helentheroberts
-
Posts
13 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Forums
Blogs
Gallery
Events
Learn About Weather and Meteorology
Community guides
Posts posted by helentheroberts
-
-
13 minutes ago, bluearmy said:
just a reality check .... it might be worth thinking about some of the decent cold spells of the past decade and then viewing the archived runs that were being thrown out for the week two period back then. It’s very unusual to see the verification live up to the levels of deep cold etc that were being shown 9/13 days ahead .....what is important to see is the potential longevity of the pattern .... the more bites at a potential snow event we get, the more chances we have of one sticking ..... especially once we have surface cold in ...
onto the 12z’s ....... don’t expect to see anything in particular ......just enjoy the ride for the time being ....
That's interesting, because the extent to which the cold air is moving to the south of Europe also looks pretty outrageous at this stage. Is this likely to modify too?
-
12 minutes ago, Tim Bland said:
I said yesterday that ECM and GFS would meet in the middle today, here is the 2 charts from yesterday’s ECM and GFS and today’s ECM. Perhaps a little too much GFS bashing yesterday ?
It would be really helpful to compare like with like here. I would like to see the 0z charts from yesterday and today compared.
-
1
-
-
The jet stream is off on a trip south, by the look of it.
Do experienced posters expect the extent of downward energy to be modified as we go towards T=O?
What usually happens regarding corrections in this kind of scenario?
-
15 minutes ago, ghoneym said:
Maybe not Spain or Africa but forecast to move away from a pole ward jet towatds the equator, yes in the zone for the jet to fired up slightly but it certainly won't be a raging jet, low enough latitude wise so as too not cause us many issues going forward.
I can't understand that chart yet. What does it show? If the jet is not pushed south until the 28th, where is it set up?
-
1
-
-
Can anyone tell me if those big plunges south are likely to be corrected nearer the time?
-
1
-
-
Hello All,
Watching the charts and discussion with interest.
One of the things I am interested in is the displacement of the jet stream in about 10 days time. I seem to remember reading somewhere that this type of plunge would end up being corrected northwards, as charts move into the reliable.
Is that correct? Why?
-
Woke up to a nice little bit of lying snow in Hertfordshire. Wasn't expecting that. Excellent!
-
Sleety snow in Potten End, near Berkhamsted. Yay!
Actually make that sleety rain
-
1
-
-
Sleety snow in Potten End, near Berkhamsted. Yay!
-
Hello.
The GFS 06Z looks like keeping the rain away for a little longer. Previous runs had shown the heat being pushed away earlier. I hope this is a trend and that we'll hang on in the South for a dry and sunny weekend.
-
My hope levels are pretty much at rock bottom at the moment to be honest, despite JACK's reasonable forecast. This is almost certainly influenced by it having barely stopped raining heavily for close on 24 hours here in West Wales, only just stopping now (currently grey and drizzling). Reports from the festival site say they had it pretty heavy in Smerset all day yesteday too.
Get another day anything like yesterday's at any point next week, with 180,000 pairs of bots on site, and it's Muddaggeddon time for definite.
It's Monday morning and I'm getting seriously depressed.
Me too me too me too.
The thought of pitching in a mudbath and trudging round in a lake of mud all festival fills me with horror. It's always a gamble isn't it, Glasto?
Please let it change. Cmon cmon cmon!
-
Welcome Lloydyd!! Wish I could say you were in for some snow, but I dont have the knowledge ... hopefully some of the more experienced members may be able to give you an idea for your area!!
Well it's snowing just down the road in Berkhamsted!
SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 07/11/2018
in Regional
Posted
Aren't you running around butt naked or something, to keep the bet you made with forum last night?