John Snow
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Posts posted by John Snow
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why are people saying its over?
i was living in the w midlands in april 2013 and got 16cm of snow in a frontal event
giving up at this stage is very premature
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With the met talking about snow accumulations along the estuary later are they talking about a potential thames streamer?
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Looks like we should get some showers this afternoon and this evening, not expecting much in the way of accumulations, but it will be nice to see snow falling from the sky again
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Lol you guys are so optimistic
I actually see some streamers getting going over the next 24 hours.
Won't happen
We need an E/NE for a streamer and the wind is NW/N
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Cheery picking here but..
Just to back up my previous post and Mark Ns..
They are barely trace amounts though, with the ground wet from previous rain there would be no settling snow in the region
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Not too excited till the Met come on board and issue warnings for the area
Until they are on board i think amounts, if any, wont be much
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i dont think we will get anything out of the initial NW or indeed the northerly, never do well out of these sort of set ups
The only hope is for disturbances and troughs to set in at short notice and bring snow to the region
A lot of now casting ahead
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Cloudy but frosty start here. Hopefully the cloud should break up through the day. Nothing really of interesting within the next week. A case of being patient seems to be the message this morning. Even if the ECM has snow for us by day 10.
we never do particularly well out of a north westerly or a straight northerly though?
we need a north easterly feed or an easterly dragging showers in inland off the north sea
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Nothing, and wasn't really expecting anything
There is still a hope for tonight, would be good to see even a dusting before this spell ends
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This was never going to be a big event for our region anyway
Steve even at his most optimistic had us down for max 3cm so narnia type conditions were never on the cards
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Bit of a damp squid atm, but the night is still young. The front is not meant to clear till late morning so there could still be some nice surprises in store
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Gritters have been deployed in the Croydon area to treat A & B routes
They were Saturday night too and we got absolutely nothing, hope the opposite happens tonight
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Euro4 doesn't offer much for our region overnight or tomorrow, but after seeing no snow lying since 2013 I would be happy with even a dusting
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Whatever you do don't read ian f's update on the mod thread. It's a coldies nightmare possibly as far as mid-feb. Hopefully it's wrong because it goes against the latest net weather winter forecast!!!
Disappointing, but things crop up out of the blue
This current 'cold spell' was nowhere to be seen till about 4 days before it started, all the forecasts were about mild zonality
I am still hopeful that we will get some nice surprises this winter
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ah the channel low,what an event that was,the drifts were amazing,what i wouldnt give for another channel low
Feb 3rd 2009 was a Thames streamer not a channel low, when the Met put up a red warning for my area it was probably 3rd happiest day of my life after my wedding day and the birth of my daughter
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Sounds like the Met Office are siding with the Euro4 atm
London/SE is the most highly populated part of the, UK so if there was likelihood of more than a dusting I would have thought the Met would release warnings, we are inside the reliable timeframe
Until the Met come on board with warnings it is difficult to get too excited
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Yes but unfortunately overnight, as we move closer to the day, things have gone a bit pear shaped.
It seems a marginal event at the moment, but at the end of the day it will all boil down to dew points, like yesterday
If the dew points are in our favour then with 18 hrs of precip it is unlikely there would not be snow cover of some sort, more so higher up like north and south downs.
There will be upgrades and there will be downgrades, it is going to be a now casting time
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I think Steve Murr is top notch, sticks his neck out with detailed posts that are against the thoughts of many other respected posters but sticks to his guns. I have learnt more from him than lets say Tamara as I cannot compute that language.
From my observations SM is the UK`s Joe laminate floori, goes against the grain but with substance to back it up.
Anyway John in response to your post, he also said he expected a shift/correction SW which would make the SE more marginal? so hopefully he will clarify today. I presume it is the potential wrap around from the channel low.
Ugh, I feel ill.
I take more notice of Steve's posts than I do anyone else's tbh
He called Feb 2009 streamer absolutely perfectly, 24hrs before he also said the town where the sweet spot would be and how much the region would get, a day before the met even put out a red warning, sure enough the totals he predicted were near enough spot on and the Downs of Banstead, his sweet spot, got 17"
Steve should be chief forecaster of the Met
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If Steve Murr says that the SE is right in the snow zone for Wednesday, then it will beThis weeks prospects now 2/10 from a 3/10
I can't recall the last thing he got wrong
Keep the faith, it's coming
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Exactly, someone said before that my POSSIBLE prediction would give people false hope, as if anyone is going to take notice of what i say anyways, posters on NW take as gospel stuff TEITS, WIB, Steve Murr, Tamara etc and rightly so, they are not going to look at the post of some random enthusiast and go out panic buyingOf course not saint
'Chat' is a friendly term though.
I have ramped and hopecasted in this thread quite a few times, its harmless to be honest.
Enthusiast, snow lover/obsessive is what I am, in terms of models I don't know my ass from my elbow, my posts are a mixture of optimism and enthusiasm based on limited knowledge
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Hope so john
Would love a dusting tonight
Dare I say things might be getting better for us southerners .
If it makes its way down to the south I can see an inch or two settling, more on higher ground
I am sure the Met are watching it closely, would be a nice bonus to compensate for the rain/sleet this morning
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That blob of very heavy snow over Hull looks like it is heading straight for London / South East, no signs of it weakening on its travels
Very interesting night ahead
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Close but no cigar
Dew points too high for settling snow
Could change but the heaviest part of the front has already passed through
Hopefully get something out of the sliders
Southeast England & East Anglia - Weather Chat >> 1st Feb Onwards
in Regional
Posted
Looks like a dull and boring period of weather for the forseeable future, not a lot in the way of convection, no real cold or mildness, a no mans land basically
But things can change quickly, the last cold snap started at about 4 days notice, everything crossed for a turnaround in the weather