dewei
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Posts posted by dewei
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Still snowing here. Light to moderate still rather wet at times. No snow has settled yet. Going to bed now.
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YUP, it's snowing in birmingham. I tried to post it 15 min ago but couldn't access this thread, Initially granular ( I did go out) but large flakes at present!
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Sleet in the last 15min in Edgbaston, Temp down from 1 to 0,7c.
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The GFS 18hrs run is another variation on the zonal theme, this time the Azores high is pushed east and puts the final nail in the coffin for European ski resorts which haven't been lucky with the recent snow.
I thought it has been dumping in the Alps especially the French Alps. 30-50cm since Friday and some cover down to 1000m. However will it all melt if the Euro high returns?
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UKMO now siding with ECM!
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I've been watching the models dithering this week, trying to determine how the current blocked situation will develop. It's interesting to note the ECM keeps trying to retrogress the HP. For those looking for significant cold, there don't appear to be any strong indicators, although the pattern suggested by the ECM, if it persisted, with HP to the N or NW would certainly drag in some cold air from the NE.
If you look at the current blocking pattern from an historical point of view, I cannot recall a situation where such a persistent HP as we have had over Europe all this time takes it upon itself to start retrogressing. Usually, any prolonged block of the kind where a NE flows develops over the UK often seems to occur when HP develops over or near the UK and then bullds to the NW (take a look at the classic January of 1881 to see this process working at its best!).
All things considered, I would suggest that the GFS could possibly be right in the longer term, with the SW /W flow gradually displacing the Europe HP further S. However, I also suggest that the fact we have had this much blocking so far this autumn tends to favour its recurrence.
We'll see!
Not what I'd like to hear but I recognise the voice of experience here!
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I doubt it was snow as uppers are above above zero today and so were temperatures this morning.
Been a lovely afternoon here, not a cloud in the sky now.
Well I was rather dubious when my wife told me there was a few flakes of snow through the front window at about 8am, but I then did see just 1-2 flakes through the back window!
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2-3 flakes of snow this morning!
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+1c forecast for the Midlands for this morning but -5.2c on my thermometer now and I see -6 to -9c in the Midlanda at present.
January ends with belated, unexpected little whimper...
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Light snow for Brum as early as next wednesday if you believe the BBC weather site!
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Didn't see Midlands Today forecast but saw Des Coleman a few weeks ago.
I could not focus on the actual forecast and charts - got totally distracted by him almost bouncing off the screen
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Heaviest snow of the winter so far here. Already a covering on cars, tarmac, grass.... BBC Midlands mentionned 4in of snow for Clee Hill.
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From 3c to -0.9c in 5 hours here
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2in on hard surfaces in Edgbaston, 3.5in on grass. More sledging for the kids!
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ECMWF still isolated this morning with the low going well south of the UK. GFS, UKMO, NOGAPS, GME, GEM all in close agreement in having the low turning and festering over the BI!
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Snow over in Walsgrave, Coventry.
I don't fancy cycling 27 miles in the dark to B'ham 9don't mind the cold). I'll be taking the train, that's still 7 miles for the return leg.
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Just arrived in Coventry, after cycling from Edgbaston to Warwick, then Stoneleigh and Walsgrave. For the first hour of the ride, there was the very occasional frozen drizzle, then the second hour saw sporadic mixed graupel and snow. In the last hour (from Warwick onwards), the joy of seeing more sustained snow was tempered by the strengthening winds blowing the odd graupels in the face. In the last half-hour, I am looking at light to moderate snow whilst enjoying a well deserved lunch. No sign of snow settling yet.
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Ian Fergusson nick2702, on 03 February 2010 - 07:52 , said:
Snow? Today? Yowm 'avin a larf aint ya?
No.
Already 2cm+ wet snow reliably reported over some uplands of Glos. The WBFL is lower than initial NAE expectations and we modified forecasts this morning accordingly to bring the (transient) snow risk further southwards in the Midlands.
This post has been edited by Ian Fergusson: 23 minutes ago
Weather Blog: www.bbc.co.uk/ianfergusson
Ian Fergusson on the midlands thread confirms snow in Glos. so transient snow is likely for most of the Midlands now. I guessed that would happen when the tenp overnight fell to 0c instead of the forecast 3c!
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The UKMO is a raw computer model while the FAX Charts are adjusted by human hand, so you get the best of both worlds - the powerful supercomputer output and the experience and insight only a human can have.
Thanks Barb-
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Newbie question.
UKMO and FAX charts are UK Met Office products. Are they the same model?
Cheers.
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5cm in Edgbaston. Snowing moderately after a lull of 30 min.
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+1.2c in Birmingham. Temperatures have been rising for the last 12 hours now and no snow!
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Finally, a few large snowflakes here in Edgbaston. I was feeling miffed that the PPN has split to the either side of central B'ham!
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well the weird thing is meto and all other radars have it vanishing aswell. maybe its not a glitch? anyone else under a place where it supposedly vanished got any update on whether its still snowing?
We have had a steady but unexciting snowfall in the last 1 and half hours but the 20.00 and 20.15 radar pics showed the clouds near B'ham disappearing before reappearing at 20.30. Technical issue?
The Midlands Regional Discussion - Part 7
in Regional
Posted
Huge wet snow flakes here!