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Hurricane Buckley

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Everything posted by Hurricane Buckley

  1. Im still not sure, but it does give me hope for some people in the South as it just seems a bit further North than forecast, might do nothing to the finer details but could mean a slight shift Northwards.
  2. Going by chart runs, it has pushed most of the PPN into the channel with only the extreme coast seeing something, still suppose we cant rule anything out yet. This has just come from Liam Dutton: Phew, latest info suggests that Normandy, France could see 30-50cm of snow in next 48hrs. If storm was 100 miles north, that'd be S'ern Eng.
  3. I sadly think we'll miss this now, everything is pointing towards it.
  4. Think we'll miss it now, everything seems to point towards it, shame but Jersey looking snowy.
  5. I know the GFS has only just started to come out, but it seems to already have lost some of its sting..
  6. Im ignoring it, its been pretty rubbish, think the GFS will keep it where it is.
  7. Ignore the NAE its been pretty rubbish, wait on what the GFS has to say.
  8. NAVGEM has been a great chart, it hasnt moved from the snow outcome for the SW, now it seems the rest are playing catch up.
  9. Dew point here has lost 0.2oC in 10 mins not much but it shows the colder air digging in, it all seems a bit faster than forecast.
  10. Looking at the radar its turning sleety across Devon and into Somerset, any reports of this? Just its about 6-8 hours early.
  11. GFS brings it back and again the NAVGEM which has stuck with the snow throughout hasnt shifted and brings between 5-15cm widely across Cornwall, Devon, Somerset, Dorset, Sussex and Kent. Areas all to watch.
  12. This from Ian Fergusson: So, little to add currently from UKMO chief. The most rainfall equivalent generated in latest NAE for Monday is 4mm in S Devon; 2mm or less elsewhere in S England; much higher totals N France. Latest EC has v similar amounts. So on face value a non-event BUT chief cautions how "all ingredients remain to be mindful... of a severe event with blizzards (etc)..."; this more serious outcome currently given a 10-20% PROB based on all available output as of now.
  13. The NAVGEM keeps the snow over the SW, S and later the SE, this has just updated, i know this isnt in line with other charts but this has stuck when others have chopped and changed, maybe its on to something which others might pick up on at the 11th hour.
  14. Interesting to note the NAVGEM has just updated and once again keeps the South West under snow for most of the night and Monday with light to moderate falls, hopefully its a trend.
  15. Ive not once heard the one in a 50 year event, at one point upto 20cm was looking on but now 2-5cm is fair with 10cm over dartmoor
  16. It could be interesting if it continues to move Northwards, it might be a late run thing haha, it'll probably move South again.
  17. Just the kinda news i was hoping for tbh, im firmly believing this will deliver some decent snow.
  18. I still think the fact 3 models show snow over us is something to hold on too, i just hope the NAE comes in line or the UKMO that for me would be great stuff.
  19. From Ian Fergusson: yes Ross, the trend continues a southward rather than northern bias; hopefully worst will miss entirely. Will see.
  20. I still think we are looking at 2-10cm widely with the higher totals South of Taunton
  21. I still think the SW will see some nice snowfall, whether it sticks or causes problems is another thing, but thank god the GFS has put the nails away for now..
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