURO4
Never mind the snow...look at the rain over the areas that don’t need or want it... people in those places will be tearing their hair out.
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1 hour ago, Backtrack said:
Not a clue mate. Been a rather calm day really. Breezy now, but still not windy.
I might be completely wrong here so am happy to be corrected, but orographic rainfall has being ongoing all day to the west of me, that air is drying out as it’s descending on the leeward side and picking up speed as it descends. Trading rain for wind. The one good thing is that the wind is helping dry things out very quickly.
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12 minutes ago, Gray-Wolf said:
It looks very 'orographic' in nature?
The run up to the Peaks/Pennines seems to be taking the biggest hit but then, by the time you're over the tops of the Pennines, you're entering the 'rain shadow'
Run the rainfall radar and you can see this in operation?
Same thing happening in North Wales, thoroughly wet over the North West...complete contrast to the east..glimpses of sunshine with odd bits of wind blown drizzle.
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As is happening over the Pennines, a very pronounced rain shadow, with a very wet North West Wales contrasting with a windy but dry North East of Wales with glimpses of sunshine now and then.
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30 minutes ago, Backtrack said:
Disgusting day. Rain, no wind, 9C. Do sunny days just not exist anymore?
How is it you have no wind? You’re 24 miles to the N/NE of me but I have pretty strong gusts of winds coming through my part of the world.
The rain part I can understand as where I live is often in a pronounced rain shadow.
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Gusty winds..no rain (rain shadow in effect again).
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Meh...what a waste that would be, given that so many areas are flooded..or at best waterlogged.
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In the rain shadow of the Welsh mountains today, therefore thankfully very little rain has fallen here today...bits and pieces intermittently whereas just a few miles west of me I’ve been informed that there has been hours of steady moderate rain.-
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I didn’t think 2013/14 could ever be beaten for poorest winter ever experienced but winter 2019/20 has achieved it.
No lying snow, few frosts and FAR too much rain. Wretched.
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Apparently Shrewsbury town centre is practically an island at the minute. Even more rain on the Welsh hills in the coming few days is just going to exacerbated issues in those prone areas along the Wye, and the Severn to name just two.
Unfortunately this will be another winter that will be remembered for all the wrong reasons.
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3 hours ago, Jo Farrow said:
River Wye levels this morning highest on record. Two severe flood warnings at Monmouth seen on camera. shows delay in peak of river levels after all the weekend rain.
NRW River Levels Station Monitoring
RLOI.NATURALRESOURCES.WALES A40 | Traffic Wales
TRAFFIC.WALESLive images from CCTV traffic cameras on the A40, updated every five minutes
Those precipitation forecasts look very worrying but it’s impossible to ignore the rain shadows east of the Welsh mountains and east of the Pennines.
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Reasonably confident that single strike was a positive one. Very loud rumble which went on and on and on. Reports locally from areas 7-8 miles miles apart of the loud rumble. Was accomplished by heavy hail.
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1 hour ago, Jayfromcardiff said:
Can't see us getting any snow this winter the way it's going. More rain to come this week.
After all the rain and flooding I doubt anyone will care now.
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Good covering of snow on the North Wales hills. Horseshoe Pass near Llangollen closed for the first time this season. That in itself a shocking indictment of how poor a winter it’s been.
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3 minutes ago, cheshire snow said:
Poor METO office text forecast if you are after snow (especially low ground)
Rain showers perhaps merging into longer spells of rain.
Tomorrow more showers perhaps wintry
Wednesday Frequent snow Showers Which is strange as the forecast at lunchtime was a ridge to build in and showers to be less frequent.
C.S
That Wednesday forecast warrants a gif of Manuel from Fawlty Towers saying Que?
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Not sure which was more surprising...seeing the heavy rain turning to snow, or that the winds almost completely dropped out. Pretty sure that evaporative cooling is more likely when winds are light and that was the reason snow fell at lower levels than was forecast. -
If I can get snow at 79m above sea level you guys east of me who live at modest height have a good chance.
Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion
in Regional
Posted
More overnight rain...more flooding. Enough already. Don’t care about snow...wouldn’t bloody settle anyway, unless it’s magic snow which can miraculously settle on top of flood water!