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Dan_Quest

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Posts posted by Dan_Quest

  1. I am totally fed up with where I live. We seem to get precipitation but only when it's rain, never if it's snow… I just don't understand it as we're on some of the highest ground in EA.

    Light rain which will get rid of the remains of the 2 cm of snow we had a few weeks ago with nothing since. :wallbash:

    Rain and Snow are very different beasts............

    Essentially, it is very easy for it to rain here in the UK, i.e. jet stream, Atlantic flow, upper air temp, dew points, etc. etc. etc

    but

    For it to Snow a lot of specific atmospheric conditions need to be perfect, not just related to elevation.

    As you can see on the current radar http://www.raintoday.co.uk/ there is a huge mass of precip moving across the UK with huge amounts of energy coming off the Atlantic, the DP's, Cold Block, Upper air temps would need to be a lot colder for this to be an ALL snow event.

    If you remember, over the last few weeks, most of our snow has come from showers from the east/ north east/ north or from low pressure systems moving across through the 'cold pool'

    In all instances, the area of precipitation was relatively small compared with 'Rain' fronts which blast in from the Atlantic

    Forecasting rain is fairly easy and a fairly safe bet from the models but doing the same for snow is very 'Hit and Miss' with smaller areas of decaying showers or frontal precipitation

    Still, with the layman's science out of the way, whether or not it snow in your back yard is always frustrating.......since a kid I've cursed so many in surrounding areas to my location who always seem to get 'MORE SNOW' wallbash.gif

  2. I think after all the recent will it/won't it and then just misses I have wasted enough time looking at radars and weather forecasts

    Time for Christmas now and back to the old days of seeing what its like out when I draw the curtains in the morning

    Personally feel its time for a warm up especially for the wildlife who suffer terribly in this harsh cold, sure i'm not alone (or maybe I am)

    Good luck to those who want more snow and those who need to travel as well, hope everyone has a good festive period, see you again in the new year

    Cheers for now from a mainly snowless St Ives

    Rich

    Rich, you will be back here the next time the beeb mention snow, the weather, specifically snow, is an obsession for many, which is why we are all here now, but the forum dies in the spring!!

    Seasons Greetings for now, unless you pop in to take a look at what may occur on Friday!! smiliz34.gif

  3. Glad you made it back Dan! Was trying to call you to warn re the A421! That band is dying a death now. BBC getting twitchy about how close that low in the continent is going to come tommorow night/ Fri Could get a payout on my white xmas bet for London! Only 1 flake needed in 24 hrs! Don't we need to be in Basildon for a meeting on Friday lol!

    My phone went flat,, cause of all the chat we had whilst I was on my way down this morning, charger was in my bag, which I did not take!! dohwallbash.gif

    Good job I did not have an emergencyhelp.gif

  4. What a day…..I left Milton Keynes at 8.30 am this morningfor an appointment in Stevenage, very lightgrauple falling, by the time I got to the A421 it was falling as large flakesvery heavily. Radar showed on a small blob of precip!

    By the time I passed Bedford,it stopped snowing, the rest of the journey was fine, just very slow on the 421and A1, Stevenage had some light snow at 10.30by the time I arrived. left at 12.00 to return home.............

    Everything was fine on A421 until 5 miles passed Bedford,when the snow started again and clear to see 3-4 inches had fallen of the 5-6from Sat, Then, Queuing traffic......A421 closed by police due to accident, wewere ushered off to the old 421, which was backed up all the way to M1 due tojack knife lorry on slip road of M1.

    I took the back road through Cranfield, roads were completelycovered white, 4 inch covering, still snowing lightly….Just outside of Cranfield,2 car accident, road closed, ambulance, police.....had to wait over an hour forrecovery vehicle, which was sliding everywhere.

    Eventually home at 15.00!!

    In the virgin snow areas, prob about 8 inches laying, as thefresh snow is wetter and pressed down on the 6.5 inches that fell on sat.All roadsin MK are a nightmare, Ive seen a couple of snow plough sorting out the H's andV's, big snow troughs on all other roads, cars abandoned all over

    Should have stayed at home and radar watched, appointmentwas a waste on time!!

    More precip heading this way if it does not fizzle outbefore, looks like a laying white xmas in MK

  5. NAE update looks good for the region. Expect rain turning to snow around midday before petering out in the afternoon. South of the region may only see rain though i'm afraid. NAE total depths go for 10mm in the north of the region where at least half of this will fall as snow. I would punt for 5cm in Northampton across to the wash and 5cm for Luton / Chilterns. I think Tues night could be interesting for the region because it comes at night which will help with the marginality.

    Good luck everyone drinks.gif

    http://expert.weathe...022206_2118.gif

    http://expert.weathe...022212_2118.gif

    Again, im in Stevenage all week, so I need you to ramp up the marginality for the south of the region please!

    doh.gifdoh.gifdoh.gif

  6. I'm certain it's going to snow here later, I just saw a seagull carrying a shovel.

    It was funny, posting mild wishings and no snow reports on various regional threads, but seriously..

    blum.gifGET A LIFE !!blum.gif

    This is a regional discussion ' COLD SPELL DISCUSSION' within the 'WINTER DISCUSSION' thread of the Forum.

    Keep posting if you want to continue to look like an idiot...... I double dare ya !!

  7. Its due to pivot so the line will move NW. I think the northern extent will be a bit further south than forecast and the 18z has revised it further south. Could be snow in MK until mid day I rekon. It will loose intnsity through the morning, the worst of it could fall in rush hour though. I rekon you should leave a bit later tommorow to miss the worst of the traffic. Remember that which ever way you go you will cross higher ground so it will be worse there. Parts of the M1 around north Luton are 200m ASL! Going to bed soon hope to wake to a winter wonderland but expect it to be mud and slush - tru brit tyle!

    Still sleet here by the way, no sign of settling yet

    **Edit**

    More like snow now and temp has dropped to 0.9c so expect it to start settling soon

    Met office have removed the warnings for our area. Areas now shown at risk are West midlands and NW England!

    They need to start nowcasting, it is that marginal, we saw this in Jan and the beeb took a hamering on this forum.

  8. 630! You'll be lucky lol! Temp is 1.2c here now with wet snow. According to the forecast MK will get more than here! Northampton seems to be the best spot for tommorow morning. If the forecasts are correct then the snow will die out as you head south in the morning. Doubt it will be that bad to be honest...Depends how badly you want to get there lol!

    I dont really want to go, Id rather be in the office in MK, but this is one of those times when I have to be somewhere!!

    That line of heavey precip is not moving anywhere fast, it is just sitting there with its NW edge stretching from Reading, to Luton to Cambridge.

    When is it supposed to be on the move, already if the beeb are to be believed.

  9. Sleet now in Stevenage with Temp of 1.7c. BBC still going with the main snow risk to the midlands. I just cant see the front moving at all. I think the have underestimated how long it will stay on its current path not pivoting until tommorow morning. Could be a white commute for some!

    Bad news for me as Ive got to be in Stevenage for 8am!! who says us consultants dont work hard. if your up, I am leaving at 6.30, so text me conditions please mate.lazy.gif

    It is bone dry here, so if the precip. does get here and it is wintry, it may settle quick as it is 1.2 oC at the mo.

  10. Looks like it died a death mate laugh.gif

    Had some heavy showers this afternoon which left a decent covering but soon melted when the sun came out.

    That was nuts, 8.45 it was knocking on your door, 9.00 fizzled out!! The Northants snow shield must set to maximum wallbash.gif

    I know it can snow in Northampton, many a happy snow day as a youngster had in N'pton, snow tut top o wellies!!

    Yep, it'll come next week, but even I'd rather be in the Canaries, soaking up some warm rays, enjoying a cold one, not thinking about work!!!!

    Enjoy acute.gif

  11. Hello mate! We chat more on here than at work these days lol! I saw the shower hitting MK in my rear view mirror as I drove south Gutted! On my Iphone (weather online) radar it shows an organised area off the EA coast heading SW but it isn't there on the rain today one, could be an anaprop? Looks like Kent aren't going to get there 6 inches lol! We could all get a few cm's, nothing to be too excited about though. What do you rekon for next week? Difficult to call IMO could go either way. Think there will be some heavy snow but might be a bit marginal to build up much.

    Maz is out at parents eve so I'm stuck with BOB on the TV so thought model watching would be more interesting! Off to Enfield tommorow morning so hope to see a covering by then.

    Well you know it will snow all day, every day next week in Milton Keynes....cause I'm in Stevenage every day!! Fancy Project Managing the huge install for me and I'll do some hunting for you lol :-)

    The fact is, when you want it to snow, expect it to snow or wait for snow, it doesn't come, when you take your eye off the radar and the forum for 24 hrs...... Whoomp there it is!! as the chorus goeswhistling.gif

  12. Fax charts showing a trough over us for tommorow night and Fri. Should produce some widespread heavy snow showers!

    http://www.netweathe...e=ukmomod;sess=

    Hellul Mate, had a very Heavy 15 min snow shower at 7pm, got about 1.5-2cms everywhere, even on the dual carrigeways, and its stuck as the council have not gritted...again..... down to -2.1C now. few more smaller showers coing across on the radar but that prob the best of it.

    If the sun come out again in the morning, it wont be long before its all gone as the you could really feel the UV strength in the sun today, you can tell its feb, not jan!!

    like the look of that trough.....c'mon

  13. HHmmmm.

    All very quite here in the middle of nowhere. Is this gonna be another one of those cold spells when we here in the middle, and I mean IMBY will be left feeling jelousmad.gif , looking longingley at other posters pictures and reading posts on how "it was so deep I could not get out of my front door"doh.gif or will it, this time, just maybe give us lot here a 'good ol dumpin' like in them days when we were small and the snow came in over the top of our wellies!!good.gifgood.gifgood.gif

    Please can we all pray together to the Snow Gods and get some shifted our way next week.

    That said, on a glass half full note, it WILL be cold next week, with frosts, the parks, rivers and lakes will all loook pretty, and it is better than the big old mild atlantic.

    Oh and I do know that it praying does not make it snow...............it just fills in the time betweeen lampost watching and waiting for the next sn showerwhistling.gif

    See you all on Monday/Tues when things start to get tasty and we all keep switching between the regionals and the output threads.

  14. Thanks mate! Was wondering if you would be looking on here tonight! Maz is watching booring soaps! It's actualy going to rain in Tenerife by the looks of things! http://news.bbc.co.u...r/forecast/1083 hoping for some T Storms. Would be a great week if I leave here with a bit of snow around, land to T Storms in Tenerife and then get back on Thurs for the start of the Easterly!

    PS Anthing that falls will be snow in our locations. even this afternoon Dew points where -4 and uppers around -8 so no problem there. Currently -2.2c here. Have a good weekend mate.

    Oooohhhh. The thought of a cracking Thorm or Electric Storm. It makes me tingle.

    Cheers

  15. NAE and fax are pointing towards a trough moving SW overnight. Not much mention of it in media bradcasts though?

    http://www.wetterzen...pics/brack0.gif

    http://expert.weathe...k/prty/10013006

    http://expert.weathe...013012_2912.gif

    Look East actually mentioned the 'front' pushing west across the region tonight and leaving the west (MK) lunch time tomorrow. Although is was suggested to be a Wintery Mix!! It must fall as snow at these temps... minus 1.5 outside and falling steadliy.

    It is not often Look East get it right, so this may be there 1 in 10!!

    Have fun in the hot sun next week while we enjoy the cold :-)

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