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Forecast Model Discussion

Model Discussion Guidelines - Please read before posting

As well as the (recently updated) general community guidelines , please read below to ensure your posts in the model discussion threads are on topic and within the specific guidelines for this area. 

A typical, on-topic post into the model thread is likely to contain the following:

  • Discussing, interpreting and commenting on data from weather models.
  • Comparing predictions from different weather models.
  • Making specific weather predictions based on model outputs.
  • Delving into technical aspects of weather modelling.
  • Analysing specific weather patterns shown in model forecasts.
  • Speculating on future weather trends based on model data.
  • Providing educational insights or explanations about how weather models work and how to read them.

Posts which may not fit into the model thread and, therefore need to be posted elsewhere may do one of the following:

  • Making purely emotional reactions to the model output with no context (Eg - The GFS is crap, The ECM is amazing and so on)
  • Talking about TV, web or app-based forecasts and warnings with no current model-related context.
  • Talking about past weather experiences with no current model related context. 
  • Over the top and unrealistic hyping up of model output.
  • Solely moaning about the model output or weather conditions.
  • Complaining about what other members have posted into the model thread.
  • Complaining about moderation within the model thread.

Model threads health warning

The model discussions are open to all and are filled with discussions on the model output from weather enthusiasts. Some will have more knowledge than others, some may get overly excited about the prospect of particular weather types which can lead to exaggerated interpretations and predictions. Some may even post things which aren’t an accurate representation of the models they’re describing. This is the nature of a discussion forum, with differing levels of expertise, along with varying opinions, insights and emotive responses.

The discussions also often look at future trends in various weather forecasting models, which, by their nature, can change dramatically from run to run. When someone posts their view, it is very likely to be a discussion around recent data from the models and is subject to change - eg they aren’t necessarily making a forecast.

If you’re looking for a more concise version of the model discussion, the model highlights thread is available. If you’re looking for a specific weather forecast and not looking to read a discussion, there are many sources of those across the web, including right here on Netweather.

296 topics in this forum

  1. Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung 1 2 3 4 254

    By Community Team,
    • 6.3k replies
    • 1.1m views

  2. Model discussion highlights 1 2 3 4 50

    By Paul,
    • 1.2k replies
    • 102.7k views

  3. Model banter and emotions 1 2 3 4 16

    By Paul,
    • 395 replies
    • 13.3k views

  4. AI set to revolutionise weather forecasting?

    By Derecho,
    • 22 replies
    • 1.4k views

  5. Teleconnections - Interactions and Impact 1 2 3 4 6

    By Blessed Weather,   
    • 149 replies
    • 31.3k views

  6. Model tweets 1 2 3 4 97

    By Paul,   
    • 2.4k replies
    • 466.3k views

  7. Model Output Discussion - Cold spell ending - what next? 1 2 3 4 24

    By Community Team,
    • 592 replies
    • 114.7k views

  8. Model Output Discussion - Colder but how cold and for how long? 1 2 3 4 164

    By Community Team,   
    • 4.1k replies
    • 730.4k views

  9. Model Output Discussion - Into 2024 1 2 3 4 355

    By Catacol,   
    • 8.9k replies
    • 1.3m views

  10. Model Output Discussion - Into Winter 1 2 3 4 443

    By MATTWOLVES 3,   
    • 11.1k replies
    • 1.6m views

  11. Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn 1 2 3 4 241

    By Kirkcaldy Weather,   
    • 6k replies
    • 794.6k views

  12. Model Output Discussion - Mid Summer Onwards 1 2 3 4 186

    By Paul,   
    • 4.6k replies
    • 564.7k views

  13. Model Output Discussion - 15th March onwards 1 2 3 4 185

    By Cambrian,
    • 4.6k replies
    • 623.6k views

  14. Model Output Discussion - Snow Watch limited edition 1 2 3 4 30

    By Paul,
    • 736 replies
    • 113.6k views

  15. Model Output Discussion - A cold start to Spring? 1 2 3 4 155

    By Cheshire Freeze,   
    • 3.9k replies
    • 646.8k views

  16. Model discussion highlights 1 2 3 4 31

    By Paul,   
    • 771 replies
    • 52k views

  17. Model Output Discussion - Into February 1 2 3 4 237

    By damianslaw,   
    • 5.9k replies
    • 944.6k views

  18. Model Output Discussion - New Year and Beyond 1 2 3 4 202

    By BlueHedgehog074,   
    • 5k replies
    • 878.4k views

  19. Model Output Discussion - Christmas week and beyond 1 2 3 4 124

    By nick sussex,   
    • 3.1k replies
    • 466k views

  20. Model Output Discussion - the cold has arrived 1 2 3 4 192

    By Community Team,   
    • 4.8k replies
    • 904.6k views

  21. Model Output Discussion. 3/12/2022. How cold will it get? 1 2 3 4 139

    By chionomaniac,   
    • 3.5k replies
    • 656.9k views

  22. Model Output Discussion - moving into Winter 1 2 3 4 196

    By Community Team,   
    • 4.9k replies
    • 744.9k views

  23. Model Output Discussion - Deeper into Autumn 1 2 3 4 145

    By BlueHedgehog074,   
    • 3.6k replies
    • 492.2k views

  24. Model Output Discussion - Autumn arrives 1 2 3 4 314

    By Cheshire Freeze,   
    • 7.8k replies
    • 1.1m views

  25. Model Output Discussion - Early Summer and Beyond 1 2 3 4 113

    By mushymanrob,   
    • 2.8k replies
    • 542k views
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