Interesting research Steve. It certainly seems to fit with what I have noticed from model watching over the past six or so years – everything seems to get forced back to the East! This would certainly suggest an increase in the zonal wind. As a consequence establishing an E’ly flow across the country would be harder than it once was, when the opposing zonal flow was not so strong. A nice analogy is trying to swim upstream against a strong current. In terms of the cold air reaching Greece, with it being more sheltered, the current is less strong, consequently cold air gets directed into the region with less resistance. Personally I still believe that it is not impossible to get a deep cold E’ly blast, however, statistically, the chances of getting an E’ly flow may be lower than it once was, due to potentially greater resistance. Feb 2005 is good example that Siberian winds can still reach these shores. IMHO, it was bad luck that year that there wasn’t a significant cold pool that could be advected westwards. Easterly blasts with deep cold air have always been rare though and there is only a handful of examples where the 850hPa -15C isotherm reached the BI, as highlighted in an earlier thread. The interesting question IMHO is what has caused the increase in zonal flow? A net increase in global temperatures would certainly support the theory.