Posted in SW thread
Location:Bristol, UK
Posted 9 minutes ago
Hmm. Once again, the latest NAE remains a little flatter with the upper ridge: seemingly the driver for the much faster incursion it wishes (in raw output) of milder air and accompanying snow than indicated by other models. Indeed, raw NAE progresses snow up to the meridian across England by circa noon on Thursday, whereas at the same time frame, ECMWF deterministic and UKMO-GM suggest only as far east as Wales and Irish Sea (MOGREPS-G supportive of this). What a nightmare. Once again - in successive runs - Chiefy has modified to a slower solution.... but.....I'm keeping powder dry on the outcome of all this mess until I see NAE, GM, EC and high-res solutions on Thursday AM!!
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Ian K. Fergusson
Twitter: @fergieweather
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